SpaceX Goes Public with $1.77 Trillion Valuation, Largest IPO in History
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 12 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- IPO Performance: SpaceX went public at $135 per share, achieving a valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion, marking the largest IPO in history and underscoring its significant position in the global market.
- Oversubscription Details: The IPO was nearly four times oversubscribed, with retail investors receiving about 30% of the shares, a stark contrast to the typical 5% to 10% allocation, indicating strong demand.
- Market Volatility: Given the intense market interest, the stock price is expected to be highly volatile, prompting investors to carefully consider their order types to avoid losses during rapid price fluctuations.
- Valuation Concerns: Despite SpaceX's strong performance in rocket launches and Starlink revenue, Morningstar estimates its fair value at around $780 billion, significantly lower than the $1.77 trillion IPO valuation, raising concerns about potential overvaluation.
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About SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. designs, manufactures, launches, and operates products and services built on technologies, including rockets and spacecraft. The Company's segments include Space, Connectivity, and artificial intelligence (AI). Its Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. Its Connectivity segment operates broadband data and communications network powered by approximately 9,600 Starlink broadband and mobile satellites in Low-Earth orbit, delivering connectivity to consumer, enterprises, and government customers over 164 countries, territories, and other markets. In its AI segment, it operates a vertically integrated AI platform spanning its truth-seeking frontier model Grok, AI solutions for consumer and enterprise customers, X-its real-time information, entertainment, and free speech platform and AI computational infrastructure.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- IPO Plans: DayOne is planning a U.S. initial public offering targeting a valuation of $20 billion; however, MGX may be unwilling to match this price, which could impact the deal's completion, and DayOne may still opt to pursue the IPO independently.
- Regional Expansion: If the deal proceeds, it would represent MGX's first acquisition in Asia, as the firm, established just over two years ago, aims to invest over $100 billion in assets across the entire AI chain, including data centers and the powerful chips that support them.
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See More
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- Financial Outlook: Fitch expects SpaceX's EBITDA growth to remain within the management's leverage target of 2x-3x, supported by over $90 billion in liquidity and stable revenue from more than 12 million Starlink subscribers.
- Risk Factors: All agencies highlighted concentrated governance under Elon Musk, execution risks tied to Starship development, and the unprecedented scale of AI infrastructure buildout as potential pressures on the company's credit profile, although deeply negative free cash flow is viewed as elective growth investment rather than a structural weakness.
See More
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- Market Capitalization Boost: With a market cap now exceeding $2 trillion, SpaceX is expected to raise additional capital in the future, creating more business opportunities for its suppliers, particularly as resource sharing with Tesla enhances both companies' market positions.
- Focus on AI Investment: SpaceX claims a total addressable market of $28.5 trillion, with over 90% related to artificial intelligence, indicating a significant increase in spending on AI initiatives to drive advancements in autonomous driving technology, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in future markets.
- Tesla's Strategic Dependence: Tesla's $2 billion investment in xAI and its merger with SpaceX highlight its reliance on SpaceX for autonomous driving capabilities, ensuring that it leverages SpaceX's AI investments to achieve its self-driving goals and maintain a competitive advantage in the emerging robotaxi market.
See More
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- Technological Upgrade Progress: Ethereum is set to undergo the Glamsterdam upgrade in the second half of 2026, which is expected to further enhance network speed and security while reducing transaction fees, thereby increasing its appeal among developers and solidifying its market leadership.
- Historical Upgrade Review: Ethereum completed The Merge upgrade in 2022, successfully transitioning from a proof-of-work (PoW) to a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, reducing energy consumption by over 99% and attracting over 232,000 active developers, showcasing its robust ecosystem.
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See More
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- Upgrade History: Ethereum's last major upgrade, The Merge in 2022, transitioned it from a proof-of-work (PoW) to a proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchain, reducing energy consumption by over 99% and attracting more than 232,000 active developers.
- Future Upgrade Outlook: The Glamsterdam upgrade, expected in the second half of 2026, will further enhance Ethereum's speed and security while lowering transaction fees by enabling parallel processing of transaction blocks.
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See More
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- Capital Expenditure Pressure: Mahaney notes that the anticipated $200 billion capital expenditure for both Meta and Amazon could compress near-term free cash flow, but if capital intensity peaks and revisions turn positive, it could provide new growth momentum for both companies.
- Market Reaction Potential: Should Meta adopt a strategy similar to SpaceX by renting out its computing capacity, it could quickly alter market perceptions of its stock, alleviating cash burn and potentially leading to a positive re-rating of its shares.
See More
