The Impact of Software Concerns on BDC Stocks: Reasons Some May Be Good Investment Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 06 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NOW?
Source: Barron's
- Private Credit Sector: The private credit sector is facing challenges, likened to "cockroaches" emerging from the software industry.
- Opportunities in Business Development Companies: This situation may present investment opportunities in business development companies that hold the debt of affected firms.
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Analyst Views on NOW
Wall Street analysts forecast NOW stock price to rise
32 Analyst Rating
30 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 104.970
Low
172.00
Averages
222.81
High
263.00
Current: 104.970
Low
172.00
Averages
222.81
High
263.00
About NOW
ServiceNow, Inc. provides an artificial intelligence (AI) platform for business transformation. The Company’s AI platform connects people, processes, data, and devices to increase productivity and maximize business outcomes. Its intelligent platform, the Now Platform, is a cloud-based solution that helps enterprises and organizations across public and private sectors digitize workflows. The workflow applications built on the Now Platform are organized into four primary areas: Technology, CRM and Industry, Core Business and Creator. Its products include IT Service Management, IT Operations Management, HR Service Delivery, ServiceNow AI Agents, AI Experience, Build Agent, ServiceNow AI Control Tower, AI Agent Fabric, RaptorDB, Workflow Data Fabric, Workplace Service Delivery, ServiceNow Platform Encryption, Telecommunications Service Operations Management, and others. The Company also offers identity security, helping organizations secure access across the enterprise.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Palantir's Strong Performance: Palantir's revenue grew 70% year-over-year in Q4, showcasing its advantages in AI, particularly with government contracts, which are expected to further solidify its market position.
- Government Contracts Boost: The U.S. Department of Defense plans to officially designate Palantir's Maven system as a program of record, enhancing its standing in U.S. government business and potentially leading to more contracts due to increased defense spending.
- ServiceNow's Growth Potential: With a customer retention rate of 98%, ServiceNow's NowAssist generative AI product generated $600 billion in contract value last year, with expectations to exceed $1 billion this year, indicating strong market demand.
- Impact of AI Strategy: Although ServiceNow anticipates only 20% subscription revenue growth in 2026, its management's upward revision of operating margin expectations to 32% suggests that its AI strategy could drive performance beyond expectations.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's revenue grew 70% year-over-year in Q4, up from 63% in Q3 and 48% in Q2, indicating strong momentum driven by advancements in AI, which solidifies its competitive position in the market.
- Government Contract Expansion: The Department of Defense's decision to officially include Palantir's Maven system as a program of record by year-end will further expand and secure its strong U.S. government business, potentially boosted by additional defense spending initiated by the Trump administration.
- Valuation Challenges: With a forward P/E ratio of 113, Palantir faces significant pressure to exceed analysts' lofty expectations of growing earnings per share from $0.75 in 2025 to $2.65 in 2028, despite its strong financial performance.
- AI Strategic Advantage: Palantir's AI platform integrates large language models, lowering the learning curve for users and expanding the application scenarios of its core data decision-making platforms, further enhancing its irreplaceability in the enterprise software market.
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- Stock Plunge: Microsoft experienced a 23% drop in stock price during Q1, marking its worst quarterly performance since the 2008 financial crisis, significantly outpacing the Nasdaq's 7% decline, indicating investor concerns over its AI growth prospects that could impact future financing capabilities.
- AI Assistant Challenges: Microsoft's Copilot AI assistant has seen low user adoption, with only 3% of commercial Office customers holding licenses, forcing the company to allocate Azure cloud resources for improvements to maintain market share amid fierce competition.
- Executive Shake-up: Microsoft reassigned Copilot development head Mustafa Suleyman and appointed former Snap executive Jacob Andreou to lead the Copilot experience for consumers and commercial clients, raising market concerns about the company's strategic direction and potentially affecting team morale.
- Cloud Business Growth: Despite challenges, Microsoft's Azure cloud service achieved a 39% revenue growth in the December quarter, with commercial remaining performance obligations exceeding $625 billion, reflecting strong demand in the cloud infrastructure market that may support the company's future.
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- Disappointing Quarterly Performance: Microsoft experienced a staggering 23% drop in stock value during Q1 2023, marking its steepest decline since the 2008 financial crisis, reflecting investor concerns over its AI prospects and resulting in significant market capitalization loss.
- Concerns Over AI ROI: While Microsoft remains a leader in cloud computing and productivity software, its AI assistant Copilot has only achieved a 3% adoption rate among commercial Office customers, failing to meet market expectations and potentially hindering future revenue growth.
- Executive Shake-Up Impact: The recent reassignment of Copilot development head Mustafa Suleyman raises concerns about leadership effectiveness, especially as the new team faces intense competition from rivals like Google and OpenAI, which could affect the company's strategic direction.
- Strong Cloud Business Growth: Despite challenges, Microsoft's Azure cloud service reported a 39% revenue increase in the December quarter, with commercial remaining performance obligations exceeding $625 billion, indicating strong potential and demand in the AI sector.
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- Google's AI Edge: Alphabet (GOOGL) is priced at $287.39 with a market cap of $3.3 trillion, leveraging its custom AI chips and the integration of Gemini models to drive robust growth, which is expected to enhance its competitive position in the market.
- Amazon's Undervalued Potential: Amazon (AMZN) trades at $208.37 with a market cap of $2.2 trillion, and despite accelerating growth in its cloud computing segment, it has a forward P/E ratio of only 27, indicating significant investment return potential in e-commerce and cloud.
- ServiceNow's AI Growth: ServiceNow (NOW) is priced around $100, achieving $600 million in annual contract revenue, expected to exceed $1 billion by year-end, driven by its NowAssist AI solution and AI Control Tower, resulting in a 20% revenue growth.
- Salesforce's Market Position: Salesforce (CRM) trades at a P/E ratio below 12.5, and with the introduction of Data 360 and the acquisition of Informatica, it solidifies its leadership in customer relationship management and AI, showcasing substantial future growth potential.
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- Alphabet Investment Opportunity: Purchasing 10 shares of Alphabet for about $2,800 capitalizes on its comprehensive AI strategy, including top-tier AI chips and models, which are expected to drive future growth, with a current P/E ratio of 24 indicating a strong buy signal.
- Amazon Undervalued: Buying 10 shares of Amazon for around $2,100 takes advantage of its P/E ratio below 27, significantly lower than competitors, while its cloud computing business is accelerating, and future investments in data centers are likely to enhance returns.
- ServiceNow's Strong Growth: Investing $1,800 for 18 shares of ServiceNow, which achieved $600 million in annual contract revenue last quarter with its NowAssist AI solution, is projected to reach $1 billion by year-end, indicating deep penetration in IT and other departments.
- Salesforce's Market Leadership: Acquiring 10 shares of Salesforce for $1,800 leverages its Data 360 and Informatica acquisition, positioning it as a key player in the AI space, with a current P/E ratio of just 12, reflecting an attractive investment opportunity.
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