Nokia's Stock Declines Despite Strong Market Gains
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 22 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
Nokia Oyj's stock price fell by 3.04%, hitting a 20-day low, despite the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 both showing significant gains of 1.60% and 1.41%, respectively.
The decline in Nokia's stock comes amid a broader market strength, particularly following the announcement of a $1 billion partnership with Nvidia to develop an AI-enabled 6G radio access network. This partnership is expected to enhance Nokia's communication capabilities and has led to an upgraded financial outlook, with network infrastructure sales growth forecast raised to 12%-14% for the fiscal year 2023. However, despite these positive developments, Nokia's stock has not reflected this optimism in the short term.
This situation highlights a potential sector rotation, where investors may be reallocating their funds towards other sectors that are currently performing better, despite the overall market's upward trend.
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Analyst Views on NOK
Wall Street analysts forecast NOK stock price to fall
7 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 12.510
Low
6.50
Averages
7.36
High
8.50
Current: 12.510
Low
6.50
Averages
7.36
High
8.50
About NOK
Nokia Oyj is a Finland-based company engaged in the network and Internet protocol (IP) infrastructure, software, and related services market. The Company's businesses include Nokia Networks and Nokia Technologies. The Company's segments include Ultra Broadband Networks, IP Networks and Applications, and Nokia Technologies. The Ultra Broadband Networks segment comprises Mobile Networks and Fixed Networks operating segments. The IP Networks and Applications segment comprises IP/Optical Networks and Applications & Analytics operating segments. The Applications & Analytics operating segment offers software solutions spanning customer experience management, network operations and management, communications and collaboration, policy and charging, as well as Cloud, Internet of things (IoT), security, and analytics platforms that enable digital services providers and enterprises to accelerate and optimize their customer experience. The Company has Comptel Oyj among its subsidiaries.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Massive Investments: Nvidia has invested $2 billion each in Coherent and Lumentum, along with a $1 billion stake in Nokia, indicating a strategic focus on photonics technology and network optimization to address AI data transfer bottlenecks and enhance market competitiveness.
- Strong Performance from Coherent: Coherent's latest earnings report reveals a 27% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.8 billion, with earnings per share rising 55% to $1.41, reflecting robust demand in the data center and communications sector, although this segment accounts for 75% of its revenue, posing future risks.
- Rapid Growth of Lumentum: Lumentum's total revenue nearly doubled in Q1 2023 to $808.4 million, with its components and systems segments growing by 77% and 121% respectively, showcasing strong performance in the photonics market, though it faces intense competition from Coherent.
- Promising Nokia Partnership: Nvidia's collaboration with Nokia aims to accelerate the development of AI networking infrastructure, with Nokia reporting a 49% revenue increase in its cloud and AI operations in Q1 2026, although it must prove its execution capabilities in building AI infrastructure to shed its legacy telecom image.
See More
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- Strategic Investments: Nvidia has invested a total of $6 billion across three companies, with $2 billion each in Coherent and Lumentum, and $1 billion in Nokia, aiming to leverage photonics technology to alleviate AI network bottlenecks and enhance data transfer efficiency.
- Coherent Performance: Coherent reported a 27% revenue increase to $1.8 billion in its latest quarter, with its stock price up approximately 110%, yet it faces significant risks as 75% of its revenue comes from data centers, which could be impacted by slowing demand.
- Lumentum Growth: Lumentum's total revenue nearly doubled to $808.4 million, with components and systems segments growing 77% and 121% respectively, but it faces intense competition from Coherent, reflected in its high forward price-to-earnings ratio of 50.
- Nokia Partnership: Nvidia's partnership with Nokia aims to accelerate the development of AI networking infrastructure, with a $1 billion investment giving Nvidia a 2.9% stake, while Nokia's cloud and AI revenue surged 49% in Q1 2026, indicating strong market potential.
See More
Nokia Partners with Nvidia for $1 Billion AI-RAN Initiative
- Strategic Partnership Highlight: Nokia has formed a $1 billion strategic partnership with Nvidia, with Nvidia investing at $6.01 per share to become a 2.9% shareholder, aiming to accelerate the development of AI-RAN, indicating a growing recognition of Nokia's potential in the AI sector.
- Optical Networking Outlook: Nokia is set to launch a second indium phosphide semiconductor fabrication facility in San Jose, California, which is crucial for high-speed optical transceivers that meet the data transfer demands of AI data centers, showcasing its vertical integration advantage in a supply-constrained market.
- Earnings Report Significance: Scheduled for July 23, 2026, Nokia's Q2 earnings report will provide the first insights into actual order flows from the Nvidia partnership and the ramp-up of the San Jose facility; if it delivers on optical growth and guidance related to AI-RAN commercialization, the stock could reprice quickly.
- Market Risks and Opportunities: While Nokia faces execution risks and concerns over 6G timelines, Nvidia's substantial investment and a robust product pipeline position it as a key player in infrastructure development, suggesting that dismissing Nokia as a relic may be a significant oversight.
See More
Nokia's Partnership with Nvidia Could Reshape Market Perception
- Strategic Partnership Highlight: Nokia's strategic partnership with Nvidia, announced in May 2026, involves a $1 billion investment at $6.01 per share, making Nvidia a 2.9% shareholder, aiming to accelerate the development of AI-RAN, which could transform Nokia from a legacy telecom company into an AI infrastructure stock.
- Optical Networking Growth: Nokia is set to bring online a second indium phosphide semiconductor fabrication facility in San Jose, California, which powers high-speed optical transceivers essential for AI data centers, enhancing Nokia's vertical integration advantage in a supply-constrained market.
- Earnings Report Expectations: Scheduled for July 23, 2026, Nokia's Q2 earnings report will provide investors with the first insights into actual order volumes stemming from the Nvidia partnership and the ramp-up of the San Jose facility, potentially leading to a revaluation of Nokia's stock.
- Execution Risks and Market Outlook: While Nokia faces execution risks from its 2024 acquisition of Infinera and potential delays in 6G timelines, Nvidia's substantial investment and a robust product pipeline position Nokia favorably in the AI infrastructure build-out, highlighting significant future growth potential.
See More
