CarMax set to report Q1 earnings amid cautious optimism
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 06 2026
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
CarMax Inc (KMX) has seen its stock rise by 3.02% as it reaches a 20-day high, reflecting positive investor sentiment ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
The company is scheduled to announce its Q1 earnings on June 17, with analysts projecting an EPS of 94 cents. This forecast indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook for CarMax's profitability, despite a slight expected decline in revenue to $7.42 billion from last year's $7.55 billion. The anticipated earnings report is generating interest among market participants, who are keen to assess the company's performance amidst increasing competition and changing consumer demand.
As CarMax prepares for its earnings release, the market's positive momentum, reflected in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 gains, may bolster investor confidence. However, the company faces challenges in achieving revenue growth, which could impact its stock performance in the near term.
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Analyst Views on KMX
Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
10 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 47.430
Low
24.00
Averages
33.60
High
37.00
Current: 47.430
Low
24.00
Averages
33.60
High
37.00
About KMX
CarMax, Inc. is a retailer of used autos. The Company operates through two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance (CAF). The CarMax Sales Operations segment consists of all aspects of its auto merchandising and service operations. The CarMax Sales Operations segment sells used vehicles, purchases used vehicles from customers and other sources, sells related products and services, and arranges financing options for customers. The CAF segment consists solely of its own finance operation that provides financing for customers buying retail vehicles from the Company. The CAF segment also services all auto loans, it originates and is responsible for providing billing statements, collecting payments, maintaining contact with delinquent customers, and arranging for the repossession of vehicles securing defaulted loans. It provides customers with a range of other related products and services, including extended protection plan (EPP) products and vehicle repair services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
CarMax Reports Strong Q1 Earnings, Unveils Growth Strategy
- Earnings Beat: CarMax reported Q1 earnings per share of $1.50, exceeding analyst expectations by 15%, indicating strong demand in the used car market and effective cost control strategies.
- New Growth Strategy: The company unveiled a new growth strategy focused on digital transformation and enhancing customer experience, which is expected to drive sales growth in the coming quarters.
- Analyst Target Upgrades: Several analysts raised their price targets for CarMax, reflecting optimistic market expectations regarding its future growth potential, as analysts believe the company will benefit from a recovery in the used car market.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the earnings release, CarMax's stock price surged by 8%, demonstrating investor confidence in the company's new strategy and strong performance, further solidifying market confidence in its long-term growth.
See More
CarMax Reports Strong Q1 Earnings but Stock Declines
- Earnings Beat: CarMax's Q1 fiscal 2027 report revealed revenues of $8.01 billion, exceeding market expectations by approximately $580 million, although earnings per share of $1.31 represented a 5.1% decline year-over-year, indicating pressure on profitability despite sales growth.
- Sales Growth: The company experienced a 6.1% year-over-year increase in sales, with combined retail and wholesale unit sales rising by 3.3%, suggesting that market demand remains strong despite profitability challenges.
- Cost Control Goals: CarMax anticipates achieving approximately $200 million in cost savings for the fiscal year, and management remains optimistic about controlling selling, general, and administrative expenses despite current pressures.
- Market Reaction: Despite the strong Q1 performance, CarMax's stock fell nearly 9% in trading, reflecting investor disappointment over forward guidance, particularly against the backdrop of a broader market decline.
See More
CarMax Stock Surges 13% After Analyst Upgrades
- Stock Rebound: CarMax's stock surged 13% on Thursday after a 9% drop the previous day, indicating a positive market reaction to its earnings report despite initial negative sentiment.
- Analyst Rating Upgrades: J.P. Morgan raised its price target for CarMax to $38 while maintaining a sell rating, whereas Baird increased its target from $48 to $55, reflecting analysts' confidence in the company's future performance.
- Key Analyst Adjustment: Stephens analyst Jeff Lick upgraded CarMax's rating from equal weight to overweight and significantly raised his price target to $66, acknowledging its strong market position despite competitive pressures.
- Strong Performance: CarMax reported a 6% year-over-year revenue growth in its first quarter, and if it can sustain this growth, its stock is expected to perform well in a challenging auto sales environment.
