SpaceX Could Be the Blockbuster IPO of 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy LUNR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Market Surge: Multiple space-focused stocks surged last week due to acquisition rumors and anticipation of IPOs, indicating strong investor interest and enthusiasm in the burgeoning space industry.
- Amazon Acquisition Plans: Amazon is reportedly in talks to acquire Globalstar to accelerate its satellite internet service rollout, which could significantly enhance its competitive position in the communications market.
- SpaceX IPO Potential: SpaceX has quietly filed for an IPO, with a staggering potential valuation of $1.75 trillion, which is expected to draw further investor attention to the massive growth potential of the space market, with the IPO possibly occurring in June 2026.
- NASA Contract Support: Intuitive Machines secured a $180 million contract from NASA to deliver payloads to the Moon's surface, which not only boosts the company's market position but also lays the groundwork for its future space exploration projects.
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Analyst Views on LUNR
Wall Street analysts forecast LUNR stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 27.280
Low
9.50
Averages
17.74
High
25.00
Current: 27.280
Low
9.50
Averages
17.74
High
25.00
About LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc. is a space technology, infrastructure, and services company. It is a provider and supplier of space products and services that enable sustained robotic and human exploration to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Its services include delivery services, data transmission services, and infrastructure as a service. Its delivery services provide transportation and delivery of payloads, such as satellites, scientific instruments and cargo to various destinations in space, in addition to rideshare delivery and lunar surface access. Its data transmission services offerings include the collection, processing, and interpretation of space-based data, utilizing applications, such as command, control, communications, reconnaissance and prospecting. Its infrastructure as a service delivers space assets, performing tasks and making decisions without human intervention that are designed to perform essential functions, such as navigation, scientific data collection, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Market Sentiment Shift: FireFly Aerospace's stock inched up over 0.3% in Friday's premarket, while retail sentiment on Stocktwits shifted from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating growing investor confidence in the company.
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- Launch Growth Expectations: Rocket Lab's Electron rocket program has started 2026 on a solid footing, with projections for approximately 20% annual launch growth, while Roth Capital raised its price target to $100, reflecting ongoing optimism regarding demand for space infrastructure.
See More
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- Board Composition: Following its merger with Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. IV, Merlin, Inc. announced a seven-member Board of Directors, including founder and CEO Matt George as Chairman, reflecting the company's commitment to high governance standards.
- Leadership Background: The board features members like Kenneth Braithwaite, former Secretary of the Navy, and Michael Blitzer, who has extensive experience in aerospace, ensuring strategic depth and diverse perspectives in complex aerospace projects.
- Contract Value Achievement: Under George's leadership, Merlin has secured over $100 million in total contract value, including a USSOCOM IDIQ contract for the C-130J program, showcasing the company's strong position in the defense sector.
- Technological Innovation Goals: Merlin aims to drive technological innovation in aerospace through the development of its autonomous flight operating system, targeting full-stack autonomy for military and civilian aircraft to enhance national security capabilities.
See More
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- Artemis II Success: The Artemis II mission has successfully concluded, with four astronauts safely back on Earth, laying the groundwork for future lunar bases and demonstrating NASA's ongoing commitment to deep space exploration.
- Reduced Launch Costs: According to CSIS Aerospace Security, SpaceX's reusable Falcon 1 rocket has brought launch costs down to under $6,000 per pound, while Falcon Heavy's costs are around $1,000, significantly lowering the economic barriers to accessing space.
- Emerging Investment Opportunities: With decreasing launch costs, companies like AST SpaceMobile are capitalizing on this trend, planning to deploy up to 60 satellites in low Earth orbit by year-end to provide global mobile broadband, attracting customers like Verizon and Telus.
- Industry Growth Outlook: Research firm IMARC anticipates that the global space launch service market will grow at an average annual rate of nearly 15% through 2034, indicating substantial opportunities for investors in this emerging sector.
See More
Significant Drop in Space Launch Costs
- Dramatic Cost Reduction: The cost of sending payloads into space has fallen by over 90% since the inception of modern rocketry, accelerating the development of satellites and related technologies, which is expected to create new investment opportunities in the space industry.
- Successful Artemis II Mission: NASA's Artemis II mission has successfully returned four astronauts to Earth, marking a significant step in the U.S. lunar exploration efforts and laying the groundwork for future lunar base establishment.
- AST SpaceMobile Network Expansion: AST SpaceMobile plans to deploy up to 60 satellites in low Earth orbit by the end of the year to provide mobile broadband internet from space, having already partnered with Verizon and Telus, indicating strong market potential.
- Optimistic Industry Growth Outlook: IMARC forecasts that the global space launch service market will grow at an average annual rate of nearly 15% through 2034, reflecting increasing investment opportunities as launch costs continue to decline.
See More
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- SpaceX IPO Outlook: NASA ETF portfolio manager Yuri Khodjamirian stated that the anticipated SpaceX IPO in June could serve as a significant catalyst for space stocks, drawing increased investor attention to the space economy, particularly with a projected valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion.
- Blue Origin's Market Impact: Khodjamirian highlighted that launch activities planned by Jeff Bezos-backed Blue Origin could alter supply dynamics in the launch market, thereby enhancing valuations for downstream satellite and infrastructure plays, further propelling growth in the space sector.
- Long-Term Drivers: He noted that long-term drivers such as satellite fleet upgrades, space station replacements, and potential orbital data infrastructure are poised to provide multi-year tailwinds for the space economy, especially as launch costs decrease.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Although the NASA ETF saw slight declines in afternoon trading, it has gained nearly 20% since its launch alongside the Artemis II mission on April 1, reflecting strong market interest and optimistic sentiment among investors regarding space stocks.
See More
