Alcohol Trends: Decreasing Consumption Rates with Potential Growth in Innovation and M&A
Decline in Alcohol Consumption: The percentage of U.S. adults consuming alcohol has dropped to a multi-decade low of about 54%, with significant declines among younger adults under 35, influenced by changing health perceptions and the rise of no- and low-alcohol alternatives.
Spending Trends: Bank of America reported an 8.6% year-over-year decline in spending at U.S. alcohol stores, with younger generations like Gen-Z and Millennials showing the largest decreases in alcohol-related purchases.
Health Consciousness and Social Changes: Increased awareness of health risks associated with alcohol, along with economic pressures and shifts in social behaviors, such as earlier socializing and online engagement, are contributing to reduced alcohol consumption.
Market Implications and Industry Shifts: The decline in alcohol consumption is affecting major beverage companies, prompting non-alcoholic brands to enter the alcohol market, while traditional alcohol companies explore new product lines, indicating potential for future mergers and acquisitions in the sector.
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- Strong Financial Performance: AB InBev reported an adjusted EPS of $3.73 for fiscal 2025, surpassing analyst expectations of $3.53, indicating robust performance in a dynamic consumer environment, which is likely to boost investor confidence.
- Sales Growth: Quarterly sales reached $15.555 billion in 2025, exceeding expectations of $15.533 billion with a 4.8% year-over-year increase, although annual sales declined by 0.8% due to unfavorable currency translation, the overall performance remains solid.
- Regional Revenue Disparities: North America generated $3.235 billion in revenue, with a 1.4% decline in the U.S. market, while other regions like Middle Americas and South America showed strong revenue growth at $4.927 billion and $3.645 billion respectively, demonstrating the company's adaptability across markets.
- Shareholder Return Plans: The board proposed a final dividend of €1.00 per share, bringing the total dividend for 2025 to €1.15, and the company has completed approximately $635 million of its $6 billion share buyback program, enhancing shareholder return expectations.
- Sales Growth: Budweiser's Q4 sales rose by 2.5%, with earnings per share increasing by 7.5%, both surpassing analyst expectations, indicating the company's resilience in a competitive market.
- Profit Guidance: The company set its 2026 operating profit guidance at a growth range of 4% to 8%, reflecting management's confidence in future performance, particularly amid challenges posed by commoditized products in the beer industry.
- Market Demand: Despite a 1.5% decline in volume for Q4, management noted that changing consumer preferences towards healthier lifestyles are reshaping the market, with expectations for volume boosts from major sporting events like the World Cup, particularly strong demand for Corona beer during the Winter Olympics.
- Brand Image Improvement: Budweiser is enhancing its brand image through high-profile Super Bowl ads, which are expected to continue boosting its influence in the U.S. market, especially as consumer affinity for the brand increases.
- Strong Financial Performance: Anheuser-Busch reported a 6% increase in earnings per share (EPS) to $3.73 for 2025, alongside a 4.9% EBITDA growth, demonstrating the company's resilience and consistent strategic execution in a dynamic consumer environment.
- Market Share Gains: In North America, Michelob Ultra and Busch Light drove share gains in both beer and spirits, while revenue from Beyond Beer and non-alcoholic beer grew by 23% and 34%, respectively, indicating robust performance in emerging markets.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company announced a final dividend of EUR 1 per share and a $6 billion share buyback program, with an overall dividend increase of 15% year-over-year, reflecting a commitment to shareholders and financial health.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects EBITDA to grow organically by 4% to 8% in 2026, maintaining an unchanged medium-term outlook, emphasizing ongoing investments in digitalization and innovation to capture future industry growth opportunities.
- Crocs Strong Guidance: Crocs shares surged 21% after the company projected adjusted earnings between $2.67 and $2.77 per share for the current quarter, exceeding the market expectation of $2.52, indicating resilience and growth potential in the current economic climate.
- Restaurant Brands Challenges: Despite reporting revenue and profit beats, Restaurant Brands' shares fell 6%, primarily due to rising costs, including beef, which pressured profits, reflecting the dual challenges of intensified industry competition and cost pressures.
- Cognex Stock Surge: Cognex shares jumped over 37% after reporting adjusted earnings and revenue beats for the fourth quarter, along with optimistic guidance for the current quarter, showcasing significant advancements in AI-enabled industrial machine vision technology.
- Equinix Exceeds Guidance: Equinix shares rose 12% after projecting adjusted EBITDA of $5.141 billion to $5.221 billion by 2026, surpassing analyst expectations, demonstrating strong growth potential in the digital infrastructure sector.
- Earnings Release: Anheuser-Busch InBev reported its fourth-quarter financial results on Thursday, with market optimism surrounding its performance likely to drive stock price increases, although specific figures were not disclosed.
- Market Reaction: BUD stock is challenging resistance levels, indicating strong market demand and investor confidence, which may attract more attention from potential investors.
- Analyst Inquiries: During the earnings call, analysts expressed keen interest in the company's growth in zero-alcohol beer and ready-to-drink (RTD) segments, particularly its high growth rate compared to peers.
- CEO Summary: CEO Michel Doukeris concluded the call by thanking investors for their support and encouraging everyone to enjoy life, reflecting the company's confidence and positive outlook for the future.
- Restaurant Brands Performance: Restaurant Brands reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.96 per share, exceeding expectations by $0.01, with revenue of $2.47 billion surpassing the $2.41 billion consensus, leading to a 1.3% stock increase, indicating strong financial performance and market confidence.
- Anheuser-Busch Growth: Anheuser-Busch's fourth-quarter earnings reached $0.95 per share, beating the $0.90 analyst estimate, with revenue of $15.56 billion exceeding the $14.95 billion consensus, resulting in a 2.6% stock rise, reflecting robust growth in a competitive beer market.
- Cisco Decline: Cisco's non-GAAP gross margin of 67.5% fell short of the 68.1% expectation, despite second-quarter results exceeding estimates, causing a stock drop of about 7%, highlighting market concerns over its profitability.
- Cloud Computing Surge: Fastly's stock surged 44% after reporting adjusted earnings of $0.12 per share and revenue of $172.6 million, both exceeding expectations, with full-year revenue guidance of $700 million to $720 million far surpassing the $668 million market estimate, showcasing strong demand and growth potential.







