What's Going On With Tencent Music Entertainment Shares On Thursday?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 17 2024
0mins
Should l Buy TME?
Source: Benzinga
Partnership Announcement: Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) has formed a strategic partnership with Galaxy Corporation for global musician G-Dragon's upcoming regional tour, enhancing TME's international presence in the music industry.
Market Impact: Despite this collaboration, TME shares are down 1.90% in premarket trading, currently priced at $11.90, as investors await the company's third-quarter results scheduled for November 12, 2024.
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Analyst Views on TME
Wall Street analysts forecast TME stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 9.970
Low
21.00
Averages
26.13
High
29.00
Current: 9.970
Low
21.00
Averages
26.13
High
29.00
About TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group is a holding company mainly engaged in the provision and operation of online music entertainment platform. The Company is mainly engaged in the provision of online music services, social entertainment services and other services. The Company operates four major product brands, QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music and WeSing, through which the Company provides online music and social entertainment services to address the music entertainment needs of audience in China. The Company also offers Lazy Audio, the dedicated long-form audio app as a complement to the flagship music-centric product portfolio.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Tencent Music Shares Plunge 28.8% Amid Investor Concerns
- Significant Stock Decline: Tencent Music's shares fell 28.8% this week, bringing its market cap down to $5.9 billion, reflecting investor concerns about the company's future performance amid a competitive market landscape.
- Earnings Report Concerns: Although the fourth-quarter revenue grew 15.9% to $1.24 billion, beating expectations, the adjusted earnings per ADS only increased by 8.8%, indicating that profit growth is lagging behind revenue, which may suggest competitive pressures.
- Reduction in Key Metrics Disclosure: Management announced it would no longer disclose key performance indicators such as monthly active users, paying user counts, and average revenue per user, focusing instead on total paying users at year-end, which has raised further investor skepticism.
- Value Investment Opportunity: Following the stock's sharp decline, Tencent Music trades at just 11.5 times trailing adjusted earnings, and despite slowing revenue and earnings, it managed nearly 22% adjusted earnings growth for 2025, potentially offering a low-entry point for value investors comfortable with Chinese stocks.
See More
Tencent Music Reports Q4 Earnings Beat on Revenue, Meets Profit Expectations
- Significant Revenue Growth: Tencent Music's Q4 revenue increased by 15.9% year-over-year to $1.24 billion, surpassing market expectations and demonstrating resilience in a competitive streaming music market.
- Mediocre Profit Performance: Despite strong revenue growth, adjusted earnings per share rose only 8.8%, just meeting expectations, indicating potential pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Reduction in Key Metrics Disclosure: Management announced it would no longer disclose key operational metrics such as monthly active users, number of paying users, and average revenue per user, raising concerns about transparency and contributing to a significant stock price drop.
- Attractive Stock Valuation: Following a 28.8% decline in stock price, Tencent Music's P/E ratio has fallen to 11.5 times, and despite facing growth slowdowns, it is viewed as a potential buying opportunity for value investors.
See More
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- CrowdStrike Upgrade: Analysts upgraded CrowdStrike (CRWD) from Sell to Hold, citing a record customer acquisition in Q4 and strong enterprise demand, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth indicating sustained potential in the cybersecurity sector.
- Arm Holdings Outlook: Arm Holdings (ARM) was also upgraded to Hold; despite smartphone market concerns, analysts highlighted resilient royalty revenue from v9 and CSS architectures, along with AI chip development opportunities with Nvidia and MediaTek that could drive future growth.
- Tencent Music Downgrade: Tencent Music (TME) was downgraded from Buy to Hold, as analysts expressed concerns over reduced data transparency and intensified competition, despite faster revenue growth in Q4 2025, suggesting prolonged competitive pressures ahead.
- Uber Challenges: Uber (UBER) was downgraded to Hold, with analysts noting slowing revenue growth and competitive threats from autonomous vehicles, indicating a pricing ceiling that could hinder future profitability and market position.
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Tencent Music Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Growth
- Significant Revenue Growth: Tencent Music achieved total revenue of RMB 8.6 billion in Q4 2025, marking a 15% year-on-year increase, with online music service revenue reaching RMB 26.7 billion, up 23%, indicating strong market demand and business expansion capabilities.
