Notable Monday Option Activity: MDXG, GRPN, GTES
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 28 2025
0mins
Should l Buy GRPN?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Groupon Inc Options Trading: Groupon Inc (GRPN) experienced a significant options trading volume of 5,225 contracts, with notable activity in the $40 strike call option expiring January 15, 2027, which saw 1,041 contracts traded.
Gates Industrial Corp Options Trading: Gates Industrial Corp PLC (GTES) had an options trading volume of 8,335 contracts, highlighted by the $26 strike call option expiring September 19, 2025, where 4,204 contracts were traded.
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Analyst Views on GRPN
Wall Street analysts forecast GRPN stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.580
Low
17.00
Averages
35.33
High
47.00
Current: 11.580
Low
17.00
Averages
35.33
High
47.00
About GRPN
Groupon, Inc. is a scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The Company’s marketplace is accessible through its mobile applications and its websites, which are primarily localized groupon.com sites in 13 countries. It has two segments, North America and International, and in three categories: Local, Goods and Travel. The Local category includes services from local and national merchants, and other local and national merchants, including things to do, beauty and wellness and dining, as well as other services. The Goods category includes merchandise across multiple product lines, such as electronics, sporting goods, jewelry, toys, household items and apparel. The Travel category features travel experiences at both discounted and market rates, including hotels, airfare and package deals covering both domestic and international travel. The customer can contact the merchant directly to make a travel reservation after purchasing a travel voucher from the Company.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Net Income Recovery: Groupon's net income from continuing operations reached $8.1 million in Q4 2025, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $50.1 million in the same quarter last year, indicating a notable improvement in financial health despite overall performance falling short of market expectations.
- Active Customer Base: As of December 31, 2025, Groupon reported 16.2 million active customers, demonstrating stability in its customer base, although the overall market environment remains challenging.
- Revenue and Billing Performance: The company generated $132.7 million in revenue for Q4 2025, a 2% increase year-over-year, yet it missed analyst expectations of $136.7 million, leading to an 11% drop in share price during after-hours trading, reflecting market concerns about future growth.
- International Market Dynamics: International gross billings totaled $122.7 million in Q4 2025, down 1% year-over-year; however, excluding Giftcloud and Italy, international local billings increased by 16%, indicating potential in specific markets, though overall performance still requires improvement to support long-term growth.
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- Financial Performance Review: Groupon reported a 7% increase in global billings for 2025, reaching approximately $1.67 billion, with active customers rising to 16.2 million, marking the first return to both billings and revenue growth in a decade, despite Q4 results falling short of expectations.
- Strategic Transformation Plan: CEO Senkypl emphasized a shift towards an AI-native operating model as the top priority for 2026, alongside the establishment of a dedicated Artificial Intelligence Committee, which is expected to drive future business innovation and enhance market competitiveness.
- Growth Outlook Guidance: The company provided guidance for 2026, projecting 3% to 5% growth in billings and revenue, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $70 million and $75 million, although facing challenges from enterprise channel deceleration and marketing channel underperformance.
- Operational Efficiency Improvement: The new platform has achieved a 50% migration rate for iOS users, with full migration expected by the end of Q1, and early results indicate enhanced monetization per user, reflecting confidence in future growth.
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- Earnings Beat: Groupon reported a Q4 earnings per share of $0.17, exceeding analyst expectations by $0.03, indicating some improvement in profitability despite overall revenue falling short of market forecasts.
- Revenue Miss: The company posted revenue of $132.7 million, a 1.8% year-over-year increase, but missed consensus estimates by $3.87 million, which could undermine investor confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Decline in Active Customers: As of December 31, 2025, Groupon had 16.2 million active customers, down 1% sequentially and 5% year-over-year, highlighting potential risks associated with customer attrition.
- Strong Cash Position: Groupon ended the quarter with $296.1 million in cash, with management emphasizing a continued focus on growth in the local experiences marketplace, a strategy that may support the company's long-term expansion efforts.
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- Groupon's Stock Performance: Groupon shares increased by 6% following the release of their fourth-quarter results.
- Impact of Q4 Results: The positive stock movement indicates investor confidence in the company's financial performance during the fourth quarter.
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- Rating Upgrade: Groupon's quant rating indicates a positive market sentiment regarding its billings growth recovery, with analysts suggesting the company is at a pivotal inflection point that could attract more investor interest.
- Market Potential: As billings growth rebounds, Groupon is poised to achieve revenue growth in the coming quarters, which will enhance its position in a competitive market and potentially improve overall financial performance.
- Investor Confidence: The analysts' rating upgrade reflects confidence in Groupon's future performance, especially as consumer spending gradually recovers in the current economic environment, which may drive a rebound in the company's results.
- Strategic Adjustments: Groupon is adjusting its market strategy to better align with changing consumer demands, and this flexibility will help the company achieve sustainable growth in the future.
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- Earnings Beat: Groupon reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.17, exceeding expectations by $0.03, indicating a solid performance in profitability amidst challenging market conditions.
- Revenue Growth: The company generated $132.7 million in revenue, reflecting a 1.8% year-over-year increase, although it fell short of the anticipated $136.6 million, highlighting competitive pressures impacting sales.
- Analyst Rating Upgrade: Analysts have upgraded Groupon's rating, suggesting increased confidence in the company's recovery in billings growth, which may signal potential for future revenue expansion.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Groupon is perceived to be at an inflection point, with improved market sentiment likely to attract more investor interest, potentially driving stock price appreciation.
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