Wynn Resorts Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates, Shares Drop
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy WYNN?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Miss: Wynn Resorts reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.17 for Q4, missing estimates by $0.31, which led to a 3.6% drop in postmarket trading, indicating market concerns over its profitability.
- Revenue Fluctuations: While operating revenues increased by $33.4M at Wynn Palace and $7.7M at Wynn Macau, Las Vegas operations saw a decline of $11.4M and Encore Boston Harbor dropped by $2.5M, resulting in a mere 0.1% increase in total revenue to $1.87B, reflecting regional market weaknesses.
- Declining Win Rates: The table games win percentage in Las Vegas was 21.8%, falling short of the expected 22%-26% range and down from 21.9% a year ago, suggesting challenges to the company's competitive position in the area.
- Strategic Investment Progress: Wynn Resorts contributed $79.2M in cash to the Wynn Al Marjan Island project in the UAE, bringing total contributions to $914.2M, with the project expected to open in Q1 2027, marking a significant step in the company's global development strategy.
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Analyst Views on WYNN
Wall Street analysts forecast WYNN stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 107.850
Low
126.04
Averages
146.62
High
164.00
Current: 107.850
Low
126.04
Averages
146.62
High
164.00
About WYNN
Wynn Resorts, Limited is a designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring hotel rooms, retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options, meeting and convention facilities, and gaming. The Company owns and operates Wynn Las Vegas, Wynn Macau, Wynn Palace, Cotai, Wynn Mayfair, and operates Encore Boston Harbor. Wynn and Encore Las Vegas consist of two hotel towers with a total of 4,748 spacious hotel rooms, suites, and villas. Encore Boston Harbor features 671 hotel rooms and suites, a spa, 14 dining and lounge venues, a nightclub, and a ballroom and meeting spaces. Wynn Macau is in the Macau Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China with two luxury hotel towers. Wynn Palace offers 1,706 exquisite rooms, suites, and villas, 14 food and beverage outlets, meeting and convention space, an extensive boutique shopping esplanade, SkyCabs that traverse an eight-acre Performance Lake, an extensive collection of rare art, a spa and salon.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Wynn Resorts Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Global Diversification Strategy: CEO Craig Billings highlighted that Wynn Resorts expects over 55% of its revenues to come from non-U.S. dollar markets, indicating a strategic shift towards global diversification to cater to high-value consumers, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the international luxury market.
- Strong Las Vegas Performance: Las Vegas operations achieved an EBITDA of $241 million, reflecting healthy market demand, although the upcoming Encore Tower remodel is expected to reduce available room nights by about 80,000, which may present a slight headwind for 2026.
- Macau Market Growth: Macau saw VIP turnover increase by 48% and mass drop by 18%, despite low hold impacting EBITDA by over $16 million, with management remaining optimistic about future prospects, believing the premium segment will continue to lead growth.
- Financial Robustness: Wynn Las Vegas generated $688.1 million in operating revenue with an adjusted EBITDA of $240.8 million, achieving an EBITDA margin of 35%, demonstrating the company's strong capabilities in cost control and revenue growth.
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Wynn Resorts Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Global Diversification Strategy: CEO Craig Billings highlighted that Wynn Resorts expects over 55% of its revenues to come from non-U.S. dollar markets, indicating a strategic shift towards global diversification to cater to high-value consumers, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the international luxury market.
- Strong Las Vegas Performance: Las Vegas operations achieved an EBITDA of $241 million, reflecting healthy market demand, although the upcoming Encore Tower remodel is expected to reduce available room nights by about 80,000, which may present a slight headwind for 2026.
- Macau Market Growth: Macau saw VIP turnover increase by 48% and mass drop by 18%, despite low hold impacting EBITDA by over $16 million, with management remaining optimistic about future prospects, believing the premium segment will continue to lead growth.
- Financial Robustness: Wynn Las Vegas generated $688.1 million in operating revenue with an adjusted EBITDA of $240.8 million, achieving an EBITDA margin of 35%, demonstrating the company's strong capabilities in cost control and revenue growth.
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- Stock Price Surge: Following the acquisition announcement, Tri Pointe's stock surged by 26%, reflecting positive investor sentiment towards the deal and optimism regarding a recovery in the real estate market.
- Delivery Outlook: Tri Pointe expects to deliver between 1,200 and 1,400 homes in Q4, demonstrating stable delivery capabilities in the current market environment, which enhances its attractiveness to investors.
- Analyst Rating Adjustments: RBC Capital lowered Tri Pointe's price target from $37 to $31, yet Citizens initiated coverage with an Outperform rating, indicating divergent views on the company's future performance in the market.
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- Small Caps Lead Gains: The Russell 2000 index rose nearly 1.8%, outperforming large-cap stocks, reflecting increased investor confidence in small businesses and potentially indicating optimism about economic recovery.
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- Wendy's Earnings Beat: Wendy's reported adjusted earnings of 16 cents per share and revenue of $543 million for the fourth quarter, both exceeding FactSet expectations, demonstrating its sustained competitiveness in the fast-food market.
- Rivian's Upgraded Delivery Forecast: Rivian projects vehicle deliveries of 62,000 to 67,000 units in 2026, representing a 47% to 59% increase from 2025, and despite a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of 54 cents per share, revenue of $1.29 billion surpassed estimates, indicating strong market demand.
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- Inflation Data Decline: The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%, indicating easing inflationary pressures that could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, thereby positively impacting market sentiment.
- Tariff Adjustments: President Trump plans to roll back some tariffs on steel and aluminum, causing shares of U.S. steelmakers like Nucor and Cleveland-Cliffs to drop in premarket trading, reflecting market sensitivity to policy changes and their potential impact on related industries.
- Strong Performance from Applied Materials: The semiconductor equipment maker reported sales and earnings that exceeded expectations, with shares jumping 10%, indicating robust industry demand that may attract more investor interest in the sector's growth potential.
- DraftKings Performance Decline: The sportsbook operator's shares plunged over 15% after providing a disappointing 2026 revenue outlook, reflecting market concerns about its future growth, which may lead investors to reassess their investment strategies.
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