Thursday's ETF with Unusual Volume: FTXL
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 12 2024
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Trading Activity: The First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF saw significant trading volume on Thursday, with Nvidia down 1.3% and Intel up 2.5%, while Micron Technology lagged with a 4.2% decline.
Market Commentary: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 198.870
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 198.870
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nvidia Drives Expansion in AI Market
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia's sales in Q4 of fiscal 2026 reached $68.1 billion, a 73% increase year-over-year, driven primarily by strong demand for its graphics processing units, underscoring the company's critical role in AI infrastructure.
- Outstanding Annual Performance: For the full fiscal year 2026, Nvidia reported total revenue of $215.9 billion, marking a 65% increase from fiscal 2025, reflecting the company's robust performance and profitability in the rapidly growing AI market.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: CEO Jensen Huang projects that Nvidia will achieve $1 trillion in revenue by 2027, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 116%, which highlights the company's ongoing growth potential and market leadership in AI.
- Investment Value Highlighted: Despite increasing market concerns about tech stocks, Nvidia is viewed as the only buy among the
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Ranking Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks lowest among the Magnificent Seven, it still boasts a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a current stock price of $389.23, facing valuation challenges that require significant cash flows from projects like robotaxis and humanoid robots over the next decade to justify its price.
- Apple's Growth Slowdown: With the third-highest P/E ratio, Apple recently reported its best quarter in years, yet its slowing innovation and lack of engagement in the AI race have disappointed investors regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's P/E ratio stands at 32, which is high, but the market is underestimating the growth potential of its AWS business, particularly in the custom AI chip sector, which is expected to drive significant growth in the coming years.
- Microsoft's Investment Opportunity: Microsoft leads the Magnificent Seven with a P/E ratio of 24.6, and while it isn't the cheapest option, its current stock price is at a decade low, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to capitalize on this valuation.
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Investment Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks at the bottom of the investment list, its stock price being down about 20% does not indicate a sell; rather, it may be a good time to wait for the next significant drop to capitalize on potential cash flow growth from its robotaxi and humanoid robot projects over the next decade.
- Apple's Valuation Concerns: Apple's valuation is troubling, as it is the slowest-growing stock among the seven, and despite its best quarterly performance in years, it seems passive in the AI race, leading to investor disappointment regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's valuation stands at 32 times forward earnings, which is high, but the massive upside of its AWS business is not fully priced in, with strong growth expected in the coming years, particularly in its custom AI chip division.
- Microsoft's Undervalued Opportunity: Microsoft trades at a forward P/E of 24.6, not the lowest, but its current stock price is among the lowest in the past decade, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to take advantage of before prices rise again.
See More
US Stocks Hit New Highs Amid Oil Price Fluctuations
- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively, reaching new highs, indicating a robust rebound in tech stocks, particularly driven by chip trades, reflecting sustained market confidence in the technology sector.
- Oil Price Volatility: Despite optimism over de-escalation in Iran pushing oil prices higher, they subsequently pulled back, highlighting market sensitivity to energy prices and the potential economic impacts of geopolitical risks.
- Fed Policy Consistency: Federal Reserve officials displayed a unified policy stance against inflation, with expectations that inflation will be tamed to 2% next year despite risks from the Iran war, providing the market with a stable outlook.
- AI Industry Dynamics: AI traffic to US retailers surged by 393%, boosting revenue growth and demonstrating the positive impact of technological transformation on consumer markets, while also raising attention on the future performance of related companies.
See More
Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Boosts Market Sentiment
- Middle East De-escalation: The 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon has taken effect, leading markets to price in easing tensions, with crude oil prices falling below $100 per barrel and equities rising, indicating investor optimism about future stability.
- Futures Rise: As of 4:00 a.m. ET on Friday, Dow futures rose by 0.3%, S&P 500 futures gained 0.1%, Nasdaq futures remained flat, and Russell 2000 futures increased by 0.2%, reflecting a positive sentiment among investors regarding a potential resolution to the Middle East crisis.
- Netflix Shares Decline: Netflix shares fell nearly 10% in early pre-market trading following a disappointing guidance report, and the news of co-founder Reed Hastings exiting the board in June, although CEO Ted Sarandos noted the company's strong cash position.
- Defense Stocks Favorable: With geopolitical tensions easing, defense-linked companies have gained favor among investors, highlighting ongoing market interest in security and defense sectors amid shifting global dynamics.
See More
Nvidia Faces Internal Competition Threats
- Market Share Advantage: According to PwC analysts, Nvidia holds over 90% of the GPU market share in AI-accelerated data centers, attracting numerous businesses due to its superior computing capabilities, thereby solidifying its market leadership.
- Competitor Analysis: While companies like AMD, Broadcom, and Alphabet pose competition in the GPU market, Nvidia's biggest threat comes from its own customers, such as Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon, who are developing their own AI solutions that could undermine Nvidia's pricing power.
- Internal Development Threat: These large customers' internally developed GPUs are significantly cheaper than Nvidia's hardware and typically do not face delivery delays due to overwhelming demand, which could pressure Nvidia's gross margins, especially as AI GPU scarcity diminishes.
