Analysis of SPYM ETF Investment Potential
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 04 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Historical Returns: Over the past 50 years, the S&P 500 index has delivered an average annual return of 10%, while the State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) has achieved an impressive 11.01% annual return over the last 20 years, indicating its potential to outperform the market and attract long-term investors.
- Investment Growth Potential: Investing $10,000 in SPYM today could grow to $80,768 in 20 years, $386,966 in 35 years, and potentially exceed $1 million in 45 years, showcasing its robust capability as a wealth-building tool for investors.
- Low Fee Advantage: With an expense ratio of just 0.02%, SPYM represents a low-cost investment option, making it suitable for investors looking to gain exposure to the S&P 500 index while minimizing costs, thereby lowering the investment barrier.
- Tech Stock Concentration: Nine of the top ten holdings in SPYM are major tech companies like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, which not only reflects a high concentration in technology within its portfolio but also indicates potential gains from future technological growth.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 235.740
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 235.740
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Robust Profitability: The company has maintained a gross margin exceeding 70% in recent quarters, with expectations of sustaining margins above 74% as production efficiency improves, showcasing its high profitability and competitive edge in the market.
- Excellent Historical Performance: Following its last three first-quarter earnings reports, Nvidia's stock rose by 23%, 20%, and 5.2%, indicating a positive market reaction to its earnings, which may recur in the upcoming report.
- Increased Market Confidence: With progress on U.S. import tariff agreements and potential peace developments in the Middle East, investor confidence is bolstered, potentially providing additional support for Nvidia's stock price and reinforcing its leadership position in the AI sector.
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- Economic Comparison: Nvidia's valuation exceeds that of Germany and all other European economies, including the UK, France, Italy, and Spain, reflecting the dominance of US tech giants in the global market landscape.
- Market Consolidation: The combined market capitalization of the five largest US companies stands at $20.81 trillion, significantly exceeding the total GDP of Europe's five largest economies, which amounts to $18.14 trillion, showcasing the formidable strength and market influence of the US tech sector.
- Future Growth Potential: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang anticipates that surging demand for artificial intelligence could drive the company's sales towards $1 trillion within two years, further solidifying its market leadership and attracting investor interest.
See More
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- AMD's Earnings Growth: AMD's second-quarter revenue guidance exceeded expectations, with a 57% growth in its data center segment, and it anticipates tens of billions in AI revenue from data centers next year alone, reflecting the company's robust performance in AI spending.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Despite ARM's mobile growth falling short of expectations, leading to a stock price retreat, the market's positive response to its shift towards chip manufacturing indicates investor confidence in its long-term potential.
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- Earnings Report Approaches: Nvidia is set to release its Q1 2027 earnings on May 20, with analysts projecting quarterly revenue of $78 billion; given the company's consistent revenue beats in fiscal 2026, this expectation is largely priced in.
- Importance of Forward Guidance: As Nvidia transitions from its Blackwell architecture to Vera Rubin, the forward revenue guidance will be crucial; a higher-than-expected forecast would indicate sustained demand for Nvidia GPUs during this transition period.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Both Meta Platforms and Microsoft have recently raised their 2026 capital expenditure forecasts, with Meta increasing by $10 billion to a range of $125 billion to $145 billion, and Microsoft raising its estimate to $190 billion, which could impact Nvidia's market share.
- AI Demand Drivers: Analysts expect Nvidia's forward revenue guidance for Q2 2027 to be around $87 billion; if the company's projections exceed this, it would strongly indicate Nvidia's central role in the AI build-out, despite competitors investing in custom AI chips to reduce reliance on Nvidia.
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- Market Environment Analysis: While bull markets entice investors to be fully invested in stocks, historical trends indicate that volatility is inevitable, and maintaining a cash position can effectively reduce overall portfolio volatility, ensuring sufficient funds for reinvestment during market corrections.
See More
Nvidia's AI Chips Drive Investor Frenzy
- Strong Earnings Outlook: Nvidia anticipates first-quarter revenue of $78 billion for fiscal 2027, representing a 77% year-over-year increase, indicating sustained strong demand in the AI chip market that could further drive stock price upward.
- Robust Profitability: The company has maintained a gross margin exceeding 70% in recent quarters, with expectations of sustaining margins above 74% as production efficiency improves, showcasing its high profitability and competitive edge in the market.
- Excellent Historical Performance: Following its last three first-quarter earnings reports, Nvidia's stock rose by 23%, 20%, and 5.2%, indicating a positive market reaction to its earnings, which may recur in the upcoming report.
- Increased Market Confidence: With progress on U.S. import tariff agreements and potential peace developments in the Middle East, investor confidence is bolstered, potentially providing additional support for Nvidia's stock price and reinforcing its leadership position in the AI sector.
