M Stanley Sets Target Price of $45.7 for SD GOLD (01787.HK) Following Earnings Forecast Disappointment
Stock Performance: SD GOLD (01787.HK) experienced a significant drop of 10.619%, with short selling amounting to $168.27 million and a ratio of 9.410%.
Profit Forecast: The company expects its 2025 net profit to be between RMB4.6 billion and RMB4.9 billion, which is below market expectations of approximately RMB6 billion.
Quarterly Earnings: The forecast suggests a net profit of RMB644-944 million for the last quarter, lower than the RMB1.15 billion reported in 3Q25, despite rising gold prices.
Analyst Rating: Morgan Stanley rated SD GOLD as Overweight, citing factors like investment losses in gold futures trading as reasons for the profit decline, and set a target price of $45.7.
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Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks opened higher, with the HSI up 1.3% at 25,740, the HSCEI up 1.1% at 8,676, and the HSTECH up 2% at 5,040.
Oil Price Decline: Oil prices fell significantly, impacting major producers like PETROCHINA and CNOOC, which saw declines of 2.4% and 2.5%, respectively.
Commodities Stocks Rebound: Commodities stocks experienced a rebound, with notable gains from SD GOLD, ZIJIN MINING, JIANGXI COPPER, and MMG, all showing increases between 2.1% and 4.1%.
Financial Sector Gains: The financial sector saw positive movement, with HSBC, HKEX, AIA, and Standard Chartered all reporting increases, particularly HSBC which rose 3.5%.
Market Opening Performance: The HSI opened 334 points higher at 25,583, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also showing gains of 1.1% and 1.6%, respectively.
Commodity Stocks Movement: Commodity stocks like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING saw slight declines, while ZIJIN MINING and CHINAHONGQIAO experienced notable increases of 2.4% and 4.1%.
Tech Sector Trends: Major tech stocks such as TENCENT and KUAISHOU-W showed modest gains, while BABA-W and NTES-S experienced slight declines.
Carmakers' Performance: Carmakers like NIO-SW and GEELY AUTO opened significantly higher, with NIO-SW rising by 5.8%, while BYD COMPANY and XIAOMI-W also saw positive movement.
Market Performance: The HSI closed down 518 points (2%) at 25,249, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines, totaling a market turnover of $364.304 billion.
Financial Sector Decline: Major financial stocks like HSBC and AIA saw significant losses, with HSBC down 3.7% and AIA down 4.7%, amidst high short selling activity.
Commodities Stocks Drop: Commodities stocks generally fell, with companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING losing between 2.8% and 3.3%, while MMG reported strong profits but still saw a 4.3% drop in share price.
Gainers Amidst Losses: Despite the overall market downturn, CHINAHONGQIAO and CHALCO gained 6% and 5.4% respectively, attributed to tightened aluminum supply following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Market Opening: Hong Kong stocks opened lower, with the HSI down 1.2% at 25,469, the HSCEI down 1.1% at 8,516, and the HSTECH down 1.2% at 4,816.
Commodity Prices Impact: Declines in gold and silver prices led to lower openings for commodities stocks, with significant drops in companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING.
Company Performance: MMG reported a significant increase in annual net profit but saw its stock price fall by 4%, while PACIFIC BASIN's net profit fell 56%, causing its stock to drop 2%.
Mixed Results: TECHTRONIC IND announced a record high net profit but experienced a 4.9% decline in stock price, while SINO BIOPHARM's subsidiary secured a licensing agreement but also saw a slight decrease in share price.
Market Opening Trends: The HSI opened 1.2% lower at 26,305, with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while energy stocks like SINOPEC and PETROCHINA saw gains due to rising oil prices.
Loan Prime Rate Stability: China's 1Y Loan Prime Rate remains unchanged at 3%, aligning with forecasts, indicating stability in the financial sector.
Shipping and Gold Stocks Performance: Shipping stocks advanced at the open, with OOIL and COSCO SHIP HOLD rising, while gold stocks rallied due to increasing gold prices, with notable gains for SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING.
Tech and Automotive Sector Movements: Tech stocks like TENCENT and JD-SW showed slight increases, while major players like BABA-W and NIO-SW experienced declines, reflecting mixed performance across the sector.

Market Performance: The HSI rose 605 points (2.3%) to 27,019, with significant gains in the HSCEI and HSTECH, reflecting a total half-day turnover of HKD106.45 billion.
Top Gainers: Notable stock increases included TECHTRONIC IND (+3.8%), SHENZHOU INTL (+4.1%), and various mobile component and pharma stocks, with Q TECH leading at +6.3%.
Commodity Stocks Surge: A decline in the USD led to substantial gains in commodity stocks, with SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING both rising over 5%, alongside other mining companies.
Tech Sector Highlights: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and MEITUAN-W saw increases of 3.2% and 6.9%, respectively, while AI model stocks faced declines, particularly KNOWLEDGE ATLAS, which dropped over 21%.









