Three Energy Stocks Set to Surge This Quarter
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 22 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ARLP?
Source: Benzinga
Oversold Stocks Opportunity: The energy sector has several oversold stocks, presenting potential buying opportunities for undervalued companies, particularly those with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30.
Comstock Resources Inc: Recently downgraded by Roth Capital, Comstock's stock fell 26% over the past month, currently holding an RSI of 29.1 and closing at $15.62.
Alliance Resource Partners LP: This company reported disappointing second-quarter results and reduced its dividend, leading to a 14% stock decline in the last month, with an RSI of 24.6 and a closing price of $23.16.
Dorchester Minerals LP: After reporting a drop in EPS, Dorchester's stock decreased by 11% recently, with an RSI of 23.7 and a closing price of $24.20, indicating potential for future recovery.
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Analyst Views on ARLP
Wall Street analysts forecast ARLP stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 25.350
Low
33.00
Averages
33.00
High
33.00
Current: 25.350
Low
33.00
Averages
33.00
High
33.00
About ARLP
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. is a diversified energy company. It is engaged in the production and marketing of coal to domestic utilities, industrial users and international customers, as well as royalty income from oil & gas mineral interests located across the United States. Its segments include Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties and Coal Royalties. Illinois Basin Coal Operation includes the Gibson County Coal, LLC mining complex; the Warrior Coal, LLC mining complex; the River View Coal, LLC mining complex and the Hamilton County Coal, LLC mining complex. Appalachia Coal Operations include the Mettiki mining complex, the Tunnel Ridge mining complex and the MC Mining, LLC mining complex. The Oil & Gas Royalties include oil and gas mineral interests held by Alliance Minerals as well as its equity interests in AllDale III. Coal Royalties segment includes coal mineral reserves and resources owned or leased by Alliance Resource Properties.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Trump Signs Executive Order for Coal Purchases
- Coal Procurement Directive: President Trump signed an executive order directing the Department of Defense to purchase electricity from coal-fired power plants, aiming to support the struggling coal industry and enhance national energy security through military procurement of significant coal supplies.
- Funding for Upgrades: The Energy Department will allocate $175 million to upgrade six coal plants across Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia, aiming to improve operational efficiency and environmental compliance of these facilities.
- Closure Delay Announcement: The Tennessee Valley Authority announced plans to delay the closure of two older coal-fired plants in Tennessee, indicating government support for the coal industry, which may impact the future energy landscape.
- Industry Outlook Analysis: While coal generation rose approximately 13% year-over-year, the International Energy Agency projects that U.S. coal consumption will decline by 6% annually through 2030, reflecting a gradual shift towards renewable energy and natural gas alternatives.
See More
Trump Signs Executive Order to Revitalize Coal Industry
- Government Procurement Commitment: Trump signed an executive order committing the federal government to long-term electricity purchase agreements with coal plants to support U.S. military operations, which is expected to enhance market demand and stability for the coal industry.
- Funding for Upgrades: The Department of Energy will provide $175 million to upgrade six coal plants in Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia, which is anticipated to improve production efficiency and environmental standards at these facilities.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following Trump's signing of the order, Peabody Energy's stock rose 4.5% in after-hours trading, indicating optimistic market sentiment towards the revitalization of the coal industry, while other coal-related companies also saw stock price increases, reflecting investor confidence in policy support.
- Environmental Controversy Intensifies: Despite Trump's efforts to revitalize the coal industry, environmental groups criticized the move as placing a financial burden on taxpayers for high-pollution power plants, potentially leading to increased energy costs in the future and raising social risks associated with policy implementation.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, adjusted EBITDA reached $191.1 million, a 54.1% increase year-over-year, with net income of $82.7 million translating to $0.64 per unit, reflecting the company's success in reducing operating costs and enhancing investment income.