- Strong Subscription Performance: Music subscription revenue reached RMB 4.6 billion in Q4 2025, up 13% year-on-year, demonstrating the company's success in user retention and engagement, particularly with SVIP memberships surpassing 20 million.
- Robust Non-Subscription Services: Revenue from other music services grew by 41% year-on-year to RMB 2.5 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting the company's successful expansion into non-subscription offerings such as live concerts and merchandise, enhancing revenue diversity.
- Improved Profitability: Net profit for Q4 2025 was RMB 2.3 billion, up 10% year-on-year, while non-IFRS net profit was RMB 2.6 billion, up 8%, showcasing the company's effectiveness in managing operating expenses despite facing intense market competition.
See More
Tencent Music Faces Analyst Downgrades After Earnings Report
- Earnings Report Fallout: Tencent Music's weaker-than-expected earnings report led to a stock decline of over 9% over two days, indicating market concerns about its future growth amid rising competition.
- Analyst Downgrades: Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang downgraded Tencent Music from buy to hold, expressing diminished confidence in future growth despite strong fourth-quarter results, highlighting worries about subscription user growth.
- Price Target Cuts: Goldman Sachs analyst Lincoln Kong reduced his price target from $20 to $17.60, while JPMorgan's Alex Yao slashed his target from $30 to $12, maintaining a neutral rating, reflecting differing analyst views on the company's outlook.
- User Growth Concerns: While Tencent Music continues to post double-digit growth in revenue, its monthly active user (MAU) count fell by 5%, raising investor concerns about user base erosion, necessitating management action to reverse this trend.
See More
Analysts Downgrade Tencent Music Following Earnings Report
- Analyst Downgrades: Following a weaker-than-expected earnings report, analysts have downgraded Tencent Music for the second consecutive day, with Benchmark's Fawne Jiang lowering her rating from buy to hold without providing a new price target, resulting in a stock drop of over 9%.
- Increased Competition Risks: Despite Tencent Music's strong growth in the online music market, analysts remain cautious about the future, with Jiang highlighting that rising competition and new content consumption methods, particularly the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence, could threaten its high-margin subscription revenue.
- User Growth Slowdown: The earnings report revealed a 5% decline in monthly active users (MAU), raising investor concerns as this key metric's drop could significantly impact future revenue growth, especially for a company heavily reliant on social media dynamics.
- Price Target Cuts: Goldman Sachs analyst Lincoln Kong reduced his price target from $20 to $17.60 while maintaining a buy rating, whereas JPMorgan's Alex Yao slashed his target from $30 to $12, keeping a neutral rating, reflecting widespread market concerns regarding Tencent Music's future performance.
See More
Tencent Music Shares Plunge 28.8% Amid Investor Concerns
- Significant Stock Decline: Tencent Music's shares fell 28.8% this week, bringing its market cap down to $5.9 billion, reflecting investor concerns about the company's future performance amid a competitive market landscape.
- Earnings Report Concerns: Although the fourth-quarter revenue grew 15.9% to $1.24 billion, beating expectations, the adjusted earnings per ADS only increased by 8.8%, indicating that profit growth is lagging behind revenue, which may suggest competitive pressures.
- Reduction in Key Metrics Disclosure: Management announced it would no longer disclose key performance indicators such as monthly active users, paying user counts, and average revenue per user, focusing instead on total paying users at year-end, which has raised further investor skepticism.
- Value Investment Opportunity: Following the stock's sharp decline, Tencent Music trades at just 11.5 times trailing adjusted earnings, and despite slowing revenue and earnings, it managed nearly 22% adjusted earnings growth for 2025, potentially offering a low-entry point for value investors comfortable with Chinese stocks.
See More
Tencent Music Reports Q4 Earnings Beat on Revenue, Meets Profit Expectations
- Significant Revenue Growth: Tencent Music's Q4 revenue increased by 15.9% year-over-year to $1.24 billion, surpassing market expectations and demonstrating resilience in a competitive streaming music market.
- Mediocre Profit Performance: Despite strong revenue growth, adjusted earnings per share rose only 8.8%, just meeting expectations, indicating potential pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Reduction in Key Metrics Disclosure: Management announced it would no longer disclose key operational metrics such as monthly active users, number of paying users, and average revenue per user, raising concerns about transparency and contributing to a significant stock price drop.
