Palantir and Axon: AI Value Chain Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 28 2026
0mins
Should l Buy PLTR?
Source: Fool
- Palantir's Market Potential: Palantir's stock is priced at $143 per share, with Wall Street's median target price at $200, indicating a 40% upside, reflecting the market's recognition of its crucial role in enterprise AI platforms.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4, Palantir's revenue surged 70% to $1.4 billion, with non-GAAP net income rising 79% to $0.25 per share, showcasing its ongoing business acceleration and robust market demand.
- Axon's Growth Outlook: Axon's stock is priced at $397, with a median target price of $700 from Wall Street, suggesting a 76% upside, highlighting its leadership in public safety products and strong AI integration capabilities.
- Signals of Sustained Demand: Axon reported a 39% increase in sales to $797 million in Q4, with non-GAAP net income soaring 84% to $2.15 per share, and contracted bookings rising 43% to $14.4 billion, indicating durable demand for its products.
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Analyst Views on PLTR
Wall Street analysts forecast PLTR stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 137.800
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
Current: 137.800
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
About PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The Company has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models and other AI within any organization.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Cathie Wood's Top AI Stock Pick: Palantir Technologies
- Positive Investment Outlook: Cathie Wood holds a $574 million stake in Palantir Technologies, reflecting strong confidence in the company amid rising geopolitical conflicts and military budgets, positioning it as a full-stack AI platform for modern warfare.
- Integrated Technology Advantage: Palantir's Foundry, Gotham, and Apollo systems are tightly integrated, providing a comprehensive solution from data collection to real-time decision-making, making it a one-stop shop for government defense needs and enhancing operational efficiency.
- Enhanced Target Identification: With AI integration, Palantir's target identification capacity has surged from 100 targets per day to 5,000, with future iterations expected to reach 1,000 targets per hour, significantly reducing decision cycles and improving military responsiveness.
- Outstanding Market Performance: Despite being the biggest detractor in GMO's portfolio, Palantir's stock surged 135% over the past year, indicating market recognition of its growth potential, even as its price-to-sales ratio exceeds 100, continuing to attract investor interest.
See More
Nvidia Earnings Preview: Rising AI Bubble Risks
- Palantir Beats Expectations: Palantir's Q1 revenue surged 85% to $1.63 billion, driven by 84% growth in U.S. government revenue and a doubling of U.S. commercial sales, with CEO Karp raising 2026 sales growth guidance from 61% to 71%, highlighting its strong position in AI applications.
- Stock Price Decline: Despite exceeding Wall Street expectations, Palantir's shares fell over 8% in the two days following its report, primarily due to investor concerns over its valuation, particularly with a price-to-sales ratio still above 60, significantly higher than historical industry norms.
- Nvidia's Earnings Outlook: Nvidia is expected to report jaw-dropping sales and profit growth on May 20, bolstered by its unmatched GPU computing capabilities and the ecosystem created by its CUDA software platform, but market expectations are exceedingly high.
- Increasing Internal Competition: Nvidia faces growing internal competition as key customers develop their own GPUs and AI solutions, which, while inferior in performance, are more cost-effective, potentially undermining Nvidia's pricing power and gross margins.
See More
Nvidia's Earnings Outlook Amidst Market Challenges
- Earnings Report Ahead: Nvidia is set to release its fiscal Q1 results on May 20, and while sales and profit growth are expected to exceed Wall Street's forecasts, market confidence may be shaken by Palantir's recent stock decline.
- Palantir's Performance Impact: Palantir reported an 85% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.63 billion in Q1, yet its shares fell over 8% in the two days post-report, indicating investor concerns over high valuations that could negatively affect Nvidia's market performance.
- Increased Internal Competition: Nvidia faces growing internal competition as major customers develop their own GPUs and AI solutions, which, while inferior in performance, are more cost-effective, potentially undermining Nvidia's pricing power and gross margins.
