Warrior Met Coal Inc's stock rose by 4.26% today, reaching a 52-week high. This movement occurs in the context of a broader market decline, with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.70% and the S&P 500 down 0.06%.
The increase in Warrior Met Coal's stock price is attributed to sector rotation, as investors are shifting their focus towards coal stocks despite the overall market weakness. The coal industry faces challenges, including declining demand and a gloomy outlook, but the slight increase in coal exports projected for 2026 may provide some support for companies like Warrior Met Coal.
This price movement suggests that investors are looking for opportunities within the coal sector, potentially driven by the anticipated demand for metallurgical coal. However, the long-term outlook remains uncertain due to the industry's challenges.
Wall Street analysts forecast HCC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HCC is 83.00 USD with a low forecast of 72.00 USD and a high forecast of 100.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HCC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HCC is 83.00 USD with a low forecast of 72.00 USD and a high forecast of 100.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 90.090
Low
72.00
Averages
83.00
High
100.00
Current: 90.090
Low
72.00
Averages
83.00
High
100.00
UBS
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$100 -> $108
2026-01-29
New
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$100 -> $108
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
New
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
UBS upgraded Warrior Met Coal to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $108, up from $100. The firm believes met coal prices will stay higher in the near term as weather disruptions pressure an "already tight" physical premium coking coal market. Warrior is entering an "inflection point where returns and margins look compelling," the analyst tells investors in a research note. UBS says the company can post double-digit returns as Blue Creek ramps up. It sees further share upside considering a second longwall and higher coal prices that the market is not yet pricing in.
Jefferies
Buy
maintain
$95 -> $120
2026-01-20
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$95 -> $120
2026-01-20
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies raised the firm's price target on Warrior Met Coal to $120 from $95 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after updating the firm's models to reflect Q4 actual coal prices.
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UBS
George Eadie
Neutral
maintain
$80 -> $86
2025-12-12
Reason
UBS
George Eadie
Price Target
$80 -> $86
2025-12-12
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst George Eadie raised the firm's price target on Warrior Met Coal to $86 from $80 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$75 -> $80
2025-11-24
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$75 -> $80
2025-11-24
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Warrior Met Coal to $80 from $75 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Warrior has outperformed peers and the met coal prices by more than 20% in the past month after a strong Q3 and continued operational performance, the analyst tells investors in a research note. UBS views Blue Creek as fully de-risked.
About HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is a producer and exporter of steelmaking coal, also known as hard coking coal (HCC), operating longwall operations in its underground mines based in Alabama. The Company’s two operating mines, Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7, and Blue Creek are located approximately 300 miles from its export terminal at the Port of Mobile in Alabama. The Company sells its coal to a diversified customer base of blast furnace steel producers, primarily located in Europe, South America and Asia. The Company’s HCC, mined from the Southern Appalachian region of the United States, is characterized by low-to-high volatile matter (VM) and high coke strength after reaction (CSR). Mine No.7 operates two longwalls, while Mine No.4 runs a single longwall. Mine No. 4 and Mine No. 7 are located approximately 20 miles east of Tuscaloosa, Alabama and 30 miles southwest of Birmingham, Alabama.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
