Red Rock Resorts announces $385M expansion in Durango, adding 400 new slot machines and extending share buyback program to 2027.
Record Financial Performance: Red Rock Resorts reported its highest third quarter net revenue of $468.6 million and adjusted EBITDA of $209.4 million, marking nine consecutive quarters of record net revenue and five of record adjusted EBITDA.
Durango Casino Expansion: The company is progressing with a $120 million expansion of the Durango Casino Resort, set to complete in December, and plans a subsequent $385 million phase to begin in January, which will significantly enhance the property.
Shareholder Returns: The Board extended the share repurchase program to 2027 with an additional $300 million authorized, and increased the quarterly cash dividend to $0.26 per Class A share, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Outlook and Challenges: Management anticipates ongoing construction disruptions at Green Valley Ranch and other sites into 2026, while maintaining confidence in the business's resilience and long-term growth despite potential temporary increases in leverage.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Red Rock Resorts (RRR) declares a quarterly dividend of $0.26 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.56% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially drawing more income-focused investors.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 31, with a record date of March 16 and an ex-dividend date also on March 16, providing investors with a clear timeline for their investment decisions.
- Market Outlook: Local casinos in Las Vegas may outperform the Strip this year, suggesting that Red Rock Resorts possesses growth potential even in a highly competitive market.
- Strong Earnings Performance: Red Rock Resorts reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.75, exceeding market expectations by $0.30, which reflects the company's robust profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Stable Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $511.8 million in Q4, marking a 3.2% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst expectations by $7.5 million, indicating solid growth in the competitive Las Vegas market.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: With local Las Vegas casinos potentially outshining the Strip this year, Red Rock Resorts' market positioning and operational strategies are likely to benefit from this trend, enhancing future revenue potential.
- Positive Analyst Ratings: Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating on Red Rock Resorts indicates a bullish sentiment, reflecting market confidence in the company's growth prospects and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Earnings Announcement: Red Rock Resorts (RRR) is scheduled to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 10th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.65, reflecting a 14.5% year-over-year decline, while revenue is projected at $504.3 million, indicating a 1.7% year-over-year increase.
- Performance Exceeding Expectations: Over the past year, Red Rock has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, showcasing the company's robust performance and stability in a competitive market.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced four upward revisions and one downward, indicating growing market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Environment Analysis: With Nevada eliminating an old horse racing middleman rule, Red Rock Resorts may benefit in the competitive landscape, particularly as local Las Vegas casinos are expected to outperform the Strip this year, potentially enhancing its market position.
- Market Growth Drivers: Analyst John DeCree from CBRE Equity Research anticipates that despite tougher comparisons for the locals market in 2026, tax cuts and capital reinvestment from major operators will fuel moderate growth.
- Historical Performance Advantage: The Las Vegas locals market has outperformed the Strip during economic recessions for 40 years, showcasing resilience, with a higher concentration of tipped employees and a large retiree population seen as positive factors for local casino operators.
- Stock Rating Upgrades: CBRE Equity reiterated a Buy rating on Boyd Gaming (BYD) and Red Rock Resorts (RRR), raising the price target for BYD to $105 and RRR to $75, reflecting confidence in their future performance.
- Growth Expectations: Both BYD and RRR shares are expected to perform well in the first half of 2026, driven primarily by the OBBB Act and ROI on growth capex, further solidifying their market positions.
- Price Target Cut: Cantor Fitzgerald lowered Marsh & McLennan's price target from $226 to $208 while maintaining an Overweight rating, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Target Price Reduction: Piper Sandler cut the price target for Intercontinental Exchange from $292 to $195, despite maintaining an Overweight rating, which may affect investor confidence in the stock.
- Price Target Increase: Citizens raised the price target for Red Rock Resorts from $65 to $68, with analysts maintaining a Market Outperform rating, reflecting optimism about the company's future performance.
- Target Price Boost: Keybanc increased AAR Corp's price target from $93 to $109, with analysts keeping an Overweight rating, signaling confidence in the company's recovery in the aviation sector.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Red Rock Resorts plans to announce its financial results for Q4 and full year 2025 on February 10, 2026, which is expected to provide investors with critical financial data and operational performance insights.
- Conference Call Details: The company will hold a conference call at 4:30 PM ET on the same day, featuring prepared remarks and a Q&A session, enhancing engagement with investors.
- International Dial-in Information: International investors can join the call by dialing (412) 317-6061, ensuring that global stakeholders have access to the latest information and improving transparency.
- Replay Service: The call will be available for replay until February 17, 2026, allowing investors who cannot participate live to catch up on the discussion by dialing (855) 669-9658, thereby ensuring comprehensive communication of the meeting's content.





