Opportunities in Travel Stocks Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 13 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Market Volatility Impact: Following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, travel stocks lost over $22.6 billion in market value in a single day, creating long-term pressure on the sector but also presenting undervalued opportunities for long-term investors.
- Viking Holdings Performance: Before the conflict, Viking had sold 86% of its 2026 capacity and held nearly $6 billion in advance bookings, achieving a 62% return in 2025 and projecting 13% revenue growth for 2026, indicating strong fundamentals.
- Travel + Leisure Resilience: As a vacation ownership company, Travel + Leisure raised its quarterly dividend by 7% to $0.60 per share amid turmoil, reflecting a stable revenue base, with analysts projecting a price target of $86.50, implying a 14% upside.
- Lindblad Expeditions Market Positioning: Lindblad focuses on small expedition cruises, facing risks from high-net-worth customer demand fluctuations, yet its core demographic is more insulated from short-term economic shocks, with analysts maintaining Buy ratings and price targets between $18 and $23.
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Analyst Views on VIK
Wall Street analysts forecast VIK stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 87.730
Low
59.00
Averages
71.93
High
85.00
Current: 87.730
Low
59.00
Averages
71.93
High
85.00
About VIK
Viking Holdings Ltd provides destination-focused journeys on rivers, oceans, and lakes around the world. The Company offers travel experiences on all seven continents in all three categories of the cruise industry - river, ocean, and expedition cruising. Its cruise line offers experiences on all seven continents with itineraries across five oceans, 21 rivers and five lakes, and a focus primarily on destinations in Europe and the Mediterranean, rather than the Caribbean. The Company’s fleet includes 58 longships accommodating 190 passengers, 11 ocean ships, including the Viking Yi Dun, accommodating 930 or 998 passengers and two expedition ships accommodating 378 passengers. Its in-house operations include Nautical, Hotel Services and Land Operations Departments. Its fleet comprised of various ships, such as Viking Gymir, Viking Fjorgyn, Viking Radgrid, Viking Kari, Viking Vilhjalm, Viking Hermod, Viking Hemming, Viking Neptune, Viking Polaris, Viking Octantis, among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- New Ship Delivery: The Viking Mira was delivered this morning at Fincantieri's shipyard in Ancona, Italy, marking a significant milestone in Viking's expansion of its ocean fleet, which is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in the cruise market.
- Capacity Details: With 499 staterooms accommodating 998 guests, the Viking Mira enriches Viking's luxury cruise offerings, catering to the growing demand for high-end travel experiences.
- Sustainable Technology: Designed with future technologies in mind, the Viking Mira can be retrofitted to incorporate next-generation hydrogen propulsion systems, demonstrating the company's commitment to sustainability and innovation.
- Future Plans: Viking plans to take delivery of 24 additional river ships by 2028 and nine ocean ships by 2031, further solidifying its leadership position in the global experiential travel market, with a total of 26 ocean and expedition ships expected by 2031.
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- World Cruise Highlights: Viking has announced its 2028-2029 World Cruise itineraries, featuring a 142-day journey across six continents and 31 countries, offering 62 guided tours and overnight stays in 16 cities, which is expected to attract a large number of travel enthusiasts.
- Rich Cultural Experiences: During the cruise, guests will have the opportunity to visit up to 45 UNESCO World Heritage Sites, combining iconic cities with culturally rich small towns, enhancing the cultural experience for travelers and the appeal of the destinations.
- Special Promotional Offers: From now until May 31, 2026, Viking is offering North American travelers special savings on the 2028-2029 World Cruises, including free business class airfare and a $4,000 per couple shore excursion credit, further stimulating market demand.
- Awards and Recognition: Viking has received numerous accolades from leading travel publications, including being named one of TIME's 2026 TIME100 Most Influential Companies, showcasing its leadership position and brand influence in the global travel industry.
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- Insider Buying Signal: Norwegian Cruise Line CEO John Chidsey's recent purchase of 153,000 shares for approximately $2.5 million indicates confidence in the company’s future, despite the market's cautious outlook on its performance.
- Mixed Financial Performance: While the first quarter saw adjusted earnings more than double, NCL lowered its 2026 earnings guidance from $2.38 to a range of $1.45 to $1.70 per share due to rising fuel costs and geopolitical tensions, highlighting operational challenges.
- Poor Market Performance: NCL's stock has declined 6% in May and 23% year-to-date, contrasting sharply with competitors Carnival and Royal Caribbean, which have seen double-digit gains, underscoring NCL's weaker position in the industry.
- Attractive Valuation: Despite the bleak outlook, NCL trades at an 11 times forward earnings multiple, lower than Carnival's 10 times and Royal Caribbean's 13 times, potentially attracting investors looking for undervalued opportunities in a recovering industry.
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- New Ship Delivery: Viking Holdings took delivery of the Viking Mira at Fincantieri’s shipyard in Ancona, Italy, accommodating 998 guests, marking a significant milestone in the company's ocean fleet expansion.
- Environmental Technology Advancement: The delivery of Viking Mira coincides with the construction of the Viking Libra, the world's first hydrogen-powered cruise ship, scheduled for delivery in November, showcasing the company's commitment to advancing next-generation propulsion technologies with zero emissions.
- Future Order Outlook: Based on Viking's committed order book, the company expects to take delivery of 24 river ships by 2028, nine ocean ships, and two expedition ships by 2031, which will enhance its fleet to 114 river ships and 26 ocean and expedition ships, solidifying its market position.
- Stock Performance: Viking Holdings' shares have risen 22.9% year-to-date, reflecting market confidence in the company's growth potential despite the volatility in the shipping industry.
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- Acquisition Impact: NextEra Energy's announcement of an all-stock acquisition of Dominion Energy led to a more than 9% surge in Dominion's shares, positioning the combined entity as the world's largest regulated electric utility, significantly enhancing market presence.
- Cruise Industry Recovery: Viking Holdings' stock rose nearly 2% after Wells Fargo upgraded its rating to overweight, with 2027 advanced bookings up 31% from the previous year, indicating strong demand despite concerns over the U.S.-Iran conflict.
- Stock Buyback Plan: Cognizant Technology Solutions saw its shares increase by nearly 7% after doubling its stock repurchase target to approximately $2 billion for this year, which is expected to boost investor confidence and enhance shareholder value.
- Medical Device Investment: Boston Scientific's shares rose over 3% as it announced a $2 billion accelerated stock repurchase plan and a $1.5 billion investment in MiRus, allowing it to re-enter the transcatheter aortic valve replacement market, demonstrating strategic expansion in the medical field.
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- F5 Rating Upgrade: Evercore ISI upgraded F5 from In Line to Outperform, raising the price target to $475, indicating a potential 31% upside, which highlights the company's positioning as a high-single-digit revenue and low-double-digit EPS compounder.
- VF Corp Double Upgrade: Williams Trading upgraded VF Corp from Sell to Buy, increasing the price target from $14 to $19, reflecting a positive momentum in Vans, particularly driven by the LX Old Skool Pearlized Pack, suggesting strong investor interest.
- Viking Holdings Upgrade: Wells Fargo upgraded Viking Holdings from Equal Weight to Overweight, raising the price target from $79 to $109, emphasizing that despite the Iran conflict, the fundamentals of the cruise company's core business continue to improve and accelerate.
- Arm's Strong Performance: Bernstein initiated coverage on Arm with an Outperform rating, noting that the business relies on three revenue streams, indicating a robust economic model that scales with customer volume and silicon complexity.
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