3G Capital Initiates Position in Amazon with 130K Shares
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 10 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: seekingalpha
- New Position: 3G Capital acquired 130,000 shares of Amazon (AMZN) as part of its Q4 trades, indicating the fund's confidence in Amazon's growth potential and possibly providing stability amid market fluctuations.
- Reductions and Increases: The fund reduced its holdings in Analog Devices (ADI) by 90,000 shares and Broadcom (AVGO) by 65,000 shares while increasing its stake in Meta Platforms (META) to 90,000 shares, reflecting a reassessment and strategic adjustment towards tech stocks.
- Portfolio Adjustments: 3G Capital raised its stake in Carvana (CVNA) from 120,000 to 150,000 shares and MercadoLibre (MELI) from 17,500 to 25,000 shares, suggesting an optimistic outlook on these companies' growth prospects, which may drive future investment returns.
- Reduction Trends: The fund also decreased its holdings in Alphabet (GOOG) from 100,000 to 80,000 shares and BBB Foods (TBBB) from 1.6 million to 550,000 shares, reflecting a cautious stance towards these companies, likely based on risk assessments of changing market conditions.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 198.790
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 198.790
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Cloud Computing Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 24% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching an annualized revenue run rate of over $140 billion, indicating strong market demand, particularly for AI workloads, further solidifying its leadership in the cloud computing sector.
- AI Chip Business: Amazon's Trainium2 AI chip has become its fastest-growing chip product, achieving an annualized revenue exceeding $10 billion, showcasing the company's strong momentum in the AI chip market and enhancing its competitiveness in the AI space.
- Profitability Risks and Opportunities: While Amazon's heavy reliance on AWS poses risks, if capital expenditures drive growth in this segment, it could enhance overall profitability, potentially leading to an inflection point in earnings growth in the long term.
See More
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- Stock Price Fluctuations: Amazon's stock surged about 7% to $247 per share at the start of the year but has since dropped approximately 14% over the last month, primarily due to the ongoing decline in software stocks, prompting investor sell-offs.
- Significant AI Budget Increase: Amazon plans to raise its capital expenditures to $200 billion for 2023, significantly exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $150 billion, which will decelerate free cash flow and impact short-term stock performance.
- Strong AWS Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) generated $35.6 billion in revenue during Q4, reflecting a 24% year-over-year growth, with a staggering $244 billion backlog indicating robust market demand and substantial future growth potential.
- Strategic Partnership Advantages: Amazon's collaboration with Anthropic is establishing a cost-efficient, vertically integrated AI ecosystem, and while initial investment returns may lag, this strategy is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge and market position in the long run.
See More
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- Market Sentiment Shift: Retail sentiment towards the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has flipped from 'bearish' to 'bullish' in just one day, indicating a growing confidence among investors that could lead to increased capital inflows in the near term.
- Nvidia Strategic Shift: Nvidia has exited Applied Digital and Arm Holdings while deepening its partnership with Meta by committing to millions of processors, signaling a strategic pivot towards AI and social media that may impact its market share and competitive positioning.
- Tesla Compliance Action: Tesla has avoided a 30-day sales suspension in California after taking 'corrective action' in the marketing of its Autopilot and Full Self-Driving features, which will help maintain its brand image and market position.
- Economic Data Focus: Investors are closely watching the release of housing starts at 8:30 AM ET and industrial production data at 9:15 AM, as these figures will provide crucial signals about economic health that could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
See More
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- High Expectations Issue: Although Nvidia has consistently beaten Wall Street estimates in the past four quarters, its stock has declined after three earnings reports, highlighting the market's sensitivity to exceeding expectations, as investors may sell off shares due to concerns about future performance.
- Memory Shortage Risk: Should Nvidia's management indicate that memory supply issues could impact GPU sales during the earnings call, it could trigger panic among investors, leading to a stock price drop, reflecting the market's heightened concern over supply chain challenges.
- AI ROI Skepticism: With increasing skepticism regarding the return on investment from AI spending, Nvidia faces additional challenges; similar to Microsoft and Alphabet, which reported strong earnings but saw stock declines due to rising AI expenditures, Nvidia may also be affected by this trend.
See More
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- Surge in Capital Expenditure: In 2025, major tech companies like Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft are projected to spend $360 billion on capital expenditures, with expectations to rise to nearly $600 billion in 2026, indicating robust growth in AI demand that enhances market outlook for these firms.
- Memory Chip Shortage: A persistent shortage of high-bandwidth memory (HBM), DRAM, and NAND chips has led to soaring prices, and experts predict this shortage will continue into 2027, impacting operational costs and profitability for data centers reliant on these components.
- Micron Technology's Revenue Surge: Micron Technology reported record revenue of $13.6 billion in its fiscal 2026 first quarter, a 57% year-over-year increase, with adjusted earnings per share soaring to $4.78, reflecting its strong competitive position in the memory market amid rising demand.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Micron anticipates second-quarter revenue of $18.7 billion, up 132% year-over-year, and adjusted EPS of $8.42, up 440%, highlighting the company's growth potential driven by AI, despite inherent cyclical risks in the memory market.
See More
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- Surge in Capex: In 2025, major tech companies are projected to spend $360 billion on capital expenditures, with estimates soaring to nearly $600 billion in 2026, reflecting a strong anticipation of AI demand, particularly with Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta budgeting $200 billion, $175 billion, and $115 billion, respectively.
- Memory Shortage Impact: The ongoing shortage of data center memory chips has led to skyrocketing prices, with projections indicating that memory costs could account for 45% of the increase in data center spending in 2026, significantly impacting AI processing capabilities, despite major manufacturers reallocating resources to meet demand.
- Micron's Strong Performance: Micron Technology reported record revenue of $13.6 billion in its fiscal Q1 2026, a 57% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS soaring to $4.78, up 167%, showcasing robust profitability amid the memory shortage backdrop.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Micron anticipates Q2 revenue of $18.7 billion, a 132% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS projected at $8.42, up 440%, as management expresses confidence in sustained demand, although the cyclical nature of the memory business remains a risk to monitor.
See More
