Oversold Energy Stocks: Delek, Expand, XCF Present Buying Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 16 2026
0mins
Source: Benzinga
- Delek US Holdings: JP Morgan analyst lowered the price target for Delek US from $42 to $38, resulting in a 9% decline in stock price over the past month, with an RSI of 29.9 indicating oversold conditions that may present a buying opportunity for investors.
- Expand Energy Corp: UBS analyst maintained a Buy rating on Expand Energy but reduced the price target from $154 to $150, with the stock falling approximately 7% in the last month and an RSI of 28.7, suggesting it is also in oversold territory, attracting investor interest.
- XCF Global Inc: XCF Global filed for an offering of up to 187.18 million shares of Class A common stock, with the stock plummeting around 65% over the past month and an RSI of 21.4 indicating extreme oversold conditions, potentially appealing to risk-tolerant investors.
- Market Trend Analysis: According to Benzinga Pro data, oversold stocks are often viewed as investment opportunities, and these companies in the energy sector may rebound in the short term, warranting close attention from investors.
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Analyst Views on DK
Wall Street analysts forecast DK stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 42.750
Low
33.00
Averages
41.00
High
53.00
Current: 42.750
Low
33.00
Averages
41.00
High
53.00
About DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc. is a diversified downstream energy company with assets in petroleum refining, logistics, pipelines, and renewable fuels. The Company's segments include Refining and Logistics. The Refining segment processes crude oil and other feedstocks for the manufacture of transportation motor fuels, including various grades of gasoline, diesel fuel and aviation fuel, asphalt and other petroleum-based products that are distributed through owned and third-party product terminals. The Refining segment also owns three biodiesel facilities, located in Crossett, Arkansas, Cleburne, Texas and New Albany, Mississippi. The Logistics segment is engaged in gathering, transporting and storing crude oil and natural gas, marketing, distributing, transporting and storing intermediate and refined products and disposing and recycling water in select regions of the southeastern United States and North Dakota, the Midland Basin in Texas, the Delaware Basin in New Mexico and West Texas.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Delek Logistics Growth Potential: Delek Logistics (DKL), with a market cap of $2.7 billion, has an impressive 8.8% dividend yield and is projected to achieve 23.7% year-over-year earnings growth in 2026, showcasing its competitive edge in the midstream energy sector.
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- Stock Performance: Delek Energy's shares have surged 122% over the past year and are up 47% year-to-date, yet they remain 12% below their 52-week high, raising concerns about potential overvaluation in the market.
- Insider Trading Dynamics: Recent insider selling by executives has sparked speculation about valuation concerns; however, some analysts argue that Delek's stock may actually be undervalued, particularly given its nearly $1.8 billion stake in Delek Logistics.
- Value Unlocking Potential: Delek's 63.3% interest in Delek Logistics could unlock between $600 million to $700 million of
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- New Investment Activity: According to an SEC filing dated May 12, 2026, the Hebrew University Employee Fund acquired 72,679 shares of Delek US Holdings in Q1 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $2.60 million, indicating confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Stake Proportion Analysis: This acquisition brings Delek's representation to 5.17% of the fund's 13F reportable assets, reflecting the fund's ongoing interest in the energy sector, particularly in the current market environment.
- Market Performance Highlights: As of May 13, 2026, Delek's shares were priced at $53.88, representing a 153.2% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 126.74 percentage points, showcasing the company's strong market performance.
- Company Fundamentals Overview: Delek US Holdings has a significant presence in refining, logistics, and retail fuel distribution, and despite reporting a trailing-12-month net income of negative $51.40 million, the company continues to expand its refining and midstream infrastructure, indicating long-term growth potential.
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- Transaction Overview: Uzi Yemin, Director of Delek US Holdings, sold 34,026 shares on May 4, 2026, for approximately $1.61 million through By Yemin Investments, indicating a strategic liquidity event under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Ownership Structure: Post-transaction, Yemin retains 210,281 direct shares and 447,795 indirect shares, demonstrating significant ongoing control and commitment to the company.
- Market Performance Context: As of May 4, 2026, Delek US Holdings' stock appreciated by 248.4% over the past year, providing a favorable backdrop for Yemin's sale and reflecting the company's strong market position.
- Financial Health Status: Despite reporting a net loss of $201.3 million in Q1 2026, the adjusted EBITDA of $211.7 million exceeded analyst expectations, showcasing the effectiveness of its Enterprise Optimization Plan and bolstering investor confidence.
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- Earnings Beat Expectations: Delek U.S. Holdings reported Q1 2026 sales of $2.65 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations of $2.42 billion, indicating strong market performance that is likely to boost investor confidence further.
- Optimization Plan Success: Management credited the Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP) for achieving higher yields of distillate and jet fuel, projecting an annual cash flow improvement of $220 million, which enhances the company's financial stability.
- Stock Price Surge: The stock has risen 17.5% since last Friday, reflecting positive market reactions to its financial results, and it is expected to continue climbing as financial improvements persist.
- Positive Market Outlook: Despite the recent stock surge, analysts believe that as long as the EOP continues to deliver benefits and financials improve, investors will remain optimistic about the future performance of this energy stock.
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- Earnings Beat: Delek's Q1 revenue rose 0.4% to $2.65 billion, with an adjusted loss per share of $0.98, exceeding market expectations and demonstrating resilience in a high oil price environment.
- Cost-Cutting Initiative: Management raised the annual cash flow savings target from $200 million to $220 million, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing operational efficiency and profitability through self-help measures.
- Refining Profit Surge: The refining segment's adjusted EBITDA soared to $155.3 million, a significant turnaround from a $27 million loss in the previous year, highlighting the company's advantageous position in jet fuel yield.
- Future Growth Potential: Delek's management estimates mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA at approximately $545 million, and with small refinery exemption payments potentially boosting adjusted EBITDA by $375 million to $750 million, the stock price could double from current levels.
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