- Future Outlook: Although Nvidia's leadership in AI infrastructure appears secure, the rise of customer-developed chips may erode its data center market share in the coming quarters, potentially impacting its profitability.
See More
Nvidia Drives Expansion in AI Market
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia's sales in Q4 of fiscal 2026 reached $68.1 billion, a 73% increase year-over-year, driven primarily by strong demand for its graphics processing units, underscoring the company's critical role in AI infrastructure.
- Outstanding Annual Performance: For the full fiscal year 2026, Nvidia reported total revenue of $215.9 billion, marking a 65% increase from fiscal 2025, reflecting the company's robust performance and profitability in the rapidly growing AI market.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: CEO Jensen Huang projects that Nvidia will achieve $1 trillion in revenue by 2027, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 116%, which highlights the company's ongoing growth potential and market leadership in AI.
- Investment Value Highlighted: Despite increasing market concerns about tech stocks, Nvidia is viewed as the only buy among the
See More
Ranking Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks lowest among the Magnificent Seven, it still boasts a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a current stock price of $389.23, facing valuation challenges that require significant cash flows from projects like robotaxis and humanoid robots over the next decade to justify its price.
- Apple's Growth Slowdown: With the third-highest P/E ratio, Apple recently reported its best quarter in years, yet its slowing innovation and lack of engagement in the AI race have disappointed investors regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's P/E ratio stands at 32, which is high, but the market is underestimating the growth potential of its AWS business, particularly in the custom AI chip sector, which is expected to drive significant growth in the coming years.
- Microsoft's Investment Opportunity: Microsoft leads the Magnificent Seven with a P/E ratio of 24.6, and while it isn't the cheapest option, its current stock price is at a decade low, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to capitalize on this valuation.
See More
Investment Analysis of the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks at the bottom of the investment list, its stock price being down about 20% does not indicate a sell; rather, it may be a good time to wait for the next significant drop to capitalize on potential cash flow growth from its robotaxi and humanoid robot projects over the next decade.
- Apple's Valuation Concerns: Apple's valuation is troubling, as it is the slowest-growing stock among the seven, and despite its best quarterly performance in years, it seems passive in the AI race, leading to investor disappointment regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's valuation stands at 32 times forward earnings, which is high, but the massive upside of its AWS business is not fully priced in, with strong growth expected in the coming years, particularly in its custom AI chip division.
- Microsoft's Undervalued Opportunity: Microsoft trades at a forward P/E of 24.6, not the lowest, but its current stock price is among the lowest in the past decade, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to take advantage of before prices rise again.
See More
US Stocks Hit New Highs Amid Oil Price Fluctuations
- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively, reaching new highs, indicating a robust rebound in tech stocks, particularly driven by chip trades, reflecting sustained market confidence in the technology sector.
- Oil Price Volatility: Despite optimism over de-escalation in Iran pushing oil prices higher, they subsequently pulled back, highlighting market sensitivity to energy prices and the potential economic impacts of geopolitical risks.
- Fed Policy Consistency: Federal Reserve officials displayed a unified policy stance against inflation, with expectations that inflation will be tamed to 2% next year despite risks from the Iran war, providing the market with a stable outlook.
- AI Industry Dynamics: AI traffic to US retailers surged by 393%, boosting revenue growth and demonstrating the positive impact of technological transformation on consumer markets, while also raising attention on the future performance of related companies.
See More
Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Boosts Market Sentiment
- Middle East De-escalation: The 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon has taken effect, leading markets to price in easing tensions, with crude oil prices falling below $100 per barrel and equities rising, indicating investor optimism about future stability.
- Futures Rise: As of 4:00 a.m. ET on Friday, Dow futures rose by 0.3%, S&P 500 futures gained 0.1%, Nasdaq futures remained flat, and Russell 2000 futures increased by 0.2%, reflecting a positive sentiment among investors regarding a potential resolution to the Middle East crisis.
- Netflix Shares Decline: Netflix shares fell nearly 10% in early pre-market trading following a disappointing guidance report, and the news of co-founder Reed Hastings exiting the board in June, although CEO Ted Sarandos noted the company's strong cash position.
- Defense Stocks Favorable: With geopolitical tensions easing, defense-linked companies have gained favor among investors, highlighting ongoing market interest in security and defense sectors amid shifting global dynamics.
See More
Nvidia Faces Internal Competition Threats
- Market Share Advantage: According to PwC analysts, Nvidia holds over 90% of the GPU market share in AI-accelerated data centers, attracting numerous businesses due to its superior computing capabilities, thereby solidifying its market leadership.
- Competitor Analysis: While companies like AMD, Broadcom, and Alphabet pose competition in the GPU market, Nvidia's biggest threat comes from its own customers, such as Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon, who are developing their own AI solutions that could undermine Nvidia's pricing power.
- Internal Development Threat: These large customers' internally developed GPUs are significantly cheaper than Nvidia's hardware and typically do not face delivery delays due to overwhelming demand, which could pressure Nvidia's gross margins, especially as AI GPU scarcity diminishes.
- Future Outlook: Although Nvidia's leadership in AI infrastructure appears secure, the rise of customer-developed chips may erode its data center market share in the coming quarters, potentially impacting its profitability.
See More
