Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Simon Property Stock?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 29 2024
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Company Overview and Performance: Simon Property Group, Inc. is a leading real estate investment trust with a market cap of $59.9 billion, known for its shopping and entertainment destinations. The stock has surged 51% over the past year, driven by strong operational performance, increased dividends, and a robust redevelopment pipeline.
Analyst Ratings and Market Outlook: Analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus on SPG stock, with Scotiabank raising its target price to $185. Despite facing challenges in the broader REIT sector due to inflation concerns, SPG's solid fundamentals suggest potential upside, with a Street-high target price indicating a 19.7% increase from current levels.
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Analyst Views on SPG
Wall Street analysts forecast SPG stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 223.000
Low
181.00
Averages
193.69
High
225.00
Current: 223.000
Low
181.00
Averages
193.69
High
225.00
About SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. The Company owns, develops and manages premier shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destinations, which consist primarily of malls, Premium Outlets, The Mills, and International Properties. It owns approximately 250 plus global properties. Its properties include Apple Blossom Mall, Auburn Mall, Barton Creek Square, Battlefield Mall, Bay Park Square, Brea Mall, Briarwood Mall, Brickell City Centre, Broadway Square, Burlington Mall, Cape Cod Mall, Castleton Square, Cielo Vista Mall, Coconut Point, College Mall, Columbia Center, Copley Place, Coral Square, Cordova Mall, Dadeland Mall, Del Amo Fashion Center, Empire Mall, Firewheel Town Center, Greenwood Park Mall, Haywood Mall, King of Prussia, La Plaza, Lakeline Mall, Lenox Square, Mall of Georgia, Meadowood Mall, Menlo Park Mall, Miami International Mall, North East Mall, Ocean County Mall, Pheasant Lane Mall, and Phillips Place.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: Simon Real Estate Trust will release its financial and operational results for Q2 ending June 30, 2026, after market close on August 10, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Conference Call Timing: The quarterly earnings conference call is scheduled for August 10, 2026, from 5:00 p.m. to 6:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time, providing a live audio webcast to enhance investor engagement.
- Replay Availability: An audio replay of the conference call will be accessible from approximately 9:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on August 10 until 11:00 p.m. on August 17, 2026, ensuring that interested investors can obtain key information if they miss the live event.
- Company Overview: Simon Real Estate Trust is a real estate investment trust that owns premier shopping, dining, and entertainment destinations across North America, Europe, and Asia, and as an S&P 100 company, its properties serve as community gathering places for millions daily, generating billions in annual sales.
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- Strong Stock Performance: Simon Property Group (SPG) traded near $226.70 on Monday, briefly hitting a new 52-week high of $228, with a year-to-date gain of 21.82%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 8.22% return, indicating a robust rebound among large-cap REITs.
- Outstanding Financial Results: The company reported Q1 FFO of $3.17 per share, beating estimates by $0.14, with revenue jumping 19.7% year-to-date to $1.76 billion, exceeding expectations by $250 million, reflecting strong competitive positioning and profitability in the market.
- Active Leasing Activity: CEO David Simon noted that the company signed over 1,100 leases covering 4.7 million square feet during the quarter, with around 25% from new tenants, showcasing a recovery in market demand and the potential for company expansion.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: CFO Brian McDade raised the 2026 real estate FFO guidance to $13.10-$13.25 per share, although interest costs are expected to create a headwind of about $0.25 per share; overall analyst sentiment remains positive, maintaining a Buy rating.
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- Rating Upgrade: Simon Property Group (SPG) has received an overweight rating, reflecting analysts' optimistic expectations for its future performance, which is likely to attract more investor attention.
- Price Target Set: The average price target set by analysts is $218.47, indicating the potential upside for the company's stock, which may drive the stock price closer to this target.
- Market Reaction: Rating upgrades typically elicit positive responses from investors, potentially leading to short-term stock price increases, thereby enhancing the company's competitiveness in the real estate market.
- Investor Confidence: The optimistic rating from analysts helps bolster market confidence in Simon Property, potentially attracting more capital inflows and further driving the company's business growth.
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- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $210.00 put option is $3.80, and if an investor sells this contract, they commit to buying the stock at $210.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $206.20, which is approximately a 2% discount from the current price of $213.50, making it attractive for those interested in SPG.
- Yield Potential Analysis: Should the put option expire worthless, it would yield a 1.81% return on the cash commitment, or an annualized yield of 10.32%, highlighting the strategy's potential appeal in the current market environment.
- Call Option Returns: The $220.00 call option has a current bid of $3.80, and if an investor buys SPG shares at $213.50 and sells this call, they could achieve a total return of 4.82% if the stock is called away at expiration, showcasing the potential profitability of this strategy.
- Risk-Reward Tradeoff: The $220.00 strike represents about a 3% premium, with a current 61% chance that the call option may expire worthless, allowing investors to retain both their shares and the premium collected, thus enhancing investment flexibility.
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- Stable Investment Choice: Amid market volatility, real estate investment trusts (REITs) have emerged as a preferred choice for investors seeking stability, particularly after President Trump's threats of military action against Iran led to a market downturn, while REITs gained 12% year-to-date.
- Income and Inflation Protection: The FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index yielded 3.62%, and in the current economic climate, Ladenburg Thalmann noted that REITs provide 'turmoil insurance,' offering a compelling combination of current income and inflation protection for investors.
- Investment Opportunities in Quality REITs: Analyst Floris van Dijkum highlighted retail, office, and hotel REITs as sectors to watch, with Simon Property offering a 4.21% dividend yield and raising its full-year funds from operations guidance after exceeding first-quarter expectations.
- Strong Performance of Hotel REITs: Host Hotels & Resorts, focusing on luxury and upscale hotels, recently raised its adjusted FFO guidance to between $2.10 and $2.15 per share, with its stock soaring 36% in 2026, reflecting strong market demand and investor confidence.
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