Key Research Findings for Alphabet, IBM, and Merck
Zacks Research Daily Highlights: The report features research on 16 major stocks, including Alphabet, IBM, and Merck, along with micro-cap stocks SandRidge Energy and NeurAxis, emphasizing unique insights into smaller companies.
Alphabet's Performance: Alphabet's shares have outperformed the industry, driven by growth in Google Cloud and advancements in AI, despite ongoing litigation requiring data sharing with rivals.
IBM's Growth Strategy: IBM is focusing on its Watsonx platform and hybrid cloud solutions, but faces challenges from declining consulting sales and macroeconomic pressures.
Merck's Sales Dynamics: Merck's sales are bolstered by its Keytruda drug, despite facing competitive pressures and challenges in the Chinese market, while also pursuing M&A to enhance its pipeline.
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- AI Investment Surge: Alphabet plans to invest between $175 billion and $185 billion in AI by 2026, a significant increase from $91 billion in 2025, demonstrating its commitment to AI and expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Revenue Diversification: While digital ads still account for 73% of revenue, Google Cloud's contribution has risen from 12% to 15%, indicating substantial progress in diversifying revenue sources and enhancing market competitiveness.
- Waymo's Growth Potential: As a leading autonomous driving platform, Waymo has provided 20 million rides to date, and as it expands into new markets, it is expected to become a critical revenue source for Alphabet, further boosting overall profitability.
- Valuation Remains Attractive: Despite recent stock price gains, Alphabet's P/E ratio of 30 closely aligns with the S&P 500 average, suggesting it still holds potential to attract investors and likely achieve market-beating returns over the next five years.
- Stock Price Decline: Amazon's stock has dropped approximately 11% year-to-date, with a current P/E ratio of 28, the lowest in a decade, presenting a buying opportunity for investors at a cheaper valuation, with a potential 39% return expected.
- Analyst Consensus: A significant 92% of Wall Street analysts rate Amazon stock as a buy, with a median price target of $285 per share, indicating strong market confidence in its future growth despite the current price of $205.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Amazon plans to invest $200 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, primarily for AWS and AI infrastructure, which will likely further deplete free cash flow but is deemed essential for maintaining market leadership.
- AWS Growth Potential: While AWS's net sales grew by 20%, it faces competition from Microsoft and Alphabet; however, its backlog of $244 billion, up 40% year-over-year, indicates strong future earnings potential.
- Market Share Growth: Alphabet's Google Gemini has captured 21% of the enterprise large language model market and is poised to surpass ChatGPT's 27% share by 2025, demonstrating its competitive edge and market leadership in the AI sector.
- Strong Financial Performance: In 2025, Alphabet generated $402.8 billion in revenue, a 15% increase year-over-year, with operating income nearing $130 billion and an operating margin of 32%, indicating robust profitability amid ongoing growth.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Alphabet anticipates capital expenditures of $175-$185 billion for 2026, exceeding analyst expectations; however, with $30.7 billion in cash reserves and strong profitability, the company is well-positioned to support its data center expansion.
- Long-Term Debt Financing: Alphabet aims to raise $20 billion through the issuance of 100-year bonds, and despite its long-term debt of $46.5 billion, the company's diversified revenue streams and strong cash flow provide a solid financial foundation for taking on additional debt.
- New Investment Move: Barrier Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing dated February 13, 2026, that it initiated a new position in Compass (NYSE:COMP) by purchasing 952,074 shares valued at $10.06 million, indicating a strong bullish outlook on the company.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This transaction positions Compass as the sixth largest holding for Barrier Capital, representing 7.4% of its reportable assets under management, reflecting confidence in Compass's future growth potential.
- Strong Performance: Compass achieved record revenue of $1.9 billion in Q3 2026, marking a 24% year-over-year growth, and forecasts sales to reach between $1.6 billion and $1.7 billion in Q4, further solidifying its market position.
- Attractive Valuation: With a price-to-sales ratio of 0.9 and a solid balance sheet, Compass is viewed as a good investment opportunity despite not being included in Motley Fool's top stock picks, highlighting the potential for significant returns.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Alphabet's revenue reached $402.8 billion in 2025, marking a 15% increase, indicating a robust financial position supported by diversified revenue streams that can sustain future investments.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $175 billion and $185 billion, exceeding analyst expectations; despite the high costs of building data centers, Alphabet's cash reserves grew by 30% to $30.7 billion, showcasing its financial strength.
- AI Market Share Increase: Google Gemini has captured 21% of the enterprise large language model market and is poised to surpass ChatGPT, reflecting Alphabet's growing competitiveness in the AI sector, which could lead to higher revenue streams.
- Long-term Debt Financing: Alphabet plans to raise $20 billion through the issuance of 100-year bonds; while its long-term debt stands at $46.5 billion, its strong profitability and diversified revenue sources enable effective debt risk management.
- Revenue vs. Market Cap: Quantum Computing Inc. generated only approximately $546,000 in revenue over the past 12 months, while its market capitalization stands at $1.87 billion, indicating a severe disconnect that could undermine investor confidence.
- High R&D Spending: The company spends tens of millions annually on development, and while it has $555 million in cash reserves, the ongoing high expenditures could erode financial stability and impact future growth prospects.
- Equity Dilution Risk: Over the past year, the company issued more than $840 million in additional common stock to fill funding gaps, which raises concerns about significant shareholder dilution and the market's perception of its future financing capabilities.
- Management Trust Issues: The management frequently makes exaggerated claims that lack substantial backing, leading to skepticism about the sustainability of its contracts, primarily consisting of one-off research grants, which further heightens investor concerns about future performance.








