Amazon's Cloud Business Drives Stock Surge
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 42 minutes ago
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Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: Fool
- Cloud Business Growth: Amazon's AWS reported a 28% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2026, reaching $37.6 billion, showcasing its leadership in the cloud market and strong profitability, which has driven the stock price surge.
- Surge in Custom Chip Revenue: Amazon's custom chips (Trainium and Graviton) generated $20 billion in annualized revenue last quarter, growing at a triple-digit rate, and are expected to become a significant revenue source, potentially surpassing its e-commerce business in the coming years.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Amazon anticipates capital expenditures to reach $200 billion in 2026, up from $131 billion in 2025, which may impact short-term free cash flow but is expected to yield substantial long-term returns.
- Strong Earnings Outlook: Amazon's net income grew by 31% in 2025, with analysts projecting a 21% annualized growth rate for earnings per share in the coming years, indicating significant potential for stock price doubling if AWS continues its rapid growth.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 264.860
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 264.860
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Cloud Business Growth: Amazon's AWS reported a 28% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2026, reaching $37.6 billion, showcasing its leadership in the cloud market and strong profitability, which has driven the stock price surge.
- Surge in Custom Chip Revenue: Amazon's custom chips (Trainium and Graviton) generated $20 billion in annualized revenue last quarter, growing at a triple-digit rate, and are expected to become a significant revenue source, potentially surpassing its e-commerce business in the coming years.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Amazon anticipates capital expenditures to reach $200 billion in 2026, up from $131 billion in 2025, which may impact short-term free cash flow but is expected to yield substantial long-term returns.
- Strong Earnings Outlook: Amazon's net income grew by 31% in 2025, with analysts projecting a 21% annualized growth rate for earnings per share in the coming years, indicating significant potential for stock price doubling if AWS continues its rapid growth.
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- High Earnings Expectations: Nvidia is projected to see nearly 80% revenue growth in Q1, reaching approximately $79 billion, reflecting strong market confidence in its AI business, although such high expectations may lead to stock price volatility.
- Rising Debt Risks: With soaring bond yields, major customers like Microsoft and Amazon are taking on record debt to invest in AI networks, with estimates suggesting they will borrow up to $175 billion this year, potentially impacting their future cash flow and investment capabilities.
- Stock Price Volatility History: Despite Nvidia's stock rising about 22% over the past year, it has experienced declines following its last three earnings reports, indicating that market reactions to its performance are not always positive, which could affect investor confidence.
- Uncertainty in Future Growth: While Nvidia's AI chip sales are expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2027, rising borrowing costs pose challenges to sustaining high growth, prompting investors to approach future market performance with caution.
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- Surging Market Demand: Microsoft's India president highlighted the massive demand for Azure cloud services and the $30-a-month Copilot 365 AI assistant, indicating the country's potential in the AI services market, which is expected to drive revenue growth for Microsoft in the region.
- Significant Investment Plans: Microsoft announced a $17.5 billion investment in India, its largest outlay in Asia, aimed at enhancing its competitiveness in the global AI market, particularly in India, which boasts over 1 billion internet users.
- Accelerated Data Center Construction: The new data center in Hyderabad will be Microsoft's largest facility in India; while specific capacity details were not disclosed, the construction speed is described as the
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- User Outrage: Amazon's announcement to end support for Kindle devices released in 2012 and earlier by May 20 has left many loyal users feeling betrayed, as they will no longer be able to download new books or receive software updates.
- Discount Promotions: In an attempt to ease customer dissatisfaction, Amazon is offering a 20% discount on newer models priced between $110 and $680, along with $20 in e-book credits, although many users remain reluctant to upgrade.
- Device Usage: Users like Brian Oelberg plan to disable WiFi on their 2010 Kindle Keyboard to prevent software updates from erasing their content, highlighting the deep reliance and dissatisfaction with the discontinuation of support for older devices.
- Market Share: Amazon commands 72% of the e-reader market, and while technology firms often phase out older devices for security and cost reasons, users express disappointment with newer Kindle models, citing issues with functionality and durability compared to their beloved older versions.
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- Surge in Capital Expenditure: The four largest hyperscalers (Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta) plan to increase their capital expenditures to approximately $725 billion in 2026, a 77% increase from last year, indicating sustained strong demand for Nvidia's AI infrastructure, which will drive its performance growth.
- Optimistic Earnings Expectations: Nvidia anticipates Q1 FY2027 revenue to reach $78 billion, a 77% increase year-over-year, while Wall Street's consensus estimate stands at $79.17 billion, reflecting high market confidence in its future performance and reinforcing its leadership in the AI chip market.
- Improved Profitability: Nvidia expects adjusted earnings per share to hit $1.71 in Q1, up 111% year-over-year, while Wall Street estimates $1.78, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that could positively impact its stock price.
- Long-Term Earnings Beat Record: Nvidia has surpassed Wall Street's earnings estimates in 21 out of the last 23 quarters, achieving a success rate of 91.3%, demonstrating the company's strong competitive position and sustained profitability, which is likely to continue attracting investor interest.
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- Strong Earnings Expectations: Nvidia is set to report its Q1 FY2027 earnings on May 20, 2026, with high market expectations for another earnings beat, reflecting the company's dominant position and robust demand in the AI chip market.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: The four largest hyperscalers—Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms—plan to collectively invest about $725 billion in AI infrastructure for 2026, a 77% increase from last year's $410 billion, which will directly boost Nvidia's sales growth.
- Outstanding Historical Performance: Nvidia has consistently surpassed Wall Street's earnings estimates over the past 23 quarters, with the last four quarters showing adjusted EPS growth between 3% and 32%, highlighting the company's strong performance in the AI sector.
- Mixed Market Reactions: Despite Nvidia's earnings beats, historical data indicates no significant correlation between the magnitude of the earnings beat and stock price performance post-release, suggesting that long-term investors should focus on sustained performance rather than short-term fluctuations.
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