Occidental Petroleum's Stock Declines Despite Rising Oil Prices
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy OXY?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Occidental Petroleum Corp's stock is down 5.65% in pre-market trading, crossing below its 5-day SMA, despite a significant rise in oil prices.
The recent surge in Brent crude oil prices surpassing $100 a barrel has historically benefited Occidental, which has seen stock returns exceeding 50% during similar price levels. However, the company has announced a reduction in capital spending by $550 million, which may have contributed to investor concerns, leading to a decline in its stock price.
This decline in stock price, despite the favorable oil market conditions, indicates a potential sector rotation where investors may be reallocating their investments to other energy companies that are perceived to be more resilient or better positioned to capitalize on the current market dynamics.
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Analyst Views on OXY
Wall Street analysts forecast OXY stock price to fall
16 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
9 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 65.320
Low
38.00
Averages
47.27
High
64.00
Current: 65.320
Low
38.00
Averages
47.27
High
64.00
About OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an international energy company with assets primarily in the United States, the Middle East and North Africa. The Company is an oil and gas producer in the United States, including a producer in the Permian and DJ basins, and the offshore Gulf of Mexico. Its segments include oil and gas, and midstream and marketing. The oil and gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil (which includes condensate), natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas. The Company's midstream and marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports, and stores oil (which includes condensate), NGL, natural gas, carbon dioxide (CO2) and power. The midstream and marketing segment provides flow assurance and maximizes the value of its oil and gas. It also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities that conduct similar activities. This segment also includes low-carbon venture businesses.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Surge in Oil Prices: Brent crude oil prices have surged over 70% this year, surpassing $100 per barrel, directly fueling a strong rally in energy stocks, with the average S&P 500 energy stock up about 40%.
- Occidental Petroleum Performance: Occidental Petroleum's stock has risen nearly 60% this year, and it is projected to potentially double by 2026, particularly after its successful sale of its chemicals subsidiary for $9.7 billion, which provided cash for debt repayment.
- Diamondback Energy Outlook: Diamondback Energy has gained approximately 35% this year, and if oil prices remain high, it is expected to generate over $3.1 billion in free cash flow at $50 oil, further strengthening its financial position.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: Diamondback plans to return at least 50% of its free cash flow to investors while using the remainder to bolster its balance sheet, and if oil prices stay elevated, it will accelerate debt reduction and share repurchases, driving up its stock price.
See More
Surging Oil Prices Boost Energy Stocks
- Oil Price Surge: The ongoing conflict with Iran has driven Brent crude prices up over 70% this year, surpassing $100 per barrel, which has significantly boosted energy stocks, with the average S&P 500 energy stock rising about 40%.
- Occidental Financial Improvement: Occidental Petroleum is projected to generate over $1.2 billion in incremental free cash flow this year, a nearly 30% increase from last year, bolstered by the $9.7 billion sale of its chemicals subsidiary to Berkshire Hathaway, which enhances its balance sheet.
- Diamondback Energy Potential: Diamondback Energy has gained approximately 35% this year and could generate over $3.1 billion in free cash flow at $50 oil, planning to return at least 50% of its free cash flow to investors, thereby enhancing shareholder value.
- Future Outlook: Should the conflict with Iran escalate, oil prices could rise further, potentially doubling the stock prices of Occidental and Diamondback by 2026, significantly increasing their free cash flow and shareholder returns.
See More
Morgan Stanley Increases Target Price for Occidental Petroleum Corp to $73, Up from $53
Price Increase Announcement: Occidental Petroleum Corporation has raised its target price to $73 from a previous $53.
Market Impact: This adjustment reflects a significant shift in the company's valuation and expectations in the market.
See More
Trump Threatens to Obliterate Iran's Energy Infrastructure
- Escalating Strategic Threats: Trump stated that the U.S. would completely obliterate Iran's electric generating plants, oil wells, and Kharg Island if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened and a peace deal is not reached, which could escalate regional tensions and impact global energy markets significantly.
- Oil Export Dependency: Kharg Island serves as a critical hub for Iran's oil industry, with approximately 90% of the country's crude exports passing through it and a loading capacity of around 7 million barrels per day; Trump's threats could have substantial implications for global oil prices, especially given the current upward trend.
- Military Action Consideration: The Trump administration is weighing the deployment of ground forces to seize Kharg Island, which would intensify military conflict with Iran and potentially lead to broader regional instability, affecting international relations.
- Iran's Tepid Response: Despite the attention Trump's remarks have garnered, Iran has yet to formally respond, with a Foreign Ministry spokesperson labeling the U.S. 15-point plan as
See More
CITIGROUP INCREASES OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP TARGET PRICE TO $67, UP FROM $45
Company Announcement: Occidental Petroleum Corporation has received a price target increase from Citigroup Group.
New Price Target: The new price target is set at $67, up from the previous target of $45.
See More
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Market Volatility: The U.S. stock market is experiencing significant volatility, impacting investor sentiment and trading strategies.
Investment Strategies: Investors are advised to adopt cautious and diversified approaches to navigate the current market conditions effectively.
See More