- Historical Lessons Caution: History shows that industry leaders often experience bubble bursts in early stages; despite strong demand for Nvidia's GPUs, overly optimistic market sentiment may be at risk of correction due to inflated expectations.
See More
NHS Grants Palantir Unlimited Access to Patient Data
- Access Permission Change: The UK's National Health Service (NHS) has decided to grant staff from companies including Palantir 'unlimited access' to identifiable patient data to support the development of its flagship data platform, raising significant public concern over data privacy.
- Large Contract Value: Palantir secured a £330 million ($448.4 million) contract in 2023 to develop the National Data Integration Tenant (NDIT) for the NHS, aimed at integrating disparate NHS datasets into a single system to enhance data management efficiency.
- External Access Management: NHS has agreed to create an 'admin' role allowing non-staff unlimited access to the NDIT and identifiable patient data, although an internal briefing note recommends capping external admin access and subjecting such permissions to regular review to ensure data security.
- Public Scrutiny and Review: Palantir's data access has drawn considerable public scrutiny due to its work with U.S. government defense agencies, with the briefing note suggesting that external access should be time-limited and regularly reviewed to address concerns over patient data access.
See More
Palantir Reports Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's stock price on the afternoon of May 7, 2026, indicates strong revenue growth, suggesting the company's performance continues to improve, which is expected to further boost investor confidence.
- Profit Increase: The company reports profit growth, reflecting the effectiveness of its business model and strong market demand, which may attract more institutional investors' attention.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the video release, Palantir's stock price rose by 0.55%, demonstrating investor optimism regarding the company's future development and enhancing its competitiveness in the tech industry.
- Optimistic Strategic Outlook: With simultaneous revenue and profit growth, Palantir is poised to continue expanding its market share in the future, further solidifying its leadership position in the data analytics sector.
See More
Karp Critiques AI Models as Business Threat
- Executive Warning: CEO Alex Karp's criticism of internal 'slop' indicates concerns about operational efficiency, suggesting that the company risks losing its competitive edge if not addressed.
- Investor Concerns: Investors are reacting to Karp's remarks with apprehension, believing that failure to effectively tackle the challenges posed by AI models could impact market share and long-term profitability.
- Employee Anxiety: Some employees express unease about the company's future direction, fearing that the rise of AI models may lead to layoffs or business restructuring, thereby affecting job security.
- Need for Strategic Adjustment: Karp's critique underscores the necessity for the company to make strategic adjustments to navigate the rapidly changing technological landscape, ensuring competitiveness in the AI sector and safeguarding core business operations.
See More
Cathie Wood's Top AI Stock Pick: Palantir Technologies
- Positive Investment Outlook: Cathie Wood holds a $574 million stake in Palantir Technologies, reflecting strong confidence in the company amid rising geopolitical conflicts and military budgets, positioning it as a full-stack AI platform for modern warfare.
- Integrated Technology Advantage: Palantir's Foundry, Gotham, and Apollo systems are tightly integrated, providing a comprehensive solution from data collection to real-time decision-making, making it a one-stop shop for government defense needs and enhancing operational efficiency.
- Enhanced Target Identification: With AI integration, Palantir's target identification capacity has surged from 100 targets per day to 5,000, with future iterations expected to reach 1,000 targets per hour, significantly reducing decision cycles and improving military responsiveness.
- Outstanding Market Performance: Despite being the biggest detractor in GMO's portfolio, Palantir's stock surged 135% over the past year, indicating market recognition of its growth potential, even as its price-to-sales ratio exceeds 100, continuing to attract investor interest.
See More
Nvidia Earnings Preview: Rising AI Bubble Risks
- Palantir Beats Expectations: Palantir's Q1 revenue surged 85% to $1.63 billion, driven by 84% growth in U.S. government revenue and a doubling of U.S. commercial sales, with CEO Karp raising 2026 sales growth guidance from 61% to 71%, highlighting its strong position in AI applications.
