Occidental Petroleum's Stock Declines Despite Rising Oil Prices
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy OXY?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Occidental Petroleum Corp's stock is down 5.65% in pre-market trading, crossing below its 5-day SMA, despite a significant rise in oil prices.
The recent surge in Brent crude oil prices surpassing $100 a barrel has historically benefited Occidental, which has seen stock returns exceeding 50% during similar price levels. However, the company has announced a reduction in capital spending by $550 million, which may have contributed to investor concerns, leading to a decline in its stock price.
This decline in stock price, despite the favorable oil market conditions, indicates a potential sector rotation where investors may be reallocating their investments to other energy companies that are perceived to be more resilient or better positioned to capitalize on the current market dynamics.
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Analyst Views on OXY
Wall Street analysts forecast OXY stock price to fall
16 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
9 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 53.940
Low
38.00
Averages
47.27
High
64.00
Current: 53.940
Low
38.00
Averages
47.27
High
64.00
About OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an international energy company with assets primarily in the United States, the Middle East and North Africa. The Company is an oil and gas producer in the United States, including a producer in the Permian and DJ basins, and the offshore Gulf of Mexico. Its segments include oil and gas, and midstream and marketing. The oil and gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil (which includes condensate), natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas. The Company's midstream and marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports, and stores oil (which includes condensate), NGL, natural gas, carbon dioxide (CO2) and power. The midstream and marketing segment provides flow assurance and maximizes the value of its oil and gas. It also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities that conduct similar activities. This segment also includes low-carbon venture businesses.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Cash Reserves Surge: Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves increased from $129 billion at the end of 2022 to $373 billion during Buffett's last 13 quarters, indicating Buffett's cautious stance on the market and suggesting that he viewed most stocks as overvalued.
- New CEO's Investment Dynamics: Newly appointed CEO Greg Abel purchased nearly $16 billion in marketable equities in Q1 2026, nearly matching Buffett's total equity spending from the previous year, suggesting he may see more investment opportunities in the current market.
- Balancing Acquisitions and Sales: Despite Berkshire selling over $24 billion in equities last quarter, it also acquired OxyChem for $9.7 billion, marking the first time since 2022 that Berkshire's spending on business acquisitions exceeded its equity sales, signaling a positive shift in capital deployment.
- Market Opportunity Assessment: Although Abel's $238 million stock buyback indicates a cautious view on the true value of the company's equity, his significant capital deployment last quarter suggests that there are still investment opportunities in the market that investors should consider.
See More
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- Portfolio Changes: In Buffett's last 13 quarters, Berkshire sold more stocks than it bought, resulting in cash increasing from $129 billion at the end of 2022 to $373 billion, indicating concerns over market overvaluation.
- New CEO Acquisitions: Newly appointed CEO Greg Abel purchased nearly $16 billion in marketable equities in Q1 2026, almost matching Buffett's total equity purchases from the previous year, suggesting a reassessment of market opportunities.
- Capital Deployment Signal: Berkshire acquired OxyChem for $9.7 billion last quarter, marking the first time since 2022 that total business purchases exceeded stock sales, indicating the company is actively seeking investment opportunities.
- Cautious Buyback Strategy: Despite resuming the stock repurchase program in March, Abel only bought back $238 million worth of stock, reflecting a cautious stance on the true value of the company's equity portfolio, which may influence future trading strategies.
See More
Greg Abel's First Shareholder Meeting as CEO Receives Mixed Reviews
- Attendance at Shareholder Meeting: Greg Abel's first annual meeting as CEO saw attendance at just over half capacity, indicating a significant drop in draw compared to the Buffett and Munger era, although it still surpassed typical corporate annual meetings.
- Capital Allocation Concerns: Abel's failure to provide clear guidance on the future of Berkshire's equity portfolio and substantial cash reserves has heightened investor concerns regarding the company's capital allocation strategy, potentially impacting market confidence in Berkshire.
- Lackluster Buyback Performance: Despite announcing a resumption of stock buybacks, Berkshire repurchased only $234 million in shares during Q1, falling short of market expectations and possibly undermining investor trust in the company's buyback strategy.
- New CFO Compensation: The new CFO, Charles Chang, will receive an annual salary of $8 million, a significant increase compared to the previous CFO Marc Hamburg's total compensation of $4.3 million, raising potential shareholder concerns about the reasonableness of executive pay.
See More
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- Cash Reserves Surge: Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves have skyrocketed from $106 billion to $397 billion over the past four years, indicating a cautious approach to investment opportunities in the current overvalued market, potentially signaling future market pullback risks.
- Net Selling Trend: Buffett and Abel have sold approximately $194.8 billion in stocks over the past 14 quarters, reflecting their concerns about market valuations, especially as Abel's first quarter saw a net sell of $8.1 billion, the highest level since 2024.
- Valuation Warning: The Buffett indicator reached a historic high of 227% on April 30, far exceeding the historical average of 88%, suggesting that current high valuations may pose significant risks for investors, with Buffett and Abel's strategy reflecting caution towards future market volatility.
- Strategic Investment Opportunities: Despite the current market overvaluation, Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves provide flexibility for future investment opportunities, as historically, Buffett has successfully deployed capital during market panics, and it is expected that this strategy will yield substantial returns in the future.
See More
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- Record Cash Reserves: Berkshire Hathaway's cash pile has surged from $106 billion to a record $397 billion over the past four years, indicating a cautious investment strategy in the current high-valuation market, with Abel poised to deploy this capital during price dislocations.
- Continued Net Stock Sales: Over the last 14 quarters, Buffett and Abel have net sold approximately $195 billion in stocks, reflecting their concerns about current market valuations and demonstrating the company's patience in seeking suitable investment opportunities.
- Buffett Indicator Hits All-Time High: As of April 30, the Buffett Indicator reached 227%, surpassing the peaks seen during the Dot Com Bubble and the Global Financial Crisis, indicating that U.S. stock market valuations are at historic highs, potentially signaling an impending market correction.
- Shift in Investment Strategy: Buffett and Abel have adjusted their investment strategy during the bull market, emphasizing cash reserves in a high-valuation environment, which suggests their vigilance regarding future market volatility and a potential search for investment opportunities during market pullbacks.
See More
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- Earnings Beat: Occidental Petroleum reported a Q1 2026 average daily production of 1.426 million barrels of oil equivalent, exceeding guidance in both Oil and Gas and Midstream segments, which enhances investor confidence in the company's operational strength.
- Executive Transition: President and CEO Vicki Hollub announced her retirement effective June 1, with Richard Jackson, currently Senior VP and COO, approved as her successor, potentially impacting the company's strategic direction moving forward.
- STRATOS Project Update: Jackson noted the completion of Phase 2 of the STRATOS project but identified issues related to non-process components, with ongoing assessments of repair timelines and their implications for the project's operational schedule, highlighting challenges in technology implementation.
- Capital Expenditure and Guidance Adjustments: The company maintains its capital spending outlook between $5.5 billion and $5.9 billion while raising the midpoint of its full-year midstream guidance to $1.1 billion, an increase of approximately $800 million from previous estimates, reflecting optimism about future market conditions.
See More
