Loop Capital: Ollie's Bargain Outlet is a Strong Buy Due to Expansion, Product Offerings, and Seasonal Selections
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 22 2025
0mins
Should l Buy OLLI?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Upgrade to Buy: Loop Capital upgraded Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (OLLI) from Hold to Buy, citing confidence in the company's ability to outperform FY25 comparable sales due to factors like Big Lots' liquidation and increased consumable merchandise.
Management's Data-Driven Approach: The company's management is making more data-driven decisions, enhancing customer experience with strategic product placements and partnerships with major candy manufacturers.
Revised Earnings Estimates: Loop Capital raised its earnings estimates for OLLI, projecting $3.89 per share for FY25 and $4.49 for FY26, along with increased revenue estimates of $2.653B for FY25 and $2.98B for FY26.
Positive Market Reaction: Following the upgrade and revised estimates, shares of Ollie’s Bargain Outlet rose by 3.6% on Monday.
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Analyst Views on OLLI
Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 115.090
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
Current: 115.090
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
About OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory. The Company and its subsidiaries principally buys overproduced, overstocked, and closeout merchandise from manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, brokers, and other retailers. In addition, it augments its name-brand closeout deals with private label products. It offers customers a selection of brand name products, including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics. The Company operates over 575 stores in 31 states. The Company's retail locations are located in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and West Virginia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Investment Strategy Overview: The Liberty All-Star Growth Fund employs an all-cap growth investment style, combining three investment managers with distinct capitalization focuses—small, mid, and large-cap—to ensure portfolio diversity and risk management.
- Monthly Performance Data: As of the end of January, the fund's net asset value (NAV) stood at $5.77, with a market price of $5.25, reflecting a 9.0% discount; however, the monthly performance rebounded by 0.71%, indicating the impact of market fluctuations.
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Geneva Capital Sells Shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet
- Share Sale Details: Geneva Capital Management sold 95,151 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $11.47 million, demonstrating the firm's adaptability amid market fluctuations.
- Ownership Percentage Change: Following the sale, Geneva's stake in Ollie's decreased from 2.34% to 2.13%, indicating a cautious approach towards the stock while still retaining a degree of investment confidence.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 11, 2026, Ollie's shares were priced at $113.75, reflecting a 10% increase over the year, yet underperforming the S&P 500 by 4.39 percentage points, suggesting mixed market expectations for future growth.
- Expansion Plans: Ollie's opened 86 new stores and acquired Big Lots in fiscal 2025, showcasing its commitment to expansion in an uncertain economic environment, potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
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- Restructuring Agreement: The company has entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement with its secured lenders and commenced voluntary bankruptcy proceedings in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey, aiming to maintain operations and seek a buyer through restructuring.
- Retail Operations Continuity: Despite entering bankruptcy, Eddie Bauer's stores in the U.S. and Canada will remain open for liquidation sales, maximizing asset value while searching for a going-concern buyer, indicating a strategic approach to asset management during financial distress.
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Congress Asset Sells 670,615 Shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet for Estimated $80.86 Million
- Share Sale: Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4 for an estimated $80.86 million, indicating a cautious stance on the company's future growth potential.
- Holding Status: Post-sale, Ollie's represented only 0.68% of Congress's reportable U.S. equity AUM, reflecting a diminished significance in the investment portfolio.
- Financial Performance: Despite the share sale, Ollie's reported a robust 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring strong fundamentals.
- Future Outlook: Ollie's projects fiscal 2025 revenue of $2.65 billion and adjusted EPS between $3.81 and $3.87, indicating continued expansion capability and market potential.
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Congress Asset Management Cuts Ollie's Bargain Outlet Stake by 670,615 Shares Worth $80.86 Million
- Reduction Action: Boston-based Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4, valued at approximately $80.86 million, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Position Change: Post-sale, Congress holds 879,320 shares worth $96.38 million, representing 0.68% of its reportable U.S. equity AUM, indicating a strategic recalibration in its retail sector exposure.
- Performance Metrics: Despite the reduction, Ollie's reported an 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million and a 29.3% rise in adjusted EPS to $0.75 in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring the company's strong fundamentals.
- Market Positioning: Ollie's remains in Congress's portfolio but at a significantly lower percentage compared to mega-cap tech stocks, suggesting that retail is viewed as a tactical growth sleeve rather than a core driver of returns.
See More
Liberty All-Star Growth Fund January 2026 Monthly Update
- Investment Strategy Overview: The Liberty All-Star Growth Fund employs an all-cap growth investment style, combining three investment managers with distinct capitalization focuses—small, mid, and large-cap—to ensure portfolio diversity and risk management.