- Sales and Revenue Dynamics: Total revenues were $535.5 million, showing a decline primarily due to lower coal sales and transportation revenues; however, record oil and gas royalty income partially offset this decrease, indicating resilience in the company's revenue streams.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Coal sales volumes for 2026 are projected between 33.75 million and 35.25 million tons, with expected increases in Illinois Basin and Tunnel Ridge volumes despite a significant decline at Mettiki, showcasing the company's positive market demand expectations.
- Capital Expenditures and Cash Flow: Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are between $280 million and $300 million, while Q4 free cash flow was $93.8 million, with a distribution coverage ratio of 1.29, demonstrating the company's robust financial health and investment capacity.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Q4 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Highlights: Alliance Resource Partners reported Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.64, beating expectations by $0.03, indicating stable profitability; however, revenue of $535.5 million fell 9.3% year-over-year and missed market expectations, reflecting challenges in the coal market.
- Sales Volume Outlook: The 2026 coal sales volume is projected to be between 33.75 million and 35.25 million short tons, with Illinois Basin sales expected at 26.00 to 27.00 million short tons and Appalachia at 7.75 to 8.25 million short tons, showing cautious optimism about future market demand.
- Price and Cost Analysis: The expected coal sales price per ton for the Illinois Basin in 2026 is between $50.00 and $52.00, while Appalachia is projected at $66.00 to $71.00; despite rising sales prices, the adjusted EBITDA expense per ton is also increasing, which may impact overall profit margins.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The company plans capital expenditures between $280 million and $300 million for 2026, demonstrating a commitment to future investments, even amid market volatility, while aiming to maintain operations and expand its business.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 2nd
- Earnings Announcement: Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 2nd before market open, with consensus estimates predicting an EPS of $0.57 and revenue of $556.82 million, reflecting a 5.6% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, ARLP has only beaten EPS and revenue estimates 25% of the time, indicating challenges in profitability amid the current coal cycle, which may impact investor confidence.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates, with two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and three downward adjustments, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
- Industry Context: With the coal cycle gradually declining, ARLP's income model is under scrutiny, prompting investors to closely monitor how the company maintains its revenue and profit levels in this challenging environment.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Announces Cash Distribution
- Cash Distribution Announcement: Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) Board approved a cash distribution of $0.60 per unit for the 2025 Quarter, reflecting the company's ongoing cash flow stability and commitment to unitholders.
- Payment Schedule: The cash distribution will be paid on February 13, 2026, with a record date of February 6, 2026, ensuring timely returns for investors and reinforcing confidence in the company's financial health.
- Earnings Report Schedule: ARLP is set to release its financial results for the 2025 Quarter before market opens on February 2, 2026, followed by a conference call at 10:00 AM Eastern, enhancing transparency and investor engagement.
- Tax Compliance Notification: Concurrently, ARLP provided notice to brokers regarding the federal income tax withholding requirements for non-U.S. investors, mandating a withholding rate of the highest applicable rate plus 10%, ensuring compliance and clarity in tax obligations.
See More
Trump Signs Executive Order for Coal Purchases
- Coal Procurement Directive: President Trump signed an executive order directing the Department of Defense to purchase electricity from coal-fired power plants, aiming to support the struggling coal industry and enhance national energy security through military procurement of significant coal supplies.
- Funding for Upgrades: The Energy Department will allocate $175 million to upgrade six coal plants across Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia, aiming to improve operational efficiency and environmental compliance of these facilities.
- Closure Delay Announcement: The Tennessee Valley Authority announced plans to delay the closure of two older coal-fired plants in Tennessee, indicating government support for the coal industry, which may impact the future energy landscape.
- Industry Outlook Analysis: While coal generation rose approximately 13% year-over-year, the International Energy Agency projects that U.S. coal consumption will decline by 6% annually through 2030, reflecting a gradual shift towards renewable energy and natural gas alternatives.
See More
Trump Signs Executive Order to Revitalize Coal Industry
- Government Procurement Commitment: Trump signed an executive order committing the federal government to long-term electricity purchase agreements with coal plants to support U.S. military operations, which is expected to enhance market demand and stability for the coal industry.
