M Stanley Sets Target Price of $45.7 for SD GOLD (01787.HK) Following Earnings Forecast Disappointment
Stock Performance: SD GOLD (01787.HK) experienced a significant drop of 10.619%, with short selling amounting to $168.27 million and a ratio of 9.410%.
Profit Forecast: The company expects its 2025 net profit to be between RMB4.6 billion and RMB4.9 billion, which is below market expectations of approximately RMB6 billion.
Quarterly Earnings: The forecast suggests a net profit of RMB644-944 million for the last quarter, lower than the RMB1.15 billion reported in 3Q25, despite rising gold prices.
Analyst Rating: Morgan Stanley rated SD GOLD as Overweight, citing factors like investment losses in gold futures trading as reasons for the profit decline, and set a target price of $45.7.
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Market Performance: The HSI dropped 484 points (1.8%) to 26,547, with significant declines in financial stocks like HSBC and HKEX, while total half-day turnover reached $128.406 billion.
Chinese Inflation: China's inflation rate for January was reported at 0.2%, lower than the previous 0.8% and below the forecast of 0.4%.
Gold Prices Decline: Gold prices fell below $5,000 per ounce, negatively impacting several gold-related stocks, which saw declines ranging from 3.6% to 5.2%.
AI Stocks Surge: AI-related stocks experienced significant gains, with MINIMAX-WP rising 9.4% and KNOWLEDGE ATLAS surging 11.9% following the launch of new programming models.

Market Performance: The HSI rose by 83 points (0.3%) to 27,266, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also showing gains, closing at 9,268 and 5,499 respectively, and total market turnover reaching HKD217.218 billion.
Stock Highlights: SENSETIME-W and PONY-W saw increases of 2.9% and 2.6%, while HESAI-W surged by 7.9%. Conversely, YOFC dropped by 5.7% after being added to the MSCI China Index.
Tech Sector Movements: SMIC fell by 2.2% despite a significant YoY profit increase, while other tech stocks like TENCENT and BABA-W experienced slight declines, whereas KINGSOFT CLOUD and KINGDEE INT'L saw notable gains.
Auto and Gold Stocks: Auto stocks led the market with XIAOMI-W and BYD COMPANY rising significantly, aided by new EU tariff exemptions for Chinese electric vehicles. Gold stocks also performed well, with several companies experiencing gains of 2.8% to over 9%.

Market Performance: The HSI opened 1.6% higher at 26,982, with significant gains in the HSCEI and HSTECH, reflecting a positive trend in the Hong Kong stock market.
Tech Sector Highlights: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and JD-SW saw increases, while KUAISHOU-W experienced a decline; overall, tech stocks showed a mixed performance with varying short selling ratios.
Automotive and Commodity Stocks: BYD COMPANY and other automotive stocks like NIO-SW and XPENG-W reported gains, alongside a rebound in commodity prices benefiting gold and mining stocks.
Financial Sector Gains: Financial stocks, including HSBC HOLDINGS and HKEX, opened higher, indicating a positive sentiment in the financial market amidst broader market gains.
Market Overview: The HSI opened lower by 0.1% at 26,797, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines of 0.15% and 0.9%, respectively.
Resource Stocks Performance: Gold and silver stocks saw gains, with CHINAGOLDINTL up 2.8% and JIANGXI COPPER rising 3.0%, while ZIJIN MINING rallied by 2.1%.
Tech Stocks Decline: Major tech companies like TENCENT and BABA-W faced losses of 2.6% and 1.1%, respectively, with significant short selling activity noted across the sector.
Carmakers and Other Stocks: Carmakers BYD and LEAPMOTOR opened lower, while LI AUTO saw a slight increase of 2.2%. CKH HOLDINGS remained flat amid ongoing arbitration actions.

Market Performance: The HSI closed up 59 points (0.2%) at 26,834, while the HSCEI and HSTECH fell by 27 points (0.3%) and 59 points (1.1%) respectively, with a total market turnover of HKD335.152 billion.
Tech Sector Movements: Major tech stocks like TENCENT, BIDU-SW, and BABA-W experienced declines, with TENCENT dropping 2.9% and BIDU-SW falling 3.6%, while NTES-S saw a slight increase of 0.3%.
Commodity and Bank Stocks: Commodity prices rose, benefiting stocks like ZIJIN GOLD INTL, which surged 7.8%, and bank stocks also performed well, with HSBC HOLDINGS increasing by 3.1%.
Short Selling Trends: Significant short selling activity was noted across various sectors, with TENCENT and BIDU-SW having high short selling ratios of 10.084% and 36.085% respectively, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.

Market Opening Performance: The HSI opened 220 points higher at 26,995, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also showing gains of 0.6% and 0.7%, respectively.
Commodity and Mining Stocks: Mining stocks like CHINAGOLDINTL and ZIJIN MINING saw significant increases, with short selling ratios indicating active trading, while other commodities also trended upward.
Financial Sector Highlights: HSBC HOLDINGS rose 3% following positive forecasts from BNP Paribas, while AIA and HKEX experienced modest gains, reflecting a stable financial market.
Tech and Automotive Stocks: Mixed performance in tech stocks, with TENCENT declining slightly, while NTES-S and NEW ORIENTAL-S saw notable increases; automotive stocks like BYD and NIO faced declines amid high short selling ratios.





