Silver Market Faces Sixth Consecutive Supply Deficit in 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 19 2026
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Should l Buy HL?
Source: Newsfilter
- Supply-Demand Imbalance: The silver market is projected to face its sixth consecutive annual supply deficit in 2026, with cumulative shortfalls exceeding 800 million ounces over the past five years, equivalent to an entire year of global mine production, indicating that industrial demand from solar panels and electric vehicles is growing faster than new supply.
- Americore Resources Discovery: Americore Resources has uncovered five historic core holes at its Trinity Silver Project in Nevada that were previously overlooked, with Hole SC-4 returning 209.5 feet grading 145.98 g/t silver, potentially significantly increasing the existing 36 million-ounce silver equivalent resource estimate.
- Wheaton Precious Metals Performance: Wheaton Precious Metals reported production of approximately 691,670 gold equivalent ounces in 2025, exceeding its guidance of 670,000 GEOs, and has acquired an additional silver stream from the Antamina mine through a new partnership with BHP, projecting production of 860,000 to 940,000 GEOs in 2026, showcasing strong growth potential.
- Hecla Mining Growth: Hecla Mining achieved silver production of 17 million ounces in 2025, exceeding 2024 production by over 5%, and outlined its strategic plan for 2026 to 2028 at its Investor Day, indicating continued investment in domestic silver production amid increasing supply security concerns.
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Analyst Views on HL
Wall Street analysts forecast HL stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 21.080
Low
16.00
Averages
23.93
High
36.50
Current: 21.080
Low
16.00
Averages
23.93
High
36.50
About HL
Hecla Mining Company is a silver producer in the United States and Canada. The Company discovers, acquires and develops mines and other mineral interests and produces and markets concentrates containing silver, gold, lead, zinc and copper; carbon material containing silver and gold, and unrefined dore containing silver and gold. The Company's segments include Greens Creek, Lucky Friday, Keno Hill and Casa Berardi. The Greens Creek operation is located on Admiralty Island, near Juneau, Alaska. The Greens Creek ore body contains silver, zinc, gold and lead. The Lucky Friday mine is a deep underground silver, lead, and zinc mine located in the Coeur d’Alene Mining District in northern Idaho. The Casa Berardi mine is an underground/open-pit gold mine located in western Quebec. It owns 100% of the Keno Hill Silver Project, which is located within the Keno Hill Silver District in Canada’s Yukon Territory. The Company also owns a number of exploration and pre-development projects.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Hecla Mining Doubles Down on Silver Investment
- Significant Silver Price Volatility: This year, silver prices surged from about $72 per ounce to $113 before dropping to $70, recently rebounding to $89, indicating high market volatility that directly impacts Hecla Mining's stock performance.
- Strong Stock Performance: Hecla Mining's shares rose by 5.8% today, reflecting investor optimism about the silver mining outlook, especially after management's commitment to increasing investment and exploration spending in silver, which is expected to further drive stock prices up.
- Rising Retail Investment Demand: Despite declining demand for jewelry and silverware due to high prices, retail investor demand is on the rise, with overall silver market expected to remain in deficit in 2025, which bodes well for Hecla Mining's long-term growth prospects.
- Strategic Adjustments and Future Outlook: Hecla Mining plans to divest its gold mining subsidiary and allocate more resources to silver exploration and pre-development, demonstrating the company's strong confidence in the silver market and the potential for significant investment returns in the coming years.
See More
Hecla Mining Shares Surge as Silver Prices Rally
- Stock Surge: Hecla Mining's shares rose by 5.8% today, reflecting a rebound in silver prices, which have surged from $72 per ounce at the start of the year to $89, indicating strong market demand and investor optimism.
- High Beta Characteristics: Hecla's stock exhibits higher volatility compared to the market, with silver prices increasing by 172% over the past year while the company's stock surged by 310%, suggesting that this high beta relationship will persist into 2026, indicating increased reliance on silver.
- Strategic Shift: The company is doubling down on silver by divesting its gold mining subsidiary and ramping up exploration and pre-development spending on silver, demonstrating a long-term strategic commitment to the silver market.
- Market Outlook: Despite high prices leading to demand destruction in jewelry and photovoltaic products, overall silver demand is expected to remain stable in 2025, supported by retail investment and growing demand from AI data centers, positioning Hecla Mining for potential growth in this context.
See More
Hecla Mining Stock Declines Amid Falling Gold Prices
- Gold Price Impact: Hecla Mining's stock declined by 2.5% by 11:35 a.m. ET on Monday, primarily due to falling gold prices, despite rising silver prices, indicating ongoing market demand for safe-haven assets amidst geopolitical tensions.
- Silver Price Trends: Silver closed at $93.73 per ounce at the end of February and peaked at $96.10, but has since dropped to $84.81 per ounce, reflecting a 12% decline from its recent high, which may present a rebound opportunity for Hecla Mining.
- Strong Dollar Effect: The U.S. dollar index has risen approximately 1.7% since the onset of the conflict, which pressures silver prices as investors need fewer dollars to purchase silver, negatively impacting Hecla's stock performance.
- Interest Rate Influence: Rising interest rates compel investors to choose between non-yielding silver and interest-bearing bonds, potentially leading to silver sell-offs that further depress silver prices, contributing to the decline in Hecla Mining's stock value.
