Fair Isaac's FICO score remains dominant despite fee cuts
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 13 2024
0mins
Should l Buy FICO?
Fair Isaac Corp's stock has dropped 5.01% and has hit a 5-day low amid a broader market decline.
Analysts from Oppenheimer noted that while credit bureaus have lowered fees for VantageScore credit reports, this change is not expected to significantly impact Fair Isaac's stock. The FICO mortgage origination score continues to maintain its leading position in the credit scoring market, indicating the company's strong market presence despite the competitive pricing landscape.
This situation suggests that Fair Isaac's FICO score remains resilient, and the company may continue to thrive in the credit scoring industry, even in the face of pricing pressures from competitors.
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Analyst Views on FICO
Wall Street analysts forecast FICO stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1072.350
Low
1700
Averages
2126
High
2500
Current: 1072.350
Low
1700
Averages
2126
High
2500
About FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation is an applied analytics software company. The Company is focused on using predictive analytics and data science to improve operational decisions. The Company operates through two segments: Scores and Software. The Scores segment includes the Company's business-to-business scoring solutions and services which give its clients access to predictive credit and other scores. This segment includes its business-to-consumer scoring solutions, including its myFICO.com subscription offerings. The Company’s Software segment includes pre-configured analytic and decision management solutions designed for a specific type of business need or process, such as account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection and marketing as well as associated professional services. This segment includes FICO Platform, a modular software offering designed to support advanced analytic and decision use cases as well as stand-alone analytic and decisioning software.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Fair Isaac Options Volume: Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) saw options trading volume of 2,657 contracts today, representing approximately 265,700 shares, which is about 74.3% of its average daily trading volume of 357,690 shares over the past month, indicating strong market interest in its future performance.
- High Demand for Puts: Among FICO's options, the $1000 strike put option expiring on April 17, 2026, has seen particularly high volume with 221 contracts traded today, representing approximately 22,100 underlying shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential downside risk.
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- Loan Growth Rebound: Following six consecutive rate cuts by the Fed in 2024 and 2025, Upstart's loan origination growth rate rebounded from -59% in 2023 to 28%, suggesting that its business model is regaining momentum in a low-interest environment.
- Revenue and Earnings Outlook: Analysts expect Upstart's revenue and EPS to grow at CAGRs of 31% and 92%, respectively, from 2025 to 2028, reflecting a continued expansion of its customer base and a recovery in market demand.
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- Fair Isaac Options Volume: Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) saw options trading volume of 2,657 contracts today, representing approximately 265,700 shares, which is about 74.3% of its average daily trading volume of 357,690 shares over the past month, indicating strong market interest in its future performance.
- High Demand for Puts: Among FICO's options, the $1000 strike put option expiring on April 17, 2026, has seen particularly high volume with 221 contracts traded today, representing approximately 22,100 underlying shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential downside risk.
- AutoZone Options Activity: AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has recorded an options trading volume of 842 contracts today, equating to approximately 84,200 shares, which constitutes 66.1% of its average daily trading volume of 127,445 shares over the past month, showcasing active investor interest in its stock.
- High Demand for Calls: The $4000 strike call option for AZO, expiring on May 15, 2026, has seen a trading volume of 309 contracts today, representing about 30,900 underlying shares, indicating a bullish outlook on the stock's future price potential.
See More
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- Financial Index Decline: The NYSE Financial Index fell by 0.6% on Friday afternoon, reflecting a cautious market sentiment towards financial stocks, likely influenced by economic data and interest rate expectations.
- Investor Sentiment Weakens: The broad decline in financial stocks indicates investor concerns about future economic growth, particularly against a backdrop of rising inflation and interest rates, which may lead to capital outflows from the sector.
- Focus on Policy Changes: As the market continues to monitor Federal Reserve policies, the performance of financial stocks may be directly impacted by any changes in policy, necessitating close attention to relevant economic indicators by investors.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: The future performance of the financial sector remains uncertain, especially amid a global economic slowdown, which could affect the profitability of banks and financial service companies.
See More
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- Chip Stock Surge: Investors are favoring semiconductor companies, with Marvell's stock jumping nearly 7%, heading for a third consecutive positive session, indicating strong market confidence in the chip sector.
- Fair Isaac Decline: Fair Isaac's stock dropped over 12% after Barclays cut its 12-month price target from $2,400 to $1,950 while maintaining an overweight rating, reflecting market concerns about its future performance.
- Organon Acquisition Rumors: Organon's stock surged 24% amid reports that India's Sun Pharmaceutical Industries is considering a $12 billion acquisition, although Sun Pharma labeled the news as
See More
Credit Bureaus Lower Fees, But Analysts Assert Fair Isaac's FICO Remains Preeminent.
Price Cut Impact: A price reduction for VantageScore credit reports may not significantly affect the stock prices of Equifax or TransUnion, according to Oppenheimer analysts.
FICO's Dominance: The FICO mortgage origination score, offered by Fair Isaac, continues to lead the credit scoring market despite the changes in VantageScore pricing.
See More
Upstart Stock Rebounds with Promising Profit Outlook
- Return to Profitability: After three consecutive years of losses, Upstart became profitable again in 2025, marking a recovery in its business model, particularly as interest rates declined, which is expected to attract more investor attention.
- Accelerated Loan Growth: Following six consecutive rate cuts by the Fed in 2024 and 2025, Upstart's loan growth rate rebounded from -59% in 2023 to 115% in 2025, indicating a strong recovery in market demand.
- Optimistic Revenue Outlook: Analysts project Upstart's revenue and EPS to grow at CAGRs of 31% and 92%, respectively, from 2025 to 2028, reflecting the ongoing expansion of its customer base and market potential.
- Attractive Market Valuation: Despite Upstart's enterprise value of $3.3 billion, its price-to-sales ratio stands at only two times this year's sales, indicating historical undervaluation under its long-term growth potential, which may present a good buying opportunity for investors.
See More
Upstart Returns to Profitability Amidst Declining Interest Rates
- Return to Profitability: After three consecutive years of losses, Upstart achieved profitability again in 2025, indicating a gradual recovery of its business amidst declining interest rates, showcasing the company's resilience and potential in the market.
- Loan Growth Rebound: Following six consecutive rate cuts by the Fed in 2024 and 2025, Upstart's loan origination growth rate rebounded from -59% in 2023 to 28%, suggesting that its business model is regaining momentum in a low-interest environment.
- Revenue and Earnings Outlook: Analysts expect Upstart's revenue and EPS to grow at CAGRs of 31% and 92%, respectively, from 2025 to 2028, reflecting a continued expansion of its customer base and a recovery in market demand.
- Attractive Market Valuation: With an enterprise value of $3.3 billion, Upstart's current sales multiple of just 2 times indicates that its stock remains historically undervalued, potentially attracting more investors to its long-term growth prospects.
See More
