Franco-Nevada Acquires $250M Royalty from i-80 Gold
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2026
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Should l Buy FNV?
Source: PRnewswire
- Royalty Acquisition: Franco-Nevada has entered into an agreement to acquire a $250 million net smelter return royalty from i-80 Gold through a wholly-owned U.S. subsidiary, with an initial royalty rate of 1.5% that will increase to 3.0% starting in 2031, supporting i-80 Gold's recapitalization plan and its strategy to become a mid-tier gold producer focused on Nevada.
- Extensive Project Coverage: The royalty applies to all of i-80 Gold's significant assets, including six projects at various stages of development, covering over 250 square kilometers of prospective ground, which is expected to significantly enhance its future gold production capacity.
- Production Capacity Increase: i-80 Gold plans to increase annual production from 150,000 to 200,000 ounces of gold in Phase 1 to over 600,000 ounces by Phase 3 in 2032, which is anticipated to generate substantial revenue growth and enhance market competitiveness.
- Strategic Financial Support: Franco-Nevada intends to finance the transaction using its $900 million in cash and cash equivalents, demonstrating its strong financial position and confidence in gold investments, further solidifying its leadership in the gold royalty and streaming sector.
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Analyst Views on FNV
Wall Street analysts forecast FNV stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 263.020
Low
210.00
Averages
236.43
High
270.00
Current: 263.020
Low
210.00
Averages
236.43
High
270.00
About FNV
Franco-Nevada Corporation is a Canada-based gold-focused royalty and streaming company. The Company’s segments include precious metals, other mining and energy. The Company’s portfolio is diversified by commodity, geography and asset. Its assets include Candelaria, Antapaccay, Antamina, Condestable, Tocantinzinho, Cerro Moro, Salares Norte, Cascabel (Alpala), Posse (Mara Rosa), CentroGold (Gurupi), Calcatreu, and San Jorge. Its other mining assets include NuevaUnion, Taca Taca, Caserones, Copper World Project, Ring of Fire, Mt Keith, Crawford, Robinson, EaglePicher, Copper World Project, and Milpillas. Its United States assets include Stillwater, Goldstrike, Gold Quarry, Marigold, Bald Mountain, South Arturo, Mesquite, Castle Mountain, Stibnite Gold, Sterling, Granite Creek (Pinson) and Arthur Gold Project. Its Canadian assets include Detour Lake, Sudbury, Hemlo, Brucejack, Macassa (Kirkland Lake), Dublin Gulch (Eagle), Musselwhite, and Timmins West.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Franco-Nevada is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 10 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.67, reflecting a robust year-over-year growth of 75.8%, which could further solidify its strong position in the mining investment sector.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated Q4 revenue is projected to reach $532.77 million, representing a 66.0% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's ongoing success in resource extraction and management, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Performance Beat Record: Over the past two years, Franco-Nevada has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, enhancing market confidence in its future growth prospects and stability in earnings performance.
- Forecast Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced two upward and one downward revision, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, which may drive stock price increases.
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- Poor Financial Performance: Methanex reported a loss of $89 million in Q4 2025, translating to a loss of $1.15 per share, which is a significant decline from a profit of $45 million in the same quarter last year, indicating increasing pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Misses Expectations: Although revenues increased by approximately 2% year-over-year to $968.8 million, they fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $994.4 million, reflecting weakened market demand and intensified competition.
- Production and Sales Dynamics: The company produced 2.364 million tons in the quarter, up 26.7% year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of 2.338 million tons, while total sales volume reached 2.689 million tons, a 4.9% increase year-over-year, but still below the expected 2.809 million tons, indicating sluggish sales growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Methanex anticipates production of approximately 9 million tons of methanol and 0.3 million tons of ammonia in 2026, and while it expects slightly higher adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, it remains challenged by market fluctuations and uncertainties.
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- Gold Investment Advantage: Franco-Nevada, as a gold streaming and royalty company, locks in profits by providing upfront cash for the right to purchase precious metals at reduced prices, thereby reducing investment risk and achieving business growth without directly operating mines.
- Market Volatility Impact: While Bitcoin is viewed as a safe-haven investment, its value is heavily influenced by investor emotions, leading to significant price drops during geopolitical turmoil, whereas gold prices remain near historical highs, demonstrating gold's stability.
- Investment Opportunity Exploration: Franco-Nevada continuously seeks new investment opportunities, leveraging its extensive streaming deal portfolio to achieve higher returns when gold prices rise, showcasing its competitive edge in the precious metals market.
- Market Performance Comparison: Compared to Bitcoin, Franco-Nevada offers a lower-risk investment option, especially during periods of heightened economic uncertainty, as investors tend to prefer stable gold assets to protect their wealth.
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- Investment Haven: Amid increasing economic and geopolitical uncertainties, investors are increasingly viewing Franco-Nevada as an alternative to gold investments due to its relatively lower risk and stable profit potential.
- Gold Price Advantage: By utilizing gold streaming and royalty agreements, Franco-Nevada can purchase gold at advantageous prices, effectively locking in profits during price increases, which enhances its competitive position in the precious metals market.
- Market Performance Comparison: While Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are seen as stores of wealth, their high volatility and lack of testing in prolonged bear markets contrast with gold's price stability, which remains near historical highs, indicating greater safety.
- Growth Opportunities: As a major gold streaming company, Franco-Nevada continuously seeks new investment opportunities, allowing it to grow its business without directly operating mines, thereby reducing investment risk and enhancing profitability.
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- Surging Gold Prices: In 2026, gold prices have risen by 18%, currently nearing $5,140 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions, which are expected to continue supporting industry growth and attracting investors seeking safe-haven assets.
- Strong Investment Demand: In 2025, total gold demand reached 5,002 tons, with investment demand hitting 2,175 tons, driving ETF investments up by 801 tons, indicating strong market interest and potential for future growth.
- Cost Management Strategies: Due to labor shortages and rising production costs, industry players are focusing on alternative energy sources and digital innovations to lower unit net cash costs, thereby enhancing operational efficiency and ensuring profit margins.
- Structural Supply Constraints: With declining output from aging mines and limited new discoveries, the industry faces long-term price support, and an anticipated demand-supply imbalance is likely to further drive gold prices upward.
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- Funding Agreement: Franco-Nevada has entered into a A$220M funding agreement with Minerals 260 to accelerate the development of the Bullabulling gold project in Western Australia, marking the company's largest royalty investment in Australia.
- Royalty Acquisition: Under the terms of the deal, Franco-Nevada will acquire a A$170M gross royalty to support the development of Bullabulling and has agreed to subscribe for A$50M of Minerals 260's ordinary shares, further enhancing its investment in the project.
- Royalty Rate Increase: This transaction will raise Franco-Nevada's existing 1% gross royalty on the Bullabulling project to an effective 2.45%, covering a broader land package of mineral resources and areas of interest, significantly strengthening its market position in the region.
- Resource Potential: The Bullabulling project boasts an existing resource of 3M oz in the indicated category (93M metric tons at 1.0 g/t) and 1.5M oz inferred (42M metric tons at 1.1 g/t), highlighting its potential as one of Australia's larger near-term gold projects.
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