- Stock Price Decline: Despite exceeding Wall Street expectations, Palantir's shares fell over 8% in the two days following its report, primarily due to investor concerns over its valuation, particularly with a price-to-sales ratio still above 60, significantly higher than historical industry norms.
- Nvidia's Earnings Outlook: Nvidia is expected to report jaw-dropping sales and profit growth on May 20, bolstered by its unmatched GPU computing capabilities and the ecosystem created by its CUDA software platform, but market expectations are exceedingly high.
- Increasing Internal Competition: Nvidia faces growing internal competition as key customers develop their own GPUs and AI solutions, which, while inferior in performance, are more cost-effective, potentially undermining Nvidia's pricing power and gross margins.
See More
Nvidia's Earnings Outlook Amidst Market Challenges
- Earnings Report Ahead: Nvidia is set to release its fiscal Q1 results on May 20, and while sales and profit growth are expected to exceed Wall Street's forecasts, market confidence may be shaken by Palantir's recent stock decline.
- Palantir's Performance Impact: Palantir reported an 85% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.63 billion in Q1, yet its shares fell over 8% in the two days post-report, indicating investor concerns over high valuations that could negatively affect Nvidia's market performance.
- Increased Internal Competition: Nvidia faces growing internal competition as major customers develop their own GPUs and AI solutions, which, while inferior in performance, are more cost-effective, potentially undermining Nvidia's pricing power and gross margins.
- Historical Lessons Caution: History shows that industry leaders often experience bubble bursts in early stages; despite strong demand for Nvidia's GPUs, overly optimistic market sentiment may be at risk of correction due to inflated expectations.
See More
NHS Grants Palantir Unlimited Access to Patient Data
- Access Permission Change: The UK's National Health Service (NHS) has decided to grant staff from companies including Palantir 'unlimited access' to identifiable patient data to support the development of its flagship data platform, raising significant public concern over data privacy.
- Large Contract Value: Palantir secured a £330 million ($448.4 million) contract in 2023 to develop the National Data Integration Tenant (NDIT) for the NHS, aimed at integrating disparate NHS datasets into a single system to enhance data management efficiency.
- External Access Management: NHS has agreed to create an 'admin' role allowing non-staff unlimited access to the NDIT and identifiable patient data, although an internal briefing note recommends capping external admin access and subjecting such permissions to regular review to ensure data security.
- Public Scrutiny and Review: Palantir's data access has drawn considerable public scrutiny due to its work with U.S. government defense agencies, with the briefing note suggesting that external access should be time-limited and regularly reviewed to address concerns over patient data access.
See More
Palantir Reports Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's stock price on the afternoon of May 7, 2026, indicates strong revenue growth, suggesting the company's performance continues to improve, which is expected to further boost investor confidence.
- Profit Increase: The company reports profit growth, reflecting the effectiveness of its business model and strong market demand, which may attract more institutional investors' attention.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the video release, Palantir's stock price rose by 0.55%, demonstrating investor optimism regarding the company's future development and enhancing its competitiveness in the tech industry.
- Optimistic Strategic Outlook: With simultaneous revenue and profit growth, Palantir is poised to continue expanding its market share in the future, further solidifying its leadership position in the data analytics sector.
See More
Karp Critiques AI Models as Business Threat
- Executive Warning: CEO Alex Karp's criticism of internal 'slop' indicates concerns about operational efficiency, suggesting that the company risks losing its competitive edge if not addressed.
- Investor Concerns: Investors are reacting to Karp's remarks with apprehension, believing that failure to effectively tackle the challenges posed by AI models could impact market share and long-term profitability.
- Employee Anxiety: Some employees express unease about the company's future direction, fearing that the rise of AI models may lead to layoffs or business restructuring, thereby affecting job security.
- Need for Strategic Adjustment: Karp's critique underscores the necessity for the company to make strategic adjustments to navigate the rapidly changing technological landscape, ensuring competitiveness in the AI sector and safeguarding core business operations.
See More