- Monthly Performance Data: As of the end of January, the fund's net asset value (NAV) stood at $5.77, with a market price of $5.25, reflecting a 9.0% discount; however, the monthly performance rebounded by 0.71%, indicating the impact of market fluctuations.
- Portfolio Changes: New holdings include companies like Arista Networks and Expedia, while positions in AMD and Bank of America were liquidated, demonstrating the fund's strategy of dynamically adjusting its portfolio to adapt to market changes.
- Sector Distribution Analysis: The fund's portfolio shows a significant concentration in high-growth sectors, with Information Technology and Industrials comprising 26.7% and 25.4% respectively, indicating a strategic focus on capturing future growth opportunities in these industries.
See More
Geneva Capital Sells Shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet
- Share Sale Details: Geneva Capital Management sold 95,151 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $11.47 million, demonstrating the firm's adaptability amid market fluctuations.
- Ownership Percentage Change: Following the sale, Geneva's stake in Ollie's decreased from 2.34% to 2.13%, indicating a cautious approach towards the stock while still retaining a degree of investment confidence.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 11, 2026, Ollie's shares were priced at $113.75, reflecting a 10% increase over the year, yet underperforming the S&P 500 by 4.39 percentage points, suggesting mixed market expectations for future growth.
- Expansion Plans: Ollie's opened 86 new stores and acquired Big Lots in fiscal 2025, showcasing its commitment to expansion in an uncertain economic environment, potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
See More
Eddie Bauer Files for Voluntary Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection Amid Operational Pressures
- Bankruptcy Filing: Eddie Bauer LLC announced on Monday that it has filed for voluntary Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, primarily due to tariff uncertainty and mounting operational pressures, highlighting the severe financial challenges the company faces.
- Restructuring Agreement: The company has entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement with its secured lenders and commenced voluntary bankruptcy proceedings in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey, aiming to maintain operations and seek a buyer through restructuring.
- Retail Operations Continuity: Despite entering bankruptcy, Eddie Bauer's stores in the U.S. and Canada will remain open for liquidation sales, maximizing asset value while searching for a going-concern buyer, indicating a strategic approach to asset management during financial distress.
- E-commerce Business Stability: Eddie Bauer's e-commerce and wholesale operations, which transitioned to Outdoor 5, LLC in January, remain unaffected by the bankruptcy process, suggesting that the company has managed to stabilize part of its business during this transition.
See More
Trump to Speak at Davos Forum as Rare Earth Stocks Surge
- Rare Earth Mining Surge: In 2026, Critical Metals stock soared by 147%, U.S. Antimony rose by 85%, Energy Fuels increased by 62%, USA Rare Earth climbed by 61%, and MP Materials grew by 35%, indicating strong investment potential and market demand for rare earth resources.
- Johnson & Johnson Earnings Outlook: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) started the year up 5%, with a 12% increase over the last three months and a 33% rise over six months, despite a slight dip on Tuesday, reflecting robust market performance and investor confidence.
- Charles Schwab Earnings Preview: Charles Schwab (SCHW) is set to report earnings on Wednesday, currently just 3% off its all-time high of $104.98 reached on January 16, with a 32% increase over the past 12 months, showcasing sustained growth momentum.
- Consumer Spending Trends Analysis: Despite the consumer discretionary sector's poor performance, JPMorgan analyst Matthew Boss noted robust spending among American consumers, particularly among low and high-income groups, indicating a trend of selective spending that could impact future retail performance.
See More
Congress Asset Sells 670,615 Shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet for Estimated $80.86 Million
- Share Sale: Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4 for an estimated $80.86 million, indicating a cautious stance on the company's future growth potential.
- Holding Status: Post-sale, Ollie's represented only 0.68% of Congress's reportable U.S. equity AUM, reflecting a diminished significance in the investment portfolio.
- Financial Performance: Despite the share sale, Ollie's reported a robust 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring strong fundamentals.
- Future Outlook: Ollie's projects fiscal 2025 revenue of $2.65 billion and adjusted EPS between $3.81 and $3.87, indicating continued expansion capability and market potential.
See More
Congress Asset Management Cuts Ollie's Bargain Outlet Stake by 670,615 Shares Worth $80.86 Million
- Reduction Action: Boston-based Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4, valued at approximately $80.86 million, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Position Change: Post-sale, Congress holds 879,320 shares worth $96.38 million, representing 0.68% of its reportable U.S. equity AUM, indicating a strategic recalibration in its retail sector exposure.
- Performance Metrics: Despite the reduction, Ollie's reported an 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million and a 29.3% rise in adjusted EPS to $0.75 in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring the company's strong fundamentals.
- Market Positioning: Ollie's remains in Congress's portfolio but at a significantly lower percentage compared to mega-cap tech stocks, suggesting that retail is viewed as a tactical growth sleeve rather than a core driver of returns.
See More
