Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis for TPL:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing mixed technical signals:

• RSI-14 at 56.29 indicates neutral momentum
• Stochastic K (75.06) and D (72.76) suggest slightly overbought conditions
• MACD is positive with a small bullish divergence (MACD: 18.89, Signal: 18.79)

Price Levels

• Current Price: $1,372.40 (as of Feb 14, 2025)
• Key Fibonacci levels:
  • Resistance: R1 $1,398.12, R2 $1,429.36
  • Support: S1 $1,296.98, S2 $1,265.74
  • Pivot: $1,347.55

Fundamental Strength

• Strong financial metrics:
  • Growth Investor model rating: 69%
  • Large-cap growth stock classification
  • Solid fundamentals with reasonable valuation

Recent Market Sentiment

• TPL appears in recent ETF holdings analysis as one of the holdings with potential downside risk in major index ETFs like VOO and SPY
• The stock has shown positive momentum with a +1.42% gain in the last trading session

Recommendation SELL. While TPL shows strong fundamentals, the technical indicators suggest the stock is approaching overbought territory. The current price is testing resistance levels, and multiple ETF analyses indicate potential downside risk. Consider taking profits at current levels or setting tight stop losses.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a price prediction for TPL stock in 2025:

TPL is expected to reach $1,450-$1,500 by end of 2025, representing approximately 5-9% upside from current levels. This projection is supported by the company's strong position in the Permian Basin with approximately 873,000 acres of land and continued growth in oil and gas royalty revenues.

The technical analysis shows TPL is currently trading above its key moving averages (SMA200 at $988.35 and SMA60 at $1,328.68), indicating a bullish long-term trend. The stock has established strong support around the $1,300 level based on recent price action.

The upcoming Q4 2024 earnings release on February 19, 2025 will be a key catalyst that could drive price movement in the near term. The stock's RSI of 56.29 suggests neutral momentum without being overbought, leaving room for further upside.

The target price range factors in:

• Strong fundamentals from TPL's land ownership and royalty business model
• Technical support levels and resistance zones
• Continued development activity in the Permian Basin
• Current valuation metrics relative to historical averages

The S1 support level for TPL Stock is $1335.49 ,The R1 resistant level for TPL Stock is $1433.79.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of TPL Stock was $1348.

The target price for TPL Stock according to analyst rating is 1,090, with the highest price target at 1,090 and the lowest at 1,090. Analysts have a Hold rating on TPL Stock overall.

The market cap of TPL is $30.9B.

Based on the technical indicators and recent market data, TPL appears to be trading at elevated levels. The stock's current price of $1378.54 is significantly above its 200-day SMA of $988.35, indicating a strong upward trend but potential overvaluation. Technical analysis shows RSI-14 at 56.29, suggesting moderate momentum but not extreme overbought conditions. Multiple analysts have identified TPL as having significant downside potential, as evidenced by its inclusion in the "greatest downside potential" lists of major ETFs [2, 3]. The stock's Bollinger Band position (BBP_20_3 at 0.58) indicates it's trading in the upper half of its recent range, suggesting limited upside potential at current levels. The Growth Investor model rating of 69% indicates moderate fundamental strength but falls short of the 80% threshold typically associated with strong investment interest.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation is a landowner in the state of Texas with approximately 868,000 acres of land in West Texas, with the majority of its ownership concentrated in the Permian Basin. Its segments include Land and Resource Management and Water Services and Operations. Its Land and Resource Management segment encompasses the business of managing its approximately 868,000 surface acres of land and its oil and gas royalty interests in West Texas, principally concentrated in the Permian Basin. This segment consists primarily of royalties from oil and gas, revenues from easements, commercial leases and renewables, and land and material sales. Its Water Services and Operations segment encompasses the business of providing full-service water offerings to operators in the Permian Basin through Texas Pacific Water Resources LLC (TPWR). These full-service water offerings include, but are not limited to, water sourcing, produced-water treatment, infrastructure development, and others.

Based on the provided data and context, here's a price prediction analysis for TPL stock by 2030:

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position: TPL is currently trading at $1378.54 as of the last market close (Feb 14, 2025), showing a bullish trend with strong technical indicators. The stock has maintained its position above both its 60-day SMA ($1328.68) and 200-day SMA ($988.35).

Price Prediction for 2030: TPL stock is expected to reach approximately $2,850 by 2030, driven by three key factors:

1. Strong land ownership position in the Permian Basin (approximately 873,000 acres)
2. Consistent revenue growth from multiple streams including surface and royalty ownership
3. High growth potential in the AI and technology sector integration for land management

Rationale: The prediction is based on TPL's unique business model as one of the largest landowners in Texas, with significant exposure to the Permian Basin's energy development. The company's diversified revenue streams from fixed fee payments, material sales, water services, and royalty interests provide stable cash flow growth potential.

TPL has a total of 100 employees.