Haitong International Begins Coverage of BABA-W (09988.HK) with an Outperform Rating and $200 Price Target
Research Coverage Initiation: Haitong International has initiated coverage on Alibaba (BABA-W) with an Outperform rating, highlighting its position as a leading global technology and commerce platform across various sectors.
Strategic Realignment: Alibaba is streamlining its organizational structure to focus on four main categories: China E-commerce, International Digital Commerce, Cloud Intelligence, and Others, with expected revenue growth easing from 2024 but potentially reaccelerating in 2025.
Target Price and Market Outlook: The broker set a target price of HKD200 for Alibaba's shares, expressing optimism about the company's entry into an AI-led recovery phase, despite anticipated profitability challenges in 2026.
Profitability Projections: Haitong International forecasts that Alibaba's margins will recover from the second half of 2026, returning to normal levels of approximately 17% NPM and 17% EBITA margin by 2027.
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Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $19.2 billion at midday, accounting for 28.2% of the turnover of eligible securities, an increase from 20.3% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Shares: The top five shares with the highest short selling amounts include HSCEI ETF, TRACKER FUND, CSOP HS TECH, BABA-W, and MEITUAN-W, with short selling ratios ranging from 24.3% to 55.3%.
HSCEI ETF Performance: The HSCEI ETF had the highest short selling amount at $2.4 billion, with a short selling ratio of 47.9%.
CSOP HS TECH Highlights: CSOP HS TECH recorded a short selling turnover of $1.72 billion, leading with the highest short selling ratio of 55.3% among the top five shares.

Profit Warning: MEITUAN-W forecasts a 2025 core local commerce operating loss of RMB6.8-7 billion, which is better than market expectations of RMB7.3 billion and RMB7.9 billion.
Net Loss: The company reported an IFRS net loss of approximately RMB23.3-24.3 billion, slightly exceeding broker forecasts but aligning with market expectations.
Market Challenges: Citi anticipates that MEITUAN-W will face increased competition, particularly from BABA-W and Douyin, which may hinder its recovery.
Rating Adjustment: Citi maintains a Neutral rating on MEITUAN-W while reducing its target price from HKD115 to HKD94.

Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) experienced a decline of 1.287%, with short selling amounting to $1.67 billion and a ratio of 15.431%.
New Model Release: Alibaba is set to open-source its new Qwen3.5 model on Lunar New Year’s Eve, which is expected to represent a significant advancement in its architecture and domestic AI models.

Company Listing: Shanghai Sunmi Technology, a Mainland Chinese BIoT solutions provider, has successfully cleared the listing hearing for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
Product Offerings: The company specializes in smart devices and the BIoTPaaS platform, with significant backing from major shareholders like Ant Group.
Market Position: Sunmi is recognized as the world's largest Android-based BIoT solutions provider, holding over 10% market share and serving more than 70% of the top 50 global food and beverage companies.
Financial Performance: The company reported net profits of RMB160 million, RMB101 million, and RMB181 million for the years 2022 to 2024.
Guangdong Cultural and Tourism Maps: Guangdong Province and BABA-W have launched version 2.0 of their cultural and tourism maps, focusing on creating an intelligent portal for tourism in the region.
Key Innovations: The new version features significant improvements in functional innovation, activity integration, and resource optimization, increasing curated travel routes from 23 to 72.

Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) experienced a decline of 1.673%, with short selling amounting to $1.67 billion and a ratio of 15.431%.
Successful Free Order Event: The Qwen App's 'Spring Festival RMB3 Billion Free Order' event surpassed expectations, achieving over 15 million orders on the first day, significantly exceeding the initial estimate of 1 million.
Investment Impact: Due to the high user participation in the free order event, the company's actual investment exceeded the planned RMB3 billion.
AI Integration Vision: Wu Jia, President of Qwen Consumer Business Group, emphasized that the event was designed to integrate AI into everyday life, marking a significant future trend rather than a competitive tactic.





