Santoli's Monday Market Recap: Stocks Rebound Following 'Risk-On' Surge
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 25 2025
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: CNBC
Market Overview: Stocks are recovering after a strong "risk-on" rally, with expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates next month while maintaining a steady economy.
Index Performance: Small-cap stocks like the Russell 2000 and Dow are lagging behind the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, reversing trends from Friday's rally where small and value stocks outperformed.
Market Sentiment: A significant portion of NYSE volume was positive on Friday, indicating strong buying demand, but this occurred after only a minor dip in the market, raising questions about the reliability of such signals.
Upcoming Events: The market is anticipating Nvidia's earnings report and PCE inflation data later this week, amidst a generally subdued volatility index as it navigates through late-summer market conditions.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 202.500
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 202.500
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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Financing Overview: The total transaction value for financing, including both primary and secondary capital, amounts to approximately $1 billion.
Market Impact: This significant financial activity indicates a robust market environment, reflecting investor confidence and potential growth opportunities.
See More
VAST DATA: FUNDING ROUND SAW CONTRIBUTIONS FROM CURRENT INVESTORS LIKE FIDELITY MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH COMPANY, NEA, AND NVIDIA
Funding Sources: The funding round includes participation from existing investors such as Fidelity Management & Research Company, NEA, and NVIDIA.
Investor Involvement: The involvement of established investors indicates confidence in the company's potential and growth prospects.
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- Co-Lead Participation: Access Industries is acting as a co-lead in this funding initiative, indicating strong interest and collaboration in the investment.
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- Funding Plans: Cursor is in talks to raise $2 billion at a valuation exceeding $50 billion, with participation from investors like Andreessen Horowitz, Nvidia, and Thrive Capital, reflecting strong market interest and investment enthusiasm in AI technologies.
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- Investor Sentiment Shift: As uncertainty in the market increased, investors rotated out of AI stocks into more stable value and dividend stocks, which are considered safe havens that perform relatively well during economic downturns.
- Signs of AI Stock Recovery: Since April 1, 2026, the Nasdaq Composite has gained approximately 13%, indicating a rebound in tech stocks, particularly as P/E ratios of AI stocks have dropped to lower levels, enticing investors to re-enter the market.
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Super Micro Faces Key Customer Fallout with Oracle
- Order Cancellation Impact: Oracle's cancellation of an order for 300 to 400 Super Micro GB300 NVL72 server racks has led to a 7.6% drop in Super Micro's stock by 10:30 a.m., indicating strained relations with a key customer that could affect future sales and market confidence.
- Potential Scandal Risk: Analysts suggest that Oracle's move may be an attempt to distance itself from allegations against Super Micro co-founder Yih-Shyan 'Wally' Liaw regarding illicit sales of Nvidia chips to China, which could lead to further contract losses and exacerbate Super Micro's market challenges.
- Sales Decline Trend: Super Micro is also experiencing sales losses to xAI, which may not be directly related to SpaceX's IPO; however, SpaceX's refusal to purchase Super Micro's older B200 GPU chips in favor of faster products from Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise could result in inventory backlog for Super Micro.
- Market Valuation Drop: Despite an 18.5% decline in stock price over the past year, Super Micro's current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 21, and analysts project a 26% growth in earnings over the next five years, suggesting that the investment value of Super Micro may be emerging as risks are priced in.
See More
VAST DATA: FINANCING COMPRISES PRIMARY AND SECONDARY CAPITAL, TOTALING NEARLY $1 BILLION IN TRANSACTION VALUE
Financing Overview: The total transaction value for financing, including both primary and secondary capital, amounts to approximately $1 billion.
Market Impact: This significant financial activity indicates a robust market environment, reflecting investor confidence and potential growth opportunities.
See More
VAST DATA: FUNDING ROUND SAW CONTRIBUTIONS FROM CURRENT INVESTORS LIKE FIDELITY MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH COMPANY, NEA, AND NVIDIA
Funding Sources: The funding round includes participation from existing investors such as Fidelity Management & Research Company, NEA, and NVIDIA.
Investor Involvement: The involvement of established investors indicates confidence in the company's potential and growth prospects.
See More
VAST DATA: DRIVE CAPITAL LEADS FUNDING ROUND, WITH ACCESS INDUSTRIES AS CO-LEAD
- Funding Overview: A funding round has been led by Drive Capital, focusing on significant investments in various industries.
- Co-Lead Participation: Access Industries is acting as a co-lead in this funding initiative, indicating strong interest and collaboration in the investment.
See More
SpaceX to Acquire AI Startup Cursor for $60 Billion
- Acquisition Agreement: SpaceX has struck a deal with AI startup Cursor to acquire the company for $60 billion or pay $10 billion for collaborative work, indicating SpaceX's strategic expansion into the AI sector.
- Funding Plans: Cursor is in talks to raise $2 billion at a valuation exceeding $50 billion, with participation from investors like Andreessen Horowitz, Nvidia, and Thrive Capital, reflecting strong market interest and investment enthusiasm in AI technologies.
- Technical Collaboration: The partnership aims to develop the world's best coding and knowledge work AI, with Cursor's CEO highlighting this as a significant step in enhancing their AI model, Composer, which could transform software development practices.
- IPO Prospects: Elon Musk plans to take SpaceX public after merging it with his AI startup xAI, which is expected to be a record-setting IPO, further solidifying his leadership position in the tech industry.
See More
AI Stocks Experience Volatility and Investment Opportunities
- Market Volatility Reasons: After a three-year bull market, AI stocks faced a downturn in late 2025 and early 2026, primarily due to high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios and investor concerns about economic slowdown and rising inflation, leading to declining stock prices.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As uncertainty in the market increased, investors rotated out of AI stocks into more stable value and dividend stocks, which are considered safe havens that perform relatively well during economic downturns.
- Signs of AI Stock Recovery: Since April 1, 2026, the Nasdaq Composite has gained approximately 13%, indicating a rebound in tech stocks, particularly as P/E ratios of AI stocks have dropped to lower levels, enticing investors to re-enter the market.
- Long-term Investment Confidence: Analysts suggest that despite the recent correction, investors remain confident in the transformative potential of AI technology, believing it will create future value, thus seeking opportunities to buy back into AI stocks as valuations normalize.
See More
Super Micro Faces Key Customer Fallout with Oracle
- Order Cancellation Impact: Oracle's cancellation of an order for 300 to 400 Super Micro GB300 NVL72 server racks has led to a 7.6% drop in Super Micro's stock by 10:30 a.m., indicating strained relations with a key customer that could affect future sales and market confidence.
- Potential Scandal Risk: Analysts suggest that Oracle's move may be an attempt to distance itself from allegations against Super Micro co-founder Yih-Shyan 'Wally' Liaw regarding illicit sales of Nvidia chips to China, which could lead to further contract losses and exacerbate Super Micro's market challenges.
- Sales Decline Trend: Super Micro is also experiencing sales losses to xAI, which may not be directly related to SpaceX's IPO; however, SpaceX's refusal to purchase Super Micro's older B200 GPU chips in favor of faster products from Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise could result in inventory backlog for Super Micro.
- Market Valuation Drop: Despite an 18.5% decline in stock price over the past year, Super Micro's current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 21, and analysts project a 26% growth in earnings over the next five years, suggesting that the investment value of Super Micro may be emerging as risks are priced in.
See More
