Dan Ives: Tech Stocks Are Experiencing a '1996 Moment,' Not a Bubble Like in 1999
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 10 2025
0mins
Should l Buy META?
Source: Benzinga
Market Outlook: Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives believes the recent pullback in Big Tech stocks is a buying opportunity, likening the current market conditions to a "1996 Moment" rather than a "1999 Moment" indicative of a dot-com bust.
AI Revolution: Ives emphasizes that the AI revolution is just beginning, with significant growth potential in global AI infrastructure led by major tech companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon, despite ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions.
Investment Strategy: He advises long-term investors to view temporary market sell-offs as prime entry points to buy tech winners, recommending diversified tech ETFs such as QQQ, XLK, and IVES.
Long-Term Perspective: Ives stresses that the AI era is still in its early stages, and investors should focus on the long-term opportunities rather than being swayed by short-term market fluctuations.
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Analyst Views on META
Wall Street analysts forecast META stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
37 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 676.870
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
Current: 676.870
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
About META
Meta Platforms, Inc. is building human connections, powered by artificial intelligence and immersive technologies. The Company's products enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) and mixed reality (MR) headsets, augmented reality (AR), and wearables. It also helps people discover and learn about what is going on in the world around them, enabling people to share their experiences, ideas, photos, videos, and other content with audiences ranging from their closest family members and friends to the public at large. The Company's segments include Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). FoA segment includes Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp and Threads. RL segment includes its virtual, augmented, and mixed reality related consumer hardware, software and content. Its product offerings in VR include its Meta Quest devices, as well as software and content available through the Meta Horizon Store.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Specific Price Adjustments: Effective April 19, the prices for the Meta Quest 3S (128GB) and (256GB) will increase by $50 to $349.99 and $449.99 respectively, while the Meta Quest 3 (256GB) will see a $100 increase to $599.99, with updated pricing also applying to refurbished units.
- Market Commitment: Despite the cost pressures, Meta reassured customers of its commitment to investing in virtual reality and leading the category, indicating a long-term strategic intent in technological innovation.
- Workforce Adjustments: Amid its pivot towards generative artificial intelligence, Meta recently cut 10% of its Reality Labs staff, which may impact its research capabilities and competitive position in the virtual reality market.
See More
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- Goldman’s Stock Picks: Analyst Neil Mehta noted that despite geopolitical and commodity volatility, the energy stocks he recommends are fundamentally supported in the mid-term, particularly with a bullish long-term view that Brent crude will normalize at $75 per barrel.
- Cash Flow Growth Potential: ConocoPhillips is expected to achieve a 20% to 25% compound annual growth rate in free cash flow per share through cost reductions and major projects coming online, with a price target of $144 implying an 18% upside from Thursday's close.
- Electrification Investment Theme: Vistra is performing well under the electrification theme, with attractive fundamentals, a price target of $212 suggesting a 28% upside, and recent agreements with Meta providing additional support for future growth.
See More
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- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell over 13% to a five-week low after the Strait of Hormuz reopened, easing inflation concerns and causing the 10-year Treasury yield to drop by 8 basis points, further supporting the bond market.
- Earnings Growth Expectations: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to increase by 12% year-over-year, although excluding the tech sector, growth is only 3%, indicating resilience in corporate performance amid economic recovery and providing market support.
- Airline Stocks Soar: With reduced fuel costs, Alaska Air Group and United Airlines surged by over 14% and 11%, respectively, demonstrating the positive impact of falling oil prices on the airline industry, which could enhance profitability for related companies.
See More
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- FedEx Restructuring: FedEx is spinning off its less-than-truckload unit, FedEx Freight, expected to complete by June 1, a move that typically creates more shareholder value, with Jim praising CEO Raj Subramaniam for navigating a competitive landscape effectively.
- Removed Stocks: Jim removed Airbnb and Marvell Technology from the watchlist, citing Airbnb's episodic performance as a concern, while Marvell's 57% rally in 2026 indicated a missed buying opportunity.
- Market Monitoring: Jim continues to monitor Sempra and RTX Corporation, with Sempra up over 8% year-to-date, while RTX could benefit from increased defense production, with Jim planning to decide post RTX's first-quarter results on April 21.
See More
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- Close to Market Leader: With a 19% market share in China, Apple is just 1% behind Huawei, positioning the company favorably for future competition and strategic initiatives aimed at reclaiming the top spot.
- Overall Market Decline: While Apple excelled, the overall smartphone shipments in China fell by 4%, indicating a tough market backdrop, and highlighting Apple's ability to grow in a declining sector.
- Executive Transition Impact: The impending retirement of long-time marketing chief Stan Ng after 31 years may influence Apple's branding strategy and market outreach, necessitating close observation of the successor's impact on the company's direction.
See More
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- Investor Confidence Wavers: In 2026, investor confidence in the AI sector has significantly declined as they begin to question the actual returns on massive capital expenditures, particularly with projected spending nearing $700 billion, a 60% increase from 2025, raising concerns about an AI bubble.
- Earnings Growth Dependent on AI: Goldman Sachs analysts estimate that AI infrastructure investments will account for 40% of S&P 500 earnings growth in 2026, indicating that if AI companies fail to deliver satisfactory results in their earnings reports, it could lead to a rapid market repricing, jeopardizing the entire bull market.
- Uneven Market Pressure: Companies like Nebius Group, which has nearly $50 billion in contracted backlog despite less than $1 billion in revenue for 2025, face different pressures compared to enterprise AI software firms that have oversold their product-market fit, with the latter facing greater scrutiny this earnings season.
- Supply Chain Challenges Intensify: The helium supply shock is now fully impacting chip manufacturers, who face genuine production constraints, and the market will closely scrutinize guidance from semiconductor-adjacent companies regarding supply chain issues, especially following the temporary ceasefire in the Iran conflict, which has lifted oil prices and boosted AI stock performance.
See More
