Alibaba Tops Goldman's List of Preferred Chinese Stocks for Global Expansion
Goldman Sachs' Investment Focus: Goldman Sachs encourages investors to target Chinese companies expanding internationally, highlighting factors like a weaker yuan and China's robust supply chains as growth drivers. They identified 25 key companies, including Alibaba, CATL, and BYD, which have outperformed major indices this year.
Earnings Growth from Overseas Expansion: The bank anticipates that these companies' international growth will boost earnings by approximately 1.5% annually through 2028, with notable increases in overseas revenue for Alibaba and CATL, despite potential short-term impacts from U.S. tariffs.
Alibaba's Stock Performance: Alibaba's stock has surged nearly 97% year-to-date, driven by advancements in AI and cloud services, outperforming the NYSE Composite index. Analysts from Goldman Sachs, Daiwa Securities, and CICC express optimism about Alibaba's growth prospects in cloud revenue and e-commerce recovery.
Market Reactions and Forecasts: Despite a slight decline in premarket trading, analysts project significant growth in Alibaba's cloud revenue, with expectations of 30% year-over-year growth in the upcoming fiscal quarter, supported by new AI products and improved operational efficiencies.
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- Cloud Revenue Decline: Huawei's cloud revenue from external customers fell by 3.5% to 32.16 billion yuan ($4.6 billion) in 2025, indicating significant competitive pressure, particularly from companies like ByteDance, amid global cloud service market expansion.
- Overall Revenue Growth Weakness: While Huawei's total cloud revenue, including internal customers, rose by 4.8% to 72.8 billion yuan, the main ICT infrastructure segment's growth slowed to 2.6% from 4.9% in 2024, reflecting insufficient market acceptance of its self-developed Ascend AI chip solutions.
- Consumer Business Slowdown: Huawei's consumer business revenue grew only 1.6% to 344.47 billion yuan in 2025, a stark contrast to the 38.3% growth in 2024, highlighting the ongoing impact of U.S. sanctions and a sluggish Chinese consumer market.
- Innovative R&D Investment: Huawei invested a record 192.3 billion yuan in R&D in 2025, accounting for 21.8% of total revenue, demonstrating the company's commitment to technological innovation despite challenges, aiming to maintain a competitive edge in future markets.
- Cloud Revenue Decline: Huawei reported a 3.5% drop in external cloud computing revenue for 2025, falling to 32.16 billion yuan ($4.6 billion), indicating increased competitive pressure amid rapid global cloud market growth.
- Overall Revenue Stagnation: The company's total revenue for 2025 reached 880.9 billion yuan, up only 2%, while the growth rate of its ICT infrastructure segment slowed from 4.9% in 2024 to 2.6%, reflecting a deceleration in key business areas.
- Innovative R&D Investment: Huawei's R&D expenditure in 2025 hit a record 192.3 billion yuan, accounting for 21.8% of total revenue; however, the lack of significant revenue growth from its self-developed AI chips highlights challenges in achieving technological self-sufficiency.
- Automotive Business Slowdown: The intelligent automotive solutions unit generated 45.02 billion yuan in revenue for 2025, growing 72% year-on-year, but this is a sharp decline from 474.4% growth in 2024, suggesting that initial surges in the electric vehicle market are stabilizing.
- Massive Market Potential: According to Markets.us, the agentic AI market is projected to grow from $5.2 billion in 2024 to $197 billion by 2034, indicating strong demand from businesses for automation and reduced manual labor, with Alibaba positioned at the forefront of this growth.
- Leading Product Applications: Alibaba's Wukong platform serves as an enterprise AI control center that coordinates multiple AI agents within a single system, enabling document editing, spreadsheet updates, and meeting transcriptions, thereby enhancing workflow efficiency for businesses.
- Business Operations Automation: The newly launched Accio Work platform acts as a
- Agentic AI Market Potential: According to Markets.us, the agentic AI market is projected to grow from $5.2 billion in 2024 to $197 billion by 2034, indicating a substantial market opportunity that could yield significant returns for Alibaba's strategic positioning in this sector.
- Wukong Platform Advantage: Alibaba's Wukong platform is designed to coordinate multiple AI agents, providing a multi-agent operating system that enhances business workflow management, thereby improving operational efficiency and reducing labor costs for enterprises.
- Accio Work Application: The newly launched Accio Work platform functions as a 'task force' capable of autonomously handling complex business operations, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises, allowing them to delegate most routine tasks to AI agents and freeing up employee time for more critical activities.
- Market Competition Risks: While Alibaba demonstrates strong potential in the agentic AI space, it faces intense competition from global players like Palantir, Microsoft, and Amazon, along with execution risks and weak investor sentiment towards the Chinese tech sector, which could impact its market performance.
- Industry-Specific AI Development: Chinese companies are shifting focus from large language models to industry-specific artificial intelligence to drive revenue growth, indicating a rising demand for customized solutions in the market.
- Alibaba Platform Upgrade: Alibaba launched the AI-integrated Accio Work platform, capable of autonomously processing customs paperwork and calculating profit margins, with expectations to increase monthly active users from millions to tens of millions, enhancing its competitiveness in the global market.
- Intellectual Property Trading Trend: China is promoting patent trading at a high level, as showcased at the Zhongguancun Forum, reflecting the importance of intellectual property and market potential for businesses.
- Robot Technology Innovation: Linkerbot focuses on humanoid robot development, aiming to map all basic human hand skills within three years, with a goal to reduce robot costs to below that of an iPhone, demonstrating a pursuit of practical technology applications.
- Market Performance: Hong Kong shares of Alibaba have opened down by 3.6%.
- Investor Sentiment: The decline reflects ongoing concerns among investors regarding Alibaba's market position and broader economic factors.