See More
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- Celsius Holdings Struggles: Celsius Holdings, Inc. experienced a 17.86% decline this week, reflecting investor concerns over its profitability, particularly in a challenging overall market environment.
- Pressure on Precious Metals: First Majestic Silver Corp. dropped 17.69% this week, as rising dollar strength and yields exerted greater market pressure on precious metal companies amid escalating conflict in the Middle East.
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Hecla Mining Doubles Down on Silver Investment
- Significant Silver Price Volatility: This year, silver prices surged from about $72 per ounce to $113 before dropping to $70, recently rebounding to $89, indicating high market volatility that directly impacts Hecla Mining's stock performance.
- Strong Stock Performance: Hecla Mining's shares rose by 5.8% today, reflecting investor optimism about the silver mining outlook, especially after management's commitment to increasing investment and exploration spending in silver, which is expected to further drive stock prices up.
- Rising Retail Investment Demand: Despite declining demand for jewelry and silverware due to high prices, retail investor demand is on the rise, with overall silver market expected to remain in deficit in 2025, which bodes well for Hecla Mining's long-term growth prospects.
- Strategic Adjustments and Future Outlook: Hecla Mining plans to divest its gold mining subsidiary and allocate more resources to silver exploration and pre-development, demonstrating the company's strong confidence in the silver market and the potential for significant investment returns in the coming years.
See More
Hecla Mining Shares Surge as Silver Prices Rally
- Stock Surge: Hecla Mining's shares rose by 5.8% today, reflecting a rebound in silver prices, which have surged from $72 per ounce at the start of the year to $89, indicating strong market demand and investor optimism.
- High Beta Characteristics: Hecla's stock exhibits higher volatility compared to the market, with silver prices increasing by 172% over the past year while the company's stock surged by 310%, suggesting that this high beta relationship will persist into 2026, indicating increased reliance on silver.
- Strategic Shift: The company is doubling down on silver by divesting its gold mining subsidiary and ramping up exploration and pre-development spending on silver, demonstrating a long-term strategic commitment to the silver market.
- Market Outlook: Despite high prices leading to demand destruction in jewelry and photovoltaic products, overall silver demand is expected to remain stable in 2025, supported by retail investment and growing demand from AI data centers, positioning Hecla Mining for potential growth in this context.
See More
Hecla Mining Stock Declines Amid Falling Gold Prices
- Gold Price Impact: Hecla Mining's stock declined by 2.5% by 11:35 a.m. ET on Monday, primarily due to falling gold prices, despite rising silver prices, indicating ongoing market demand for safe-haven assets amidst geopolitical tensions.
- Silver Price Trends: Silver closed at $93.73 per ounce at the end of February and peaked at $96.10, but has since dropped to $84.81 per ounce, reflecting a 12% decline from its recent high, which may present a rebound opportunity for Hecla Mining.
- Strong Dollar Effect: The U.S. dollar index has risen approximately 1.7% since the onset of the conflict, which pressures silver prices as investors need fewer dollars to purchase silver, negatively impacting Hecla's stock performance.
- Interest Rate Influence: Rising interest rates compel investors to choose between non-yielding silver and interest-bearing bonds, potentially leading to silver sell-offs that further depress silver prices, contributing to the decline in Hecla Mining's stock value.
See More
Ten Large-Cap Stocks with Worst Performance Last Week
- Lumentum Holdings Decline: Lumentum Holdings Inc. saw a 24.65% drop this week, despite its upcoming inclusion in the S&P 500 on March 23, 2026, indicating a significant loss of investor confidence in its future performance.
- Celsius Holdings Struggles: Celsius Holdings, Inc. experienced a 17.86% decline this week, reflecting investor concerns over its profitability, particularly in a challenging overall market environment.
- Pressure on Precious Metals: First Majestic Silver Corp. dropped 17.69% this week, as rising dollar strength and yields exerted greater market pressure on precious metal companies amid escalating conflict in the Middle East.
- Carnival Corporation Impacted: Carnival Corporation's stock fell 10.45% this week, as coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets heightened geopolitical risks, leading to diminished investor confidence in cruise operators.
See More
Global Stock Markets Retreat as Oil Prices Surge
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.94%, reaching a 3.25-month low, reflecting investor concerns over escalating tensions in Iran, which may impact future investment decisions and market stability.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices rose over 4% to an 8.5-month high due to threats from Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, intensifying fears of energy supply disruptions and potential inflationary pressures in the economy.
- Natural Gas Price Spike: European natural gas prices surged more than 22% to a three-year high after Qatar's Ras Laffan plant was targeted by an Iranian drone attack, posing significant risks to global liquefied natural gas supply and market stability.
- Economic Data Expectations: This week, the ADP employment change is expected to increase by 50,000, while the ISM services index is projected to slip slightly, with markets closely monitoring these indicators to assess economic health and potential implications for Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.
See More
U.S. Markets Fell on Tuesday, with MongoDB Suffering the Largest Loss
- Stock Market Decline: U.S. stock indexes experienced a decline on Tuesday, with the overall market dropping by 1.02%.
- Index Performance: The S&P 500 fell by 0.94%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.83%.
See More