- Attractive Stock Valuation: Following a 28.8% decline in stock price, Tencent Music's P/E ratio has fallen to 11.5 times, and despite facing growth slowdowns, it is viewed as a potential buying opportunity for value investors.
See More
CrowdStrike and Arm Upgraded, Tencent Music and Uber Downgraded
- CrowdStrike Upgrade: Analysts upgraded CrowdStrike (CRWD) from Sell to Hold, citing a record customer acquisition in Q4 and strong enterprise demand, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth indicating sustained potential in the cybersecurity sector.
- Arm Holdings Outlook: Arm Holdings (ARM) was also upgraded to Hold; despite smartphone market concerns, analysts highlighted resilient royalty revenue from v9 and CSS architectures, along with AI chip development opportunities with Nvidia and MediaTek that could drive future growth.
- Tencent Music Downgrade: Tencent Music (TME) was downgraded from Buy to Hold, as analysts expressed concerns over reduced data transparency and intensified competition, despite faster revenue growth in Q4 2025, suggesting prolonged competitive pressures ahead.
- Uber Challenges: Uber (UBER) was downgraded to Hold, with analysts noting slowing revenue growth and competitive threats from autonomous vehicles, indicating a pricing ceiling that could hinder future profitability and market position.
See More
Tencent Music Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Growth
- Significant Revenue Growth: Tencent Music achieved total revenue of RMB 8.6 billion in Q4 2025, marking a 15% year-on-year increase, with online music service revenue reaching RMB 26.7 billion, up 23%, indicating strong market demand and business expansion capabilities.
- Strong Subscription Performance: Music subscription revenue reached RMB 4.6 billion in Q4 2025, up 13% year-on-year, demonstrating the company's success in user retention and engagement, particularly with SVIP memberships surpassing 20 million.
- Robust Non-Subscription Services: Revenue from other music services grew by 41% year-on-year to RMB 2.5 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting the company's successful expansion into non-subscription offerings such as live concerts and merchandise, enhancing revenue diversity.
- Improved Profitability: Net profit for Q4 2025 was RMB 2.3 billion, up 10% year-on-year, while non-IFRS net profit was RMB 2.6 billion, up 8%, showcasing the company's effectiveness in managing operating expenses despite facing intense market competition.
See More
Tencent Music Faces Analyst Downgrades After Earnings Report
- Earnings Report Fallout: Tencent Music's weaker-than-expected earnings report led to a stock decline of over 9% over two days, indicating market concerns about its future growth amid rising competition.
- Analyst Downgrades: Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang downgraded Tencent Music from buy to hold, expressing diminished confidence in future growth despite strong fourth-quarter results, highlighting worries about subscription user growth.
- Price Target Cuts: Goldman Sachs analyst Lincoln Kong reduced his price target from $20 to $17.60, while JPMorgan's Alex Yao slashed his target from $30 to $12, maintaining a neutral rating, reflecting differing analyst views on the company's outlook.
- User Growth Concerns: While Tencent Music continues to post double-digit growth in revenue, its monthly active user (MAU) count fell by 5%, raising investor concerns about user base erosion, necessitating management action to reverse this trend.
See More
Analysts Downgrade Tencent Music Following Earnings Report
- Analyst Downgrades: Following a weaker-than-expected earnings report, analysts have downgraded Tencent Music for the second consecutive day, with Benchmark's Fawne Jiang lowering her rating from buy to hold without providing a new price target, resulting in a stock drop of over 9%.
- Increased Competition Risks: Despite Tencent Music's strong growth in the online music market, analysts remain cautious about the future, with Jiang highlighting that rising competition and new content consumption methods, particularly the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence, could threaten its high-margin subscription revenue.
- User Growth Slowdown: The earnings report revealed a 5% decline in monthly active users (MAU), raising investor concerns as this key metric's drop could significantly impact future revenue growth, especially for a company heavily reliant on social media dynamics.
- Price Target Cuts: Goldman Sachs analyst Lincoln Kong reduced his price target from $20 to $17.60 while maintaining a buy rating, whereas JPMorgan's Alex Yao slashed his target from $30 to $12, keeping a neutral rating, reflecting widespread market concerns regarding Tencent Music's future performance.
See More
