Goldman Sachs Optimistic on U.S. Solar Companies 2026 Outlook, Upgrades ENPH Price Target to $45
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 20 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ARRY?
Source: Benzinga
- Positive Market Outlook: Goldman Sachs analyst Brian Lee anticipates a roughly 20% year-over-year growth for the U.S. utility-scale market in 2026, as policy uncertainties fade, leading investors to focus on fundamentals, showcasing steady growth and strong bookings momentum.
- ENPH Price Target Upgrade: Goldman upgraded Enphase Energy from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target from $29 to $45, with expectations of benefiting from stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter demand due to market share gains and year-end activities from cash/loan customers ahead of the 25D tax credit expiration.
- Earnings Forecast Increase: Lee raised EPS estimates for Enphase for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to $2.85, $1.89, and $2.76 respectively, reflecting higher revenue projections of $1.47 billion for 2025, up from $1.45 billion previously, indicating robust growth drivers.
- Other Company Highlights: The analyst also noted Array Technologies, Fluence Energy, and Shoals Technologies, with Fluence expected to generate $404 million in first-quarter revenue and Shoals projected to achieve $146 million in fourth-quarter revenue, both indicating strong market demand.
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Analyst Views on ARRY
Wall Street analysts forecast ARRY stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 6.810
Low
9.00
Averages
10.44
High
15.00
Current: 6.810
Low
9.00
Averages
10.44
High
15.00
About ARRY
Array Technologies, Inc. is a provider of solar tracking technology to utility-scale and distributed generation customers, who construct, develop and operate solar photovoltaic (PV) sites. Its segments include Array Legacy Operations and STI Legacy Operations. Its products are a portfolio of integrated solar tracking systems comprised of software and hardware that include component parts such as steel tubing, steel supports, drivelines, center structures, electric motors, motor controller assemblies, bearing assemblies, gearboxes and electronic controllers, referred to as a single-axis tracker. Its flagship tracker uses a patented design that allows one motor to drive multiple rows of solar panels. Its products and services include Tracker Systems; DuraTrack HZ v3; Array STI H250; Array OmniTrack, and SmarTrack Software. SmarTrack is a range of software and control-based products designed for utility-scale solar sites. It is also a provider of solar racking and structural solutions.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Oversold Signal: Array Technologies (Ticker: ARRY) hit an RSI of 29.4 during Friday's trading, indicating an oversold condition as shares dipped to $6.63, suggesting that recent heavy selling may be nearing exhaustion and providing potential buying opportunities for bullish investors.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF's current RSI of 41.2, ARRY's oversold status may attract investor attention, particularly given the overall strong market performance, highlighting its relative value appeal.
- Historical Performance Analysis: Over the past 52 weeks, ARRY's stock has seen a low of $3.76 and a high of $12.23, with the latest trade at $6.81, indicating that the current price is close to its low point, potentially offering investors a lower entry cost.
- Investor Sentiment: With the emergence of the oversold signal, investors may reassess their holding strategies, especially amid increasing market volatility, seeking suitable buying opportunities to achieve potential capital appreciation.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Array Technologies reported a 40% increase in full-year revenue to $1.28 billion and $226 million in Q4, demonstrating a strong return on investments in product innovation and technical sales.
- Record Order Book: The company achieved a record order book of $2.2 billion with a 35% annual growth rate, indicating its strengthening leadership in utility-scale solar tracking technology.
- Margin Compression: Despite substantial revenue growth, gross margin decreased from 32.5% in 2024 to 23.2%, reflecting management's potential prioritization of backlog growth over profitability.
- Strategic Transformation Plans: The company aims to launch multiple new products by 2026 while focusing on elevating international business and a customer-first culture, indicating a strategic positioning for future market competitiveness.
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Stock Performance: Forgent Power Solutions shares rose nearly 6% on Monday, reflecting positive market sentiment.
Analyst Coverage: Four Wall Street firms initiated coverage with bullish ratings, contributing to the stock's upward trend.
IPO Gains: The stock has increased over 30% since its initial public offering price of $27.
Current Trading Price: Forgent Power Solutions is currently trading around $35.
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- Dow Jones Decline: On Friday, the Dow Jones index fell over 500 points during the session, reflecting investor concerns over the latest inflation data, which may lead to subdued market sentiment and impact short-term investment decisions.
- Nasdaq Weakness: In February, the Nasdaq dropped more than 3%, marking its weakest monthly performance since last March, indicating vulnerability in tech stocks and a reassessment of high valuations in the market.
- S&P 500 Slight Decline: The S&P 500 fell nearly 1% last month, while the Dow rose about 0.2%, suggesting a divergence in performance across different sectors, which could influence portfolio allocation strategies.
- Analyst Rating Discrepancies: Despite Wall Street analysts providing new stock picks daily, the wide variance in analyst ratings and price targets leaves investors confused about which analyst's opinion to trust, potentially affecting the effectiveness of investment decisions.
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- Earnings Decline: Three solar stocks dropped over 30% after disappointing earnings reports, with a fourth stock falling 14%, indicating financial struggles in the industry.
- Industry Challenges: The solar sector is facing significant challenges, including tariff impacts on profit margins, unfavorable federal energy policies, and weaker-than-expected demand.
- Lack of Solutions: There are no straightforward or immediate solutions to address the financial and operational issues currently affecting the solar industry.
- Market Sentiment: The sharp declines in stock prices reflect growing concerns among investors regarding the future viability and profitability of solar companies.
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- Weak Earnings Guidance: Array Technologies projects FY 2026 adjusted EPS between $0.65 and $0.75, significantly below the $0.88 FactSet consensus, indicating potential challenges in future profitability that may undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue and EBITDA Performance: The company anticipates full-year revenues of $1.4B to $1.5B, aligning with the $1.45B consensus, yet adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $200M to $230M, falling short of the $256.4M consensus, reflecting declining profitability.
- Severe Market Reaction: Following the report, Array Technologies' shares plummeted 35.2% in Thursday's trading to three-month lows, indicating strong investor concerns regarding the company's outlook, which could lead to further market volatility.
- Analyst Downgrade: Deutsche Bank downgraded Array's rating from Buy to Hold, slashing the price target from $11 to $9, citing a weaker-than-expected outlook due to a 45x amortization falloff, although management indicated flat core margins year-over-year.
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