Alaska Air to Announce Q1 Earnings Amid Negative EPS Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 31 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ALK?
Alaska Air Group Inc's stock fell 5.01% and hit a 5-day low amid broader market declines, with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.76% and the S&P 500 down 1.27%.
The company is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings report on February 13, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.87, indicating a 13% year-over-year decline. This negative outlook may raise investor concerns about the company's financial health, despite a revenue estimate of $3.29 billion, which reflects a 4.8% year-over-year increase. Historical performance shows that Alaska Air has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time, but recent downward revisions in forecasts could impact investor sentiment.
The upcoming earnings report is crucial for Alaska Air as it navigates potential challenges in the current market environment. Investors will be closely watching the results to gauge the company's ability to maintain stability and growth amid these pressures.
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Analyst Views on ALK
Wall Street analysts forecast ALK stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 42.340
Low
63.00
Averages
71.10
High
80.00
Current: 42.340
Low
63.00
Averages
71.10
High
80.00
About ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc. is engaged in operating airlines. The Company operates through its subsidiaries Alaska Airlines, Inc., Hawaiian Holdings, Inc., Horizon Air Industries, Inc., and McGee Air Services. The Company's segments include Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The Alaska Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation on Alaska's Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo. The Hawaiian Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation on Hawaiian's Boeing and Airbus jet aircraft for passengers and cargo. The Regional segment includes Horizon's and other third-party carriers’ scheduled air transportation on E175 jet aircraft for passengers under capacity purchase agreements (CPAs). The Company serves more than 140 destinations throughout North America, Central America, Asia and across the Pacific. The Company provides freight and mail services (cargo) using both freighter aircraft and the bellies of its passenger aircraft.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Flight Cancellations Impact: The U.S. and Israel's military actions against Iran have resulted in thousands of flight cancellations, putting additional pressure on airlines facing rising fuel costs, which are their second-largest expense after labor.
- Industry Response: Airline executives are urging Congress and the administration to act swiftly to end the DHS shutdown, emphasizing the critical importance of the transportation security workforce and the need to avoid using it as a political bargaining chip that could compromise safety and service.
- Historical Lessons: The previous government shutdown from 2018 to 2019 saw TSA personnel shortages leading to checkpoint closures and longer wait times, raising concerns that the current situation could repeat itself, creating uncertainty for the airline industry.
See More
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- Disappointing Employment Data: The US nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly dropped by 92,000 in February, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%, indicating a weakening labor market that raises doubts about economic health and may lead the Fed to adopt a more cautious approach in future policy adjustments.
- Surge in Energy Prices: WTI crude oil prices surged over 12% to a 2.5-year high as the ongoing Middle East conflict exacerbates supply concerns, which is expected to push global oil prices even higher, impacting profitability across related sectors.
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