See More
CarMax Shares Surge 13% as Analysts Upgrade Outlook
- Stock Price Rebound: CarMax shares surged 13% on Thursday after a 9% drop the previous day, indicating a recovery in investor confidence regarding its growth potential despite an initial negative reaction to its earnings report.
- Analyst Rating Adjustments: J.P. Morgan raised its price target for CarMax to $38 while maintaining a sell rating, whereas Baird increased its target from $48 to $55, reflecting a more optimistic outlook on CarMax's future performance.
- Positive Analyst Outlook: Analyst Jeff Lick from Stephens upgraded CarMax's rating from equal weight to overweight and significantly raised his price target to $66, asserting that CarMax will continue to attract customers as the leading used-car retailer, despite facing some market challenges.
- Quarterly Performance: CarMax reported a 6% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 of fiscal 2027, showcasing resilience in a challenging auto sales environment, and if it can sustain this growth, its stock is expected to perform well.
See More
CarMax Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Analysts Optimistic About Future
- Earnings Beat: CarMax reported Q1 revenue exceeding $8 billion and earnings per share of $1.31, both comfortably surpassing market expectations, indicating strong performance in the used car retail sector that may attract more investor interest.
- Analyst Upgrades: At least eight Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on CarMax, including one bullish upgrade, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding the company's future growth potential, which could drive further stock price increases.
- New CEO's Strategic Plan: New CEO Keith Barr unveiled a four-pillar strategy, with details to be announced in the fall, which analysts believe will help lower costs and improve customer conversion rates, thereby driving profit growth.
- Shifting Market Sentiment: Retail investor sentiment towards KMX stock shifted from 'bearish' to 'neutral', indicating a gradual restoration of confidence in the company's future despite a nearly 19% decline in stock price over the past year.
See More
CarMax CEO Highlights Need to Improve Customer Experience
- Earnings Beat Expectations: CarMax reported Q1 earnings of $1.31 per share, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.98, with revenue hitting $8 billion, exceeding the consensus forecast of $7.4 billion, although total gross profit declined by 4.4%, indicating pressure on profitability amid high costs.
- Need for Customer Experience Improvement: CEO Keith Barr highlighted the disconnect between CarMax's online and in-store experiences, which is hurting conversion rates; management plans to leverage technology to reduce reconditioning costs while enhancing operational efficiency to improve the customer journey and fully utilize the nationwide store network.
- Operational Inefficiencies: Barr pointed out that CarMax's core operations are not yet fast and efficient enough, noting that despite moving over two million vehicles annually, the logistics network suffers from “too many unproductive transfers,” which hampers overall operational efficiency.
- Bearish Market Sentiment: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for KMX is deemed 'bearish,' with message volume surging 8,600%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's future performance, as the stock has lost nearly 27% over the past 12 months.
See More
CarMax Reports Strong Q1 Earnings, Unveils Growth Strategy
- Earnings Beat: CarMax reported Q1 earnings per share of $1.50, exceeding analyst expectations by 15%, indicating strong demand in the used car market and effective cost control strategies.
- New Growth Strategy: The company unveiled a new growth strategy focused on digital transformation and enhancing customer experience, which is expected to drive sales growth in the coming quarters.
- Analyst Target Upgrades: Several analysts raised their price targets for CarMax, reflecting optimistic market expectations regarding its future growth potential, as analysts believe the company will benefit from a recovery in the used car market.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the earnings release, CarMax's stock price surged by 8%, demonstrating investor confidence in the company's new strategy and strong performance, further solidifying market confidence in its long-term growth.
See More
CarMax Reports Strong Q1 Earnings but Stock Declines
- Earnings Beat: CarMax's Q1 fiscal 2027 report revealed revenues of $8.01 billion, exceeding market expectations by approximately $580 million, although earnings per share of $1.31 represented a 5.1% decline year-over-year, indicating pressure on profitability despite sales growth.
- Sales Growth: The company experienced a 6.1% year-over-year increase in sales, with combined retail and wholesale unit sales rising by 3.3%, suggesting that market demand remains strong despite profitability challenges.
