Tesla Analyst Turns Bearish, Sets $150 Price Target
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 23 2026
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Sell Recommendation Issued: Analyst Trip Chowdhry has issued a sell recommendation for Tesla, setting a price target of $150 for 2026, warning that the electric vehicle maker's AI narrative has collapsed, reflecting strong pessimism about the company's future prospects.
- Stock Price Decline: Tesla shares closed at $367.96 on Friday, marking an 18% decline year-to-date, a trend that may exacerbate investor concerns, especially against the backdrop of increasing skepticism about the company's valuation.
- Delivery Estimates Cut: UBS analyst Joseph Spak has lowered Q1 2026 delivery estimates to 345,000 vehicles, an 18% drop from Q4 2025's 421,000, indicating a weakening market confidence in Tesla's future demand.
- Growing Analyst Disagreement: The gap between bearish analysts like Chowdhry at $150 and bullish ones like Wedbush at $600 highlights unprecedented disagreement, with Tesla's ability to demonstrate measurable AI revenue and autonomous vehicle progress being critical to determining its stock price direction.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 355.280
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 355.280
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Declining Delivery Expectations: The company is expected to deliver approximately 366,000 vehicles in Q1 2026, representing a 9% year-over-year increase, yet a 13% sequential drop from 418,227 vehicles in Q4 2025, indicating serious challenges in delivery performance.
- Deteriorating Profitability: Tesla's latest operating margin fell to 5.7%, down from 6.2% year-over-year, and earnings per share plummeted 60% to $0.24, highlighting the company's financial struggles amid fierce competition and pricing pressures.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: With capital expenditures reaching $8.5 billion in 2025 and expected to rise in 2026, these investments may offer long-term growth opportunities but significantly elevate the company's risk profile.
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- Delivery Data: BYD's EV deliveries reached 2.26 million, up nearly 28%, while Tesla's deliveries fell by 9%, indicating BYD's superior performance in meeting market demand, posing a threat to Tesla's sales.
- Technological Innovation: BYD introduced a fast-charging battery that can charge from 20% to 97% in just 12 minutes even in extreme temperatures, which may attract more price-sensitive consumers and enhance its competitive edge.
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- Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year T-note yield dropped to 4.30%, a one-week low, as WTI crude oil prices fell, alleviating inflation concerns and lowering borrowing costs, thereby supporting further gains in the stock market.
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