See More
Nvidia's Market Cap Surpasses Germany's Economy
- Market Cap Milestone: Nvidia's market capitalization reached $5.7 trillion in mid-May 2026, surpassing Germany's projected GDP of $5.45 trillion for the same year, marking its position as the world's most valuable company and highlighting its significance in the global economy.
- Economic Comparison: Nvidia's valuation exceeds that of Germany and all other European economies, including the UK, France, Italy, and Spain, reflecting the dominance of US tech giants in the global market landscape.
- Market Consolidation: The combined market capitalization of the five largest US companies stands at $20.81 trillion, significantly exceeding the total GDP of Europe's five largest economies, which amounts to $18.14 trillion, showcasing the formidable strength and market influence of the US tech sector.
- Future Growth Potential: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang anticipates that surging demand for artificial intelligence could drive the company's sales towards $1 trillion within two years, further solidifying its market leadership and attracting investor interest.
See More
ARM and AMD Report Strong Earnings but Face Challenges
- ARM's New Strategy: ARM Holdings announced it will transition from merely licensing technology to manufacturing its own chips, projecting a gross profit per chip that is ten times higher than licensing, with $2 billion in demand already secured for the next two years, indicating strong market acceptance.
- AMD's Earnings Growth: AMD's second-quarter revenue guidance exceeded expectations, with a 57% growth in its data center segment, and it anticipates tens of billions in AI revenue from data centers next year alone, reflecting the company's robust performance in AI spending.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Despite ARM's mobile growth falling short of expectations, leading to a stock price retreat, the market's positive response to its shift towards chip manufacturing indicates investor confidence in its long-term potential.
- DoorDash Earnings Interpretation: DoorDash reported a 25-30% revenue growth, yet its operating profit and net income declined; however, the market remains optimistic about its future growth, particularly in membership services and international business expansion.
See More
SoundHound AI's LivePerson Acquisition Sparks Market Concerns
- Revenue Growth vs. Expectations: SoundHound AI reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2026 but maintained its full-year revenue forecast of $225 million to $260 million, which disappointed investors and led to a stock price decline.
- Potential Impact of LivePerson Acquisition: SoundHound plans to acquire LivePerson for $43 million in an all-stock deal, expecting it to contribute $100 million in revenue by 2027, although market skepticism about profitability looms large.
- Market Concerns Over Acquisition: Despite impressive revenue growth, SoundHound remains unprofitable, while LivePerson has reported significant losses of $134.2 million in 2024 and $67.2 million in 2025, raising doubts about the viability of the acquisition.
- AI Agent Market Outlook: The global AI agent market is projected to grow from $7.6 billion in 2025 to $182.9 billion by 2033, positioning SoundHound to lead in this burgeoning sector, but the success of the integration will take time to assess.
See More
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- Earnings Report Approaches: Nvidia is set to release its Q1 2027 earnings on May 20, with analysts projecting quarterly revenue of $78 billion; given the company's consistent revenue beats in fiscal 2026, this expectation is largely priced in.
- Importance of Forward Guidance: As Nvidia transitions from its Blackwell architecture to Vera Rubin, the forward revenue guidance will be crucial; a higher-than-expected forecast would indicate sustained demand for Nvidia GPUs during this transition period.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Both Meta Platforms and Microsoft have recently raised their 2026 capital expenditure forecasts, with Meta increasing by $10 billion to a range of $125 billion to $145 billion, and Microsoft raising its estimate to $190 billion, which could impact Nvidia's market share.
- AI Demand Drivers: Analysts expect Nvidia's forward revenue guidance for Q2 2027 to be around $87 billion; if the company's projections exceed this, it would strongly indicate Nvidia's central role in the AI build-out, despite competitors investing in custom AI chips to reduce reliance on Nvidia.
See More
Buffett Endorses Short-Term Treasury ETF
- Portfolio Strategy: Buffett advocates for a majority allocation in the S&P 500 while also suggesting a modest investment in short-term Treasuries to manage market volatility and provide stable income, reflecting his enduring value investment philosophy.
- ETF Performance: The Vanguard 0-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF (NASDAQ: VBIL), launched in February 2025, has amassed $6.7 billion in assets and boasts a 4% annual return, demonstrating its appeal in the current high-yield environment for risk-averse investors.
- Cash Management Strategy: Holding Treasuries not only offers yields of 3%-4% but also serves as a “parking spot” for cash, allowing investors to quickly seize value opportunities during market volatility without the need to liquidate other positions.
- Market Environment Analysis: While bull markets entice investors to be fully invested in stocks, historical trends indicate that volatility is inevitable, and maintaining a cash position can effectively reduce overall portfolio volatility, ensuring sufficient funds for reinvestment during market corrections.
See More
