Dan Loeb's Amazon Stake Moves: A Look At His Trading Shifts
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2025
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Should l Buy MELI?
Source: Benzinga
Amazon's Earnings and Stake Adjustments: Amazon reported a fourth-quarter net sales of $187.8 billion, exceeding expectations, while Dan Loeb's Third Point LLC has fluctuated its stake in the company over the past two years, currently holding 3.7 million shares.
Analyst Ratings and Stock Performance: Following strong earnings, analysts have raised their price forecasts for Amazon, with shares increasing by 38.02% over the last year, outperforming some indices but underperforming compared to Alibaba's growth.
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Analyst Views on MELI
Wall Street analysts forecast MELI stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1841.140
Low
2500
Averages
2783
High
2950
Current: 1841.140
Low
2500
Averages
2783
High
2950
About MELI
MercadoLibre Inc is a Uruguay-based e-commerce business facilitator of Argentinian origins. The e-commerce products enable retail and wholesale via Internet platforms designed to provide users with a portfolio of services to facilitate commercial transactions. The Company's geographic coverage includes 18 countries of Latin America. The primary offer is an ecosystem of six integrated e-commerce services: the Mercado Libre Marketplace, the Mercado Libre Classifieds service, the Mercado Pago payments solution, the Mercado Credito financial solutions, the Mercado Envios logistic solutions including shipping, the Mercado Ads advertising platform and the Mercado Shops digital storefront solution.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Mercado Libre's Q1 net revenue reached $8.8 billion, marking a 49% year-over-year increase, the fastest growth since Q2 2022, indicating robust performance in both e-commerce and fintech sectors.
- Strong Performance in Brazil: The unique buyer growth in Brazil accelerated to 32% due to the lowered free shipping threshold, with GMV increasing by 38% and sold items surging by 56%, demonstrating a significant enhancement in market penetration in the region.
- Surge in Fintech Users: Mercado Pago's monthly active users hit 83 million, up 29% year-over-year, while assets under management grew by 77% to nearly $20 billion, reflecting deeper user engagement and widespread acceptance of financial services.
- Rapid Advertising Revenue Growth: Advertising revenue grew by 73% year-over-year, making Mercado Ads the fastest-growing advertising platform in the region, with ongoing AI investments driving seller activation of advertising products and increasing ad spend per seller.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: MercadoLibre reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of $8.23, beating expectations by $0.03, indicating a sustained improvement in profitability that is likely to positively impact stock prices.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q1 revenue of $8.85 billion, a 49% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $530 million, reflecting robust performance and increased market share in the Latin American e-commerce sector.
- Surge in Payment Volume: Total payment volume reached $87.2 billion, up 50% year-over-year and 55% on a FX-neutral basis, demonstrating the company's expansion in fintech and increased user engagement.
- Steady Growth in GMV: Gross merchandise volume for Q1 was $19.0 billion, representing a 42% year-over-year increase and a 36% rise on a FX-neutral basis, showcasing strong consumer demand and enhanced competitiveness in the e-commerce space.
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- Earnings Forecast: MercadoLibre is set to announce its Q1 earnings on May 6, with revenue expected to surge by 40% to $8.32 billion, indicating strong performance in both e-commerce and financial services sectors.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts are bullish on MercadoLibre's outlook, citing that its fintech business now accounts for nearly half of its revenue, with expectations of over 25% annual compound earnings growth over the next five years, which will enhance overall profitability.
- Competitive Pressures: Despite the company's solid long-term outlook, JPMorgan warns that heightened competition in Brazil and margin pressures may impact short-term performance, particularly as Shopee continues to sacrifice margins to gain market share.
- Profitability Expectations Adjustment: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions but five downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced five upward revisions, reflecting mixed sentiment among analysts regarding the company's future profitability.
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- Sustained Growth Momentum: MercadoLibre enters 2026 with over 40% year-over-year revenue growth, and the number of active buyers increased by 24% to 83 million, demonstrating its strong appeal and future growth potential in the Latin American market.
- Fintech Expansion: The company has seen assets under management surge from $2 billion to nearly $19 billion over the past three years, with fintech users increasing by 27% year-over-year to almost 78 million, indicating a significant opportunity in serving the unbanked population.
- Widening Competitive Moat: Management is focused on enhancing its competitive advantage through investments in free shipping, automation, and credit card expansion, which has pressured margins from 9% to under 7%, but these moves are seen as foundational for future growth.
- Long-Term Investment Value: The management believes that as these initiatives scale, profitability will improve, further solidifying its market position, making it an ideal choice for patient investors seeking long-term growth.
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- Significant User Growth: MercadoLibre entered 2026 with over 40% year-over-year growth, as unique active buyers increased by 24% to 83 million, highlighting the vast potential in the Latin American market to attract millions lacking basic banking services.
- Fintech Expansion: The company's assets under management surged from $2 billion to nearly $19 billion, with fintech users growing 27% year-over-year to almost 78 million, indicating that its deeper engagement in financial services will enhance customer loyalty and market share.
- Investment and Margin Pressure: Although profit margins have declined from 9% to under 7%, management's strategic investments in free shipping, automation, and credit card services aim to build competitive advantages, which may pressure short-term profits but will strengthen market positioning in the long run.
- Long-Term Growth Strategy: Management emphasizes that these investments will lay the foundation for future growth, and as initiatives scale, profitability is expected to improve, further solidifying relationships with users and showcasing the company's potential in long-term investments.
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- Earnings Beat: Amazon's Q1 revenue increased by 17%, reaching $XXX billion, surpassing market expectations and demonstrating strong performance in both e-commerce and cloud computing, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Cloud Growth: AWS revenue grew by 28%, totaling $37.6 billion, exceeding expectations by nearly $1 billion, indicating sustained leadership and strong demand in the cloud infrastructure market.
- Capital Expenditure Concerns: Despite strong cloud performance, investors remain focused on Amazon's high capital spending plans and their potential returns, which will directly influence the stock's future direction, especially regarding AI investments.
- Sales Growth Outlook: Management anticipates overall net sales growth of 16% to 19% year-over-year in Q2, indicating that the company is likely to maintain strong growth momentum in the coming quarters, enhancing market confidence in its long-term investment value.
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