The Impact of Software Concerns on BDC Stocks: Reasons Some May Be Good Investment Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 06 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NOW?
Source: Barron's
- Private Credit Sector: The private credit sector is facing challenges, likened to "cockroaches" emerging from the software industry.
- Opportunities in Business Development Companies: This situation may present investment opportunities in business development companies that hold the debt of affected firms.
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Analyst Views on NOW
Wall Street analysts forecast NOW stock price to rise
32 Analyst Rating
30 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 99.720
Low
172.00
Averages
222.81
High
263.00
Current: 99.720
Low
172.00
Averages
222.81
High
263.00
About NOW
ServiceNow, Inc. provides an artificial intelligence (AI) platform for business transformation. The Company’s AI platform connects people, processes, data, and devices to increase productivity and maximize business outcomes. Its intelligent platform, the Now Platform, is a cloud-based solution that helps enterprises and organizations across public and private sectors digitize workflows. The workflow applications built on the Now Platform are organized into four primary areas: Technology, CRM and Industry, Core Business and Creator. Its products include IT Service Management, IT Operations Management, HR Service Delivery, ServiceNow AI Agents, AI Experience, Build Agent, ServiceNow AI Control Tower, AI Agent Fabric, RaptorDB, Workflow Data Fabric, Workplace Service Delivery, ServiceNow Platform Encryption, Telecommunications Service Operations Management, and others. The Company also offers identity security, helping organizations secure access across the enterprise.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Acquisition Completed: ServiceNow shares rose 1% on Tuesday after successfully closing its $7.75 billion acquisition of Armis, which is expected to more than triple its market opportunity for security and risk solutions, significantly enhancing its competitive edge in the cybersecurity sector.
- Technology Integration: Armis provides real-time cyber risk management solutions that observe, protect, and manage risks across connected assets, and when combined with Veza's identity security platform, ServiceNow will achieve more efficient automated governance and auditing processes, enhancing customer security capabilities.
- AI Cyber Defense Center: This acquisition will help ServiceNow establish a global AI Center for Cyber Defense, focusing on developing the next-generation AI security stack and pioneering the transition from reactive security to autonomous cyber defense, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
- Earnings Expectations: ServiceNow is set to release its Q1 2026 financial results, with consensus estimates predicting adjusted earnings per share of $0.97 and GAAP EPS of $0.53, alongside expected revenue of $3.75 billion, marking a significant increase from last year's $3.09 billion, indicating the company's ongoing growth potential.
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- Revenue Growth Outlook: ServiceNow anticipates Q1 2026 revenues of $3.75 billion, reflecting a 21.4% year-over-year increase, showcasing robust performance in the cloud platform sector despite intense competition.
- Earnings Improvement: The expected earnings per share of $0.95 indicates a 17.3% growth from the previous year, highlighting the company's success in customer retention and enterprise expansion, which is likely to drive future profitability.
- Expanding Customer Base: By the end of 2025, ServiceNow served over 8,800 global customers, with more than 85% being Fortune 500 companies, demonstrating widespread adoption of its cloud platform among large enterprises and enhancing its competitive edge.
- Increasing Market Challenges: Although the company expects subscription revenues between $3.65 billion and $3.67 billion for 2026, strong competition from AI solutions is projected to create a 150-basis-point headwind to revenue growth, indicating a complex market environment.
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- Market Rebound: Despite escalating geopolitical tensions, investors continued to buy the dip, leading to a rebound in the software sector, particularly for high-growth companies like Datadog and ServiceNow, indicating that enterprise software remains a core structural winner amid short-term macro turbulence.
- CLEAR Secure Performance: CLEAR Secure's stock surged 5.9%, with a year-to-date increase of 63.4%, now priced at $56.19 per share, marking a new 52-week high, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Analyst Support: Bernstein reiterated an 'Outperform' rating for ServiceNow, highlighting its role as a foundational AI agent platform for business process automation, which further bolstered market confidence in the software sector.
- Investment Opportunities: The market's overreaction to price drops in high-quality stocks presents good buying opportunities, especially as SaaS names have become significantly oversold in the context of a fragile market rebound.
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- Market Rebound: Despite escalating geopolitical tensions, investors continued to buy the dip, leading to a rebound in the stock market during the afternoon session, particularly in the software sector, indicating strong market confidence in enterprise software.
- Software Stocks Lead: High-growth companies like Datadog and ServiceNow spearheaded the rebound, with Atlassian's stock rising 5.6%, Wix's stock increasing by 9.5%, and Asana's stock up 5.4%, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding their future growth potential.
- Wix Stock Volatility: Wix's shares have experienced 27 moves greater than 5% over the past year, and today's increase indicates market attention to its business outlook, despite a 26% decline year-to-date, currently trading at $74.69, significantly below its 52-week high.
- AI Application Prospects: In the AI sector, certain companies are gaining attention, as some trade at undervalued prices while leveraging AI for revenue generation, highlighting that the market has yet to fully recognize the potential opportunities in AI applications.
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- Oil Price Surge Impacts Markets: The S&P 500 index fell 0.24%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.01%, and the Nasdaq 100 index declined 0.31% on Monday as WTI crude prices surged over 6%, indicating market sensitivity to rising energy costs amid geopolitical tensions.
- Geopolitical Risks Escalate: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran has raised market concerns, especially following U.S. Navy actions against Iranian tankers, which could exacerbate global oil and fuel shortages, further unsettling investor sentiment.
- Earnings Season Continues: So far, 81% of the 48 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to rise 12% year-over-year; however, excluding the tech sector, growth is only expected at 3%, highlighting signs of economic weakness.
- Airline Stocks Under Pressure: Airline stocks retreated as rising oil prices weighed on profits, with American Airlines and Alaska Air both down over 4%, reflecting the direct impact of fuel costs on company earnings and potential downward revisions in future profit expectations.
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- ServiceNow Earnings Highlights: ServiceNow is set to report its Q1 results on April 22, with Q4 subscription revenues reaching $3.47 billion, reflecting a robust 21% year-over-year growth, indicating strong performance amid the AI boom and potential for stock appreciation.
- Significant cRPO Growth: The company's current remaining performance obligations (cRPO) climbed to $12.85 billion, up 25% year-over-year, showcasing accelerated growth that outpaces core subscription revenue, suggesting strong future revenue potential.
- Tesla Earnings Challenges: Tesla will also report its earnings on April 22, with total revenue of $24.9 billion in Q4, down 3% year-over-year, yet automotive gross margin improved from 13.6% to 17.9%, highlighting strong growth in its energy business.
- Delivery and Demand Issues: In Q1, Tesla produced 408,386 vehicles but delivered only 358,023, indicating a 12% shortfall in deliveries, which raises concerns about demand; investors will be keen to hear management's strategies for addressing inventory build-up and future demand trends.
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