CME Group Achieves Record Average Daily Volume
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CME?
Source: seekingalpha
- Record Trading Volume: CME Group's average daily volume reached a monthly record of 37.6 million contracts in February, up 14% year-over-year, indicating strong market demand recovery, particularly in interest rate and agricultural products.
- Strong Performance in Interest Rates: The monthly average daily volume for interest rate products was 21.3 million contracts, an 11% increase year-over-year, highlighting rising investor focus on interest rate fluctuations and reinforcing CME's leadership in the derivatives market.
- Diverse Product Growth: Equity products saw an average daily volume jump to 8.4 million contracts, a 16% increase, while metals surged 89% to 1.49 million contracts, reflecting strong demand for diversified investment options in the current market.
- Rolling Three-Month Data: For the rolling three-month period from December 2025 to February 2026, the average daily volume was 29.9 million contracts, up from 28.5 million contracts in the previous period, showcasing CME's sustained growth momentum and increased market activity.
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Analyst Views on CME
Wall Street analysts forecast CME stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 296.940
Low
209.00
Averages
285.90
High
320.00
Current: 296.940
Low
209.00
Averages
285.90
High
320.00
About CME
CME Group Inc. provides a derivatives marketplace. The Company enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and over the counter (OTC) markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data. It exchanges offer a range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange (FX), energy, agricultural products and metals. It offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and FX trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates central counterparty clearing provider, CME Clearing. Its products provide a means for hedging, speculation and asset allocation related to the risks associated with, among other things, interest rate sensitive instruments, and changes in the prices of agricultural, energy and metal commodities. It provides clearing and settlement services for a range of exchange-traded futures and options on futures contracts and OTC derivatives.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Policy Impact Warning: The letter highlights instances of building large positions in equities and equity-linked derivatives before significant announcements, such as those related to the Iran war and Trump's tariffs, suggesting that this could create unfair market advantages and erode investor confidence.
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- Political Context: This lawsuit comes amid heightened scrutiny of prediction markets in Congress, where some Democratic lawmakers have introduced legislation to ban betting on topics such as elections, war, and sports, indicating rising regulatory pressure on the industry.
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- Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Hopes for an end to the war have tempered expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes, with the CME Group's FedWatch tool indicating that the central bank is likely to keep rates steady through year-end, reflecting cautious market sentiment regarding future policy.
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- Fed Chair's Remarks: Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that inflation expectations appear well anchored in the short term, although future policy adjustments may be necessary, which has lowered rate hike expectations for this year in the market.
- Geopolitical Impact: The surge in oil prices due to the U.S.-Iran conflict has raised concerns that the Fed might need to increase rates to combat inflation; however, Powell's comments have temporarily eased these tensions in the market.
- Focus on Employment Data: Investors are awaiting upcoming employment reports, including the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday and the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, which will provide insights into the economic impact of the ongoing conflict.
See More
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- Impact of Surging Oil Prices: Global Brent crude prices have surged above $115 per barrel due to the ongoing Iran war, exacerbating inflation concerns and prompting investors to question whether the Fed might tighten monetary policy again despite signs of slowing growth.
- Historical Lessons: Goldman Sachs highlights the cautionary tale of the 1990 oil shock, where markets initially anticipated a hawkish Fed response but ultimately saw rate cuts as economic conditions worsened, suggesting that current market pricing may be misaligned with historical precedents.
- Political Factors at Play: President Trump indicated that an end to the conflict with Iran may be near, although he warned that if a peace deal is not reached soon, the U.S. would attack key Iranian energy infrastructure, which could further influence oil price movements.
See More
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- Linde's Consistent Growth: Linde's shares increased by 4.0% over the past year, outperforming the Chemical Specialty industry at 0.8%, supported by a stable project pipeline and strong capital discipline, yet a weak outlook for Europe and falling helium prices could pressure future growth.
- Arista's Resilient Performance: Arista's shares have outperformed the Internet Software industry over the past six months, despite intense competition in cloud networking, with innovative products and steady customer additions driving revenue growth, though rising costs and supply chain constraints pose risks.
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