How GMO’s ETF is beating the S&P 500 this year – without Nvidia
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 06 2024
0mins
Should l Buy LLY?
Source: MarketWatch
- GMO's ETF Performance: GMO's first exchange-traded fund, QLTY, has outperformed the S&P 500 in 2024.
- Stock Performance: The QLTY ETF has gained 10.6% this year, surpassing major U.S. equity indexes like the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average.
- Exclusion of Nvidia Corp: Despite not holding Nvidia Corp stock, the QLTY ETF has shown strong performance.
- Market Comparison: The S&P 500 rose by 8.6%, Nasdaq Composite by 8.9%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average by 3.1% during the same period.
- Impressive Growth: The ETF's growth highlights its success in the market compared to traditional indexes.
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Analyst Views on LLY
Wall Street analysts forecast LLY stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 905.030
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
Current: 905.030
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
About LLY
Eli Lilly and Company is a medicine company, which discovers, develops, manufactures, and market products in a single business segment called human pharmaceutical products. The Company manufacture and distribute its products through facilities in the United States, including Puerto Rico, and in Europe and Asia. The Company’s products are sold in approximately 90 countries. Its Cardiometabolic Health products Basaglar; Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, and others; Humulin, Humulin 70/30, and others; Jardiance; Mounjaro; Trulicity; Zepbound, and others. Its oncology products include Cyramza, Erbitux, Tyvyt, Verzenio, Retevmo, Jaypirca, and others. Its immunology products include Ebglyss, Olumiant, Omvoh, and Taltz. Its neuroscience products include Emgality and Kisunla. Its LillyDirect, a direct-to-patient digital health care platform, provides delivery of select Lilly medicines dispensed by third-party pharmacies to patients.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Eli Lilly is set to release its Q1 2026 financial results on April 30, 2026, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Conference Call Details: On the same day, Lilly will conduct a conference call at 10 a.m. Eastern Time to provide detailed insights into its financial performance, aimed at bolstering market confidence.
- Live Webcast Availability: Investors, media, and the general public can access a live webcast of the conference call through a link on Lilly's website, ensuring broad dissemination of information and transparency.
- Replay Feature: Following the call, a replay will be available on the website, further enhancing accessibility to information and aiding investors in understanding the company's financial status.
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- Cardiovascular Event Risk Reduction: In a study involving over 2,700 adults with type 2 diabetes, patients taking Foundayo experienced a 16% lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events compared to those on insulin glargine, indicating Foundayo's significant advantage in cardiovascular safety, which may attract more patients to choose this medication.
- Significant Mortality Risk Reduction: A pre-planned analysis revealed that patients on Foundayo had a 57% lower risk of death from any cause compared to those on insulin glargine, further enhancing Foundayo's appeal as a diabetes treatment and potentially increasing its market acceptance.
- FDA Submission Plans: Based on the trial results, Eli Lilly plans to submit an application for Foundayo's approval to the FDA by the end of Q2, which, if approved, could open new market opportunities for the company in diabetes treatment and strengthen its product portfolio.
- Market Competition Dynamics: Despite the positive clinical results for Foundayo, retail investor sentiment towards Eli Lilly remains bearish, likely due to intense competition in the weight-loss drug market, particularly from Novo Nordisk, which may affect investor confidence in the company's future performance.
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- Acquisition Amount and Market Reaction: Eli Lilly announced the acquisition of Centessa Pharmaceuticals at $38 per share, totaling over $6.3 billion, with a positive market response reflected in a 0.85% stock price increase, indicating investor confidence in the deal.
- Funding Sources and Financial Health: Although specific funding methods were not disclosed, Lilly's $7.2 billion cash reserves and over $42 billion in long-term debt, combined with annual revenues exceeding $65 billion, demonstrate its financial capacity to support the acquisition.
- Drug Development Potential: Centessa's lead drug candidate, cleminorexton, shows promising results in treating sleep disorders and is currently in phase 2a clinical trials, which could provide significant competitive advantages for Lilly if successful.
- Strategic Significance and Future Outlook: This acquisition is part of Lilly's ongoing growth strategy and may drive innovation in the neuroscience field, further solidifying its leadership position in the global pharmaceutical market.
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- PepsiCo's Quarter Performance: PepsiCo achieved its first volume growth in North American food business in two years, with CEO Ramon Laguarta addressing the industry's threat from GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, leading to a 1% rise in shares, demonstrating the company's resilience and adaptability in a competitive consumer goods market.
- TSMC Profit Surge: TSMC reported a 58% year-over-year profit increase, despite facing challenges with shortages of industrial gases; management noted a 'little bit softer' memory pricing, indicating ongoing demand and competitive pressures in advanced chip manufacturing that could impact future profitability.
- J.B. Hunt Transport Services: J.B. Hunt indicated the start of a new cycle with positive demand signals, reporting a first-quarter earnings beat and a 1% premarket share increase, reflecting potential growth opportunities in the transportation sector.
- Analyst Rating Changes: JPMorgan downgraded Corning to hold and cut its price target from $175 to $115, citing the need for greater earnings visibility to support stock upside, indicating a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Clinical Trial Success: Eli Lilly announced that its weight loss pill Foundayo successfully met the primary endpoint in the ACHIEVE-4 Phase 3 trial for type 2 diabetes patients, demonstrating non-inferiority to long-acting insulin glargine, indicating competitive cardiovascular event risk profiles.
- Cardiovascular Event Risk Reduction: In the study, Foundayo showed a 16% lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and a 57% reduction in all-cause mortality compared to glargine, providing strong clinical justification for its market promotion.
- Patient Dropout Concerns: Despite safety and tolerability data aligning with previous studies, nearly 11% of patients dropped out during the 52-week treatment period due to adverse events, which may negatively impact the drug's market acceptance.
- FDA Label Expansion Plans: Lilly intends to seek a label expansion for Foundayo by the end of Q2 under the FDA's National Priority Review Voucher program, reflecting the company's confidence and strategic positioning in the diabetes treatment market.
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- Primary Objective Met: In the ACHIEVE-4 trial, Foundayo demonstrated a 16% lower risk of MACE-4 events and a 23% lower risk of MACE-3 events compared to insulin glargine, indicating its potential cardiovascular safety and comprehensive health benefits for diabetes patients.
- Significant Reduction in Mortality Risk: A pre-planned analysis revealed that Foundayo had a 57% lower risk of all-cause death compared to insulin glargine, providing strong support for its application as a diabetes treatment, with plans to submit to the FDA by the end of Q2.
- Sustained Clinical Efficacy: Over 52 weeks, Foundayo showed significantly greater improvements in A1C and body weight compared to insulin glargine, with an A1C reduction of 1.6% and a weight loss of 8.8%, demonstrating its effectiveness and safety in long-term treatment.
- Extensive Participant Base: The ACHIEVE-4 trial is the largest study of Foundayo in diabetes to date, enrolling over 2,700 participants across 15 countries, enhancing the reliability and applicability of its clinical data.
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