Franco-Nevada Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 10
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 23 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy FNV?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Franco-Nevada is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 10 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.67, reflecting a robust year-over-year growth of 75.8%, which could further solidify its strong position in the mining investment sector.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated Q4 revenue is projected to reach $532.77 million, representing a 66.0% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's ongoing success in resource extraction and management, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Performance Beat Record: Over the past two years, Franco-Nevada has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, enhancing market confidence in its future growth prospects and stability in earnings performance.
- Forecast Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced two upward and one downward revision, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, which may drive stock price increases.
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Analyst Views on FNV
Wall Street analysts forecast FNV stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 263.020
Low
210.00
Averages
236.43
High
270.00
Current: 263.020
Low
210.00
Averages
236.43
High
270.00
About FNV
Franco-Nevada Corporation is a Canada-based gold-focused royalty and streaming company. The Company’s segments include precious metals, other mining and energy. The Company’s portfolio is diversified by commodity, geography and asset. Its assets include Candelaria, Antapaccay, Antamina, Condestable, Tocantinzinho, Cerro Moro, Salares Norte, Cascabel (Alpala), Posse (Mara Rosa), CentroGold (Gurupi), Calcatreu, and San Jorge. Its other mining assets include NuevaUnion, Taca Taca, Caserones, Copper World Project, Ring of Fire, Mt Keith, Crawford, Robinson, EaglePicher, Copper World Project, and Milpillas. Its United States assets include Stillwater, Goldstrike, Gold Quarry, Marigold, Bald Mountain, South Arturo, Mesquite, Castle Mountain, Stibnite Gold, Sterling, Granite Creek (Pinson) and Arthur Gold Project. Its Canadian assets include Detour Lake, Sudbury, Hemlo, Brucejack, Macassa (Kirkland Lake), Dublin Gulch (Eagle), Musselwhite, and Timmins West.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Franco-Nevada is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 10 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.67, reflecting a robust year-over-year growth of 75.8%, which could further solidify its strong position in the mining investment sector.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated Q4 revenue is projected to reach $532.77 million, representing a 66.0% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's ongoing success in resource extraction and management, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Performance Beat Record: Over the past two years, Franco-Nevada has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, enhancing market confidence in its future growth prospects and stability in earnings performance.
- Forecast Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced two upward and one downward revision, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, which may drive stock price increases.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: Franco-Nevada reported a fourth-quarter profit of $367.7 million, translating to earnings of $1.90 per share, which surpassed Wall Street analysts' expectations of $1.68, indicating robust performance in the precious metals streaming and royalty sector.
- Solid Adjusted Earnings: The adjusted earnings per share stood at $1.85 after excluding non-recurring gains, demonstrating the company's sustained profitability in its core operations and further solidifying its market position.
- Impressive Annual Results: For the year, the company reported a profit of $1.11 billion, or $5.76 per share, with total revenue of $1.82 billion, showcasing the company's ongoing growth potential in the precious metals market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The revenue for the fourth quarter reached $597.3 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase and indicating strong demand in the precious metals sector, which is expected to bolster investor confidence moving forward.
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- Revenue Growth: Altius Minerals reported total revenue of CAD 53.7 million for 2025, a decrease from CAD 58.2 million in 2024, yet fourth-quarter revenue surged to CAD 14.1 million from CAD 11.7 million in Q4 2024, demonstrating the company's resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Royalty Revenue Increase: The attributable royalty revenue for 2025 reached CAD 69.9 million (CAD 1.51 per share), up from CAD 64.0 million (CAD 1.37 per share) in 2024, primarily driven by rising potash and base metal prices, reflecting the company's profitability in a recovering resource market.
- Significant Net Earnings Rise: Net earnings for 2025 soared to CAD 299.4 million (CAD 6.45 per share), compared to CAD 101.8 million (CAD 2.16 per share) in 2024, largely due to gains from the sale of the Arthur Gold royalty, showcasing effective asset management.
- Strong Cash Flow: The adjusted operating cash flow for 2025 was CAD 27.5 million (CAD 0.59 per share), an increase from CAD 24.8 million (CAD 0.53 per share) in 2024, reflecting the company's effective strategies in enhancing royalty receipts and interest income.
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- Poor Financial Performance: Methanex reported a loss of $89 million in Q4 2025, translating to a loss of $1.15 per share, which is a significant decline from a profit of $45 million in the same quarter last year, indicating increasing pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Misses Expectations: Although revenues increased by approximately 2% year-over-year to $968.8 million, they fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $994.4 million, reflecting weakened market demand and intensified competition.
- Production and Sales Dynamics: The company produced 2.364 million tons in the quarter, up 26.7% year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of 2.338 million tons, while total sales volume reached 2.689 million tons, a 4.9% increase year-over-year, but still below the expected 2.809 million tons, indicating sluggish sales growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Methanex anticipates production of approximately 9 million tons of methanol and 0.3 million tons of ammonia in 2026, and while it expects slightly higher adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, it remains challenged by market fluctuations and uncertainties.
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- Gold Investment Advantage: Franco-Nevada, as a gold streaming and royalty company, locks in profits by providing upfront cash for the right to purchase precious metals at reduced prices, thereby reducing investment risk and achieving business growth without directly operating mines.
- Market Volatility Impact: While Bitcoin is viewed as a safe-haven investment, its value is heavily influenced by investor emotions, leading to significant price drops during geopolitical turmoil, whereas gold prices remain near historical highs, demonstrating gold's stability.
- Investment Opportunity Exploration: Franco-Nevada continuously seeks new investment opportunities, leveraging its extensive streaming deal portfolio to achieve higher returns when gold prices rise, showcasing its competitive edge in the precious metals market.
- Market Performance Comparison: Compared to Bitcoin, Franco-Nevada offers a lower-risk investment option, especially during periods of heightened economic uncertainty, as investors tend to prefer stable gold assets to protect their wealth.
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- Investment Haven: Amid increasing economic and geopolitical uncertainties, investors are increasingly viewing Franco-Nevada as an alternative to gold investments due to its relatively lower risk and stable profit potential.
- Gold Price Advantage: By utilizing gold streaming and royalty agreements, Franco-Nevada can purchase gold at advantageous prices, effectively locking in profits during price increases, which enhances its competitive position in the precious metals market.
- Market Performance Comparison: While Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are seen as stores of wealth, their high volatility and lack of testing in prolonged bear markets contrast with gold's price stability, which remains near historical highs, indicating greater safety.
- Growth Opportunities: As a major gold streaming company, Franco-Nevada continuously seeks new investment opportunities, allowing it to grow its business without directly operating mines, thereby reducing investment risk and enhancing profitability.
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