- Funding for Upgrades: The Department of Energy will provide $175 million to upgrade six coal plants in Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia, which is anticipated to improve production efficiency and environmental standards at these facilities.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following Trump's signing of the order, Peabody Energy's stock rose 4.5% in after-hours trading, indicating optimistic market sentiment towards the revitalization of the coal industry, while other coal-related companies also saw stock price increases, reflecting investor confidence in policy support.
- Environmental Controversy Intensifies: Despite Trump's efforts to revitalize the coal industry, environmental groups criticized the move as placing a financial burden on taxpayers for high-pollution power plants, potentially leading to increased energy costs in the future and raising social risks associated with policy implementation.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, adjusted EBITDA reached $191.1 million, a 54.1% increase year-over-year, with net income of $82.7 million translating to $0.64 per unit, reflecting the company's success in reducing operating costs and enhancing investment income.
- Sales and Revenue Dynamics: Total revenues were $535.5 million, showing a decline primarily due to lower coal sales and transportation revenues; however, record oil and gas royalty income partially offset this decrease, indicating resilience in the company's revenue streams.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Coal sales volumes for 2026 are projected between 33.75 million and 35.25 million tons, with expected increases in Illinois Basin and Tunnel Ridge volumes despite a significant decline at Mettiki, showcasing the company's positive market demand expectations.
- Capital Expenditures and Cash Flow: Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are between $280 million and $300 million, while Q4 free cash flow was $93.8 million, with a distribution coverage ratio of 1.29, demonstrating the company's robust financial health and investment capacity.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Q4 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Highlights: Alliance Resource Partners reported Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.64, beating expectations by $0.03, indicating stable profitability; however, revenue of $535.5 million fell 9.3% year-over-year and missed market expectations, reflecting challenges in the coal market.
- Sales Volume Outlook: The 2026 coal sales volume is projected to be between 33.75 million and 35.25 million short tons, with Illinois Basin sales expected at 26.00 to 27.00 million short tons and Appalachia at 7.75 to 8.25 million short tons, showing cautious optimism about future market demand.
- Price and Cost Analysis: The expected coal sales price per ton for the Illinois Basin in 2026 is between $50.00 and $52.00, while Appalachia is projected at $66.00 to $71.00; despite rising sales prices, the adjusted EBITDA expense per ton is also increasing, which may impact overall profit margins.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: The company plans capital expenditures between $280 million and $300 million for 2026, demonstrating a commitment to future investments, even amid market volatility, while aiming to maintain operations and expand its business.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 2nd
- Earnings Announcement: Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 2nd before market open, with consensus estimates predicting an EPS of $0.57 and revenue of $556.82 million, reflecting a 5.6% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, ARLP has only beaten EPS and revenue estimates 25% of the time, indicating challenges in profitability amid the current coal cycle, which may impact investor confidence.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates, with two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and three downward adjustments, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
- Industry Context: With the coal cycle gradually declining, ARLP's income model is under scrutiny, prompting investors to closely monitor how the company maintains its revenue and profit levels in this challenging environment.
See More
Alliance Resource Partners Announces Cash Distribution
- Cash Distribution Announcement: Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) Board approved a cash distribution of $0.60 per unit for the 2025 Quarter, reflecting the company's ongoing cash flow stability and commitment to unitholders.
- Payment Schedule: The cash distribution will be paid on February 13, 2026, with a record date of February 6, 2026, ensuring timely returns for investors and reinforcing confidence in the company's financial health.
- Earnings Report Schedule: ARLP is set to release its financial results for the 2025 Quarter before market opens on February 2, 2026, followed by a conference call at 10:00 AM Eastern, enhancing transparency and investor engagement.
- Tax Compliance Notification: Concurrently, ARLP provided notice to brokers regarding the federal income tax withholding requirements for non-U.S. investors, mandating a withholding rate of the highest applicable rate plus 10%, ensuring compliance and clarity in tax obligations.
See More
