Cavco Industries Reports Q3 Earnings Miss
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 29 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CVCO?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Miss: Cavco Industries reported a GAAP EPS of $5.58 for Q3, missing expectations by $0.68, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth Challenges: The company's revenue of $581 million, while up 11.3% year-over-year, fell short of market expectations by $12.37 million, reflecting challenges from intensified market competition and demand fluctuations.
- Acquisition and Buyback Strategy: Cavco's acquisition of American Homestar and stock buyback initiatives aim to strengthen market position and shareholder value, suggesting that despite short-term financial setbacks, long-term strategies may yield positive outcomes.
- Market Expansion Signals: The company's expansion of its retail footprint post-acquisition indicates confidence in a balanced market, potentially laying the groundwork for future growth, even though current financial metrics did not meet expectations.
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Analyst Views on CVCO
Wall Street analysts forecast CVCO stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 573.750
Low
575.00
Averages
575.00
High
575.00
Current: 573.750
Low
575.00
Averages
575.00
High
575.00
About CVCO
Cavco Industries, Inc. designs and produces factory-built homes primarily distributed through a network of independent and Company-owned retailers, planned community operators and residential developers. Its segments include Factory-built housing and Financial services. The Factory-built housing segment includes wholesale and retail factory-built housing operations. The Financial services segment includes manufactured housing, consumer finance and insurance. The Company also produces park model recreational vehicles (RVs), vacation cabins and factory-built commercial structures. It operates homebuilding production lines in Millersburg and Woodburn, Oregon; Riverside, California; Nampa, Idaho; Glendale, Goodyear and Phoenix, Arizona; Deming, New Mexico; Duncan, Oklahoma; Austin, Fort Worth, Seguin and Waco, Texas; Ojinaga, Mexico (two lines); Montevideo, Minnesota; Dorchester, Wisconsin; Nappanee and Goshen, Indiana; Lafayette, Tennessee, and Douglas and Moultrie.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Cavco Executive Purchase: Cavco Industries CEO William C. Boor purchased 1,000 shares of CVCO at $495 each for a total of $495,000 on Wednesday, with the stock currently up about 7.2%, indicating short-term profit potential from his investment.
- Market Performance Recovery: Cavco Industries saw a 4% increase in stock price on Thursday, reflecting optimistic market sentiment towards the company, likely bolstered by the executive's purchase enhancing investor confidence.
- Standex Executive Transaction: Standex International Director Andy L. Nemeth