- Cost Control Goals: CarMax anticipates achieving approximately $200 million in cost savings for the fiscal year, and management remains optimistic about controlling selling, general, and administrative expenses despite current pressures.
- Market Reaction: Despite the strong Q1 performance, CarMax's stock fell nearly 9% in trading, reflecting investor disappointment over forward guidance, particularly against the backdrop of a broader market decline.
See More
CarMax Stock Surges 13% After Analyst Upgrades
- Stock Rebound: CarMax's stock surged 13% on Thursday after a 9% drop the previous day, indicating a positive market reaction to its earnings report despite initial negative sentiment.
- Analyst Rating Upgrades: J.P. Morgan raised its price target for CarMax to $38 while maintaining a sell rating, whereas Baird increased its target from $48 to $55, reflecting analysts' confidence in the company's future performance.
- Key Analyst Adjustment: Stephens analyst Jeff Lick upgraded CarMax's rating from equal weight to overweight and significantly raised his price target to $66, acknowledging its strong market position despite competitive pressures.
- Strong Performance: CarMax reported a 6% year-over-year revenue growth in its first quarter, and if it can sustain this growth, its stock is expected to perform well in a challenging auto sales environment.
See More
CarMax Shares Surge 13% as Analysts Upgrade Outlook
- Stock Price Rebound: CarMax shares surged 13% on Thursday after a 9% drop the previous day, indicating a recovery in investor confidence regarding its growth potential despite an initial negative reaction to its earnings report.
- Analyst Rating Adjustments: J.P. Morgan raised its price target for CarMax to $38 while maintaining a sell rating, whereas Baird increased its target from $48 to $55, reflecting a more optimistic outlook on CarMax's future performance.
- Positive Analyst Outlook: Analyst Jeff Lick from Stephens upgraded CarMax's rating from equal weight to overweight and significantly raised his price target to $66, asserting that CarMax will continue to attract customers as the leading used-car retailer, despite facing some market challenges.
- Quarterly Performance: CarMax reported a 6% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 of fiscal 2027, showcasing resilience in a challenging auto sales environment, and if it can sustain this growth, its stock is expected to perform well.
See More
CarMax Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Analysts Optimistic About Future
- Earnings Beat: CarMax reported Q1 revenue exceeding $8 billion and earnings per share of $1.31, both comfortably surpassing market expectations, indicating strong performance in the used car retail sector that may attract more investor interest.
- Analyst Upgrades: At least eight Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on CarMax, including one bullish upgrade, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding the company's future growth potential, which could drive further stock price increases.
- New CEO's Strategic Plan: New CEO Keith Barr unveiled a four-pillar strategy, with details to be announced in the fall, which analysts believe will help lower costs and improve customer conversion rates, thereby driving profit growth.
- Shifting Market Sentiment: Retail investor sentiment towards KMX stock shifted from 'bearish' to 'neutral', indicating a gradual restoration of confidence in the company's future despite a nearly 19% decline in stock price over the past year.
See More
CarMax CEO Highlights Need to Improve Customer Experience
- Earnings Beat Expectations: CarMax reported Q1 earnings of $1.31 per share, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.98, with revenue hitting $8 billion, exceeding the consensus forecast of $7.4 billion, although total gross profit declined by 4.4%, indicating pressure on profitability amid high costs.
- Need for Customer Experience Improvement: CEO Keith Barr highlighted the disconnect between CarMax's online and in-store experiences, which is hurting conversion rates; management plans to leverage technology to reduce reconditioning costs while enhancing operational efficiency to improve the customer journey and fully utilize the nationwide store network.
- Operational Inefficiencies: Barr pointed out that CarMax's core operations are not yet fast and efficient enough, noting that despite moving over two million vehicles annually, the logistics network suffers from “too many unproductive transfers,” which hampers overall operational efficiency.
- Bearish Market Sentiment: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for KMX is deemed 'bearish,' with message volume surging 8,600%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's future performance, as the stock has lost nearly 27% over the past 12 months.
See More
