Oil Prices Surge Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 02 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CVX?
Source: Benzinga
- Oil Price Surge: Brent crude prices soared approximately 8% to about $78.70 per barrel on Monday, driven by heightened concerns over potential supply disruptions due to U.S.-Iran hostilities.
- Market Reaction: Following the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes, traders rushed to gain energy exposure, resulting in significant pre-market gains for related ETFs, highlighting the market's sensitivity to energy price fluctuations.
- Strait of Hormuz Risks: The potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, responsible for over 27% of global crude oil shipments, has raised alarm among retail traders, further exacerbating market uncertainty amid escalating tensions.
- Military Action Outlook: President Trump indicated that the current military operations against Iran could last four to five weeks, intensifying market expectations for future oil price volatility and prompting investors to reassess their energy asset allocations.
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Analyst Views on CVX
Wall Street analysts forecast CVX stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 183.990
Low
158.00
Averages
176.95
High
206.00
Current: 183.990
Low
158.00
Averages
176.95
High
206.00
About CVX
Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company. The Company produces crude oil and natural gas; manufactures transportation fuels, lubricants, petrochemicals and additives; and develops technologies that enhance its business and industry. The Company’s segments include Upstream and Downstream. Upstream operations consist primarily of exploring for, developing, producing and transporting crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation and regasification associated with LNG; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage and marketing of natural gas; carbon capture and storage; and a gas-to-liquids plant. Downstream operations consist primarily of the refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufacturing and marketing of renewable fuels, and transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment and rail car.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Dividend Appeal: Chevron's 3.8% dividend yield significantly surpasses the S&P 500's 1.1%, making it an attractive long-term hold for income-seeking investors, especially in a volatile market.
- Financial Strength: With a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.25, Chevron demonstrates robust financial flexibility, allowing it to sustain operations and dividends during periods of low oil prices, which is crucial in the historically volatile energy sector.
- Diversification Strategy: By integrating upstream, downstream, and midstream assets, Chevron not only capitalizes on rising oil prices but also mitigates losses during downturns, ensuring stability throughout the energy cycle.
- Market Outlook: Despite high current oil prices, Chevron's business model positions it competitively for future market fluctuations, attracting long-term investors to its potential growth opportunities.
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- Airlines Decline: Airlines such as American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and United Airlines saw their stocks drop over 2% as investors worry that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions will elevate energy prices, leading to reduced consumer travel.
- Tech Stocks Surge: Shares of Marvell Technology and Broadcom jumped more than 7% following reports of talks with Google to develop new AI chips, although Broadcom's stock fell nearly 1.5% on the news.
- TopBuild Acquisition: TopBuild's stock surged over 17% after QXO announced its acquisition for $17 billion, which is expected to create a higher-margin business and be immediately accretive to earnings.
- AST SpaceMobile Drop: AST SpaceMobile's shares fell 15% after a satellite was launched into the wrong orbit, although the company expects to recover costs through insurance and plans to conduct monthly orbital launches starting in 2026.
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- Chevron Corp Target Price Adjustment: Analyst Raymond James has cut the target price for Chevron Corp from $238 to $225.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects changing market conditions and expectations for the company's performance.
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- Market Reaction: U.S. stock index futures dipped on Monday after last week's record rally on Wall Street, with the Dow futures down 303 points or 0.61%, as dimming prospects of the Iran conflict prompted investors to curb their risk appetite.
- Oil Price Surge: Oil prices jumped 5% on Monday following Iran's reclosure of the Strait of Hormuz, with U.S. energy stocks rising in premarket trading, as Exxon Mobil and Chevron gained 2% and 1.9% respectively, indicating market concerns over supply disruptions.
- Volatility Index Rise: The CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX) rebounded after falling for eight consecutive sessions, last up 2.25 points to 19.73, marking a one-week high, reflecting increased market anxiety about future uncertainties.
- Earnings Focus: Investors are keenly awaiting upcoming earnings reports from defense giants like Lockheed Martin and RTX, as well as tech stocks such as Tesla, to assess the impact of the Iran conflict on corporate results and the broader economy.
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Stock Performance: S&P 500 is up by 1%, indicating a positive trend in the market.
Company Highlights: Halliburton's stock has climbed by 1.3%, reflecting strong performance in the energy sector.
Market Trends: APA Corporation's stock has increased by 3.4%, suggesting growth in the oil and gas industry.
Overall Market Sentiment: The upward movement in these stocks points to a generally optimistic outlook among investors.
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Diamondback Energy and Devon Energy Performance: Both Diamondback Energy and Devon Energy have reported a 2.6% increase in their stock prices.
Occidental Petroleum Growth: Occidental Petroleum has seen a 2.5% rise in its stock value, indicating positive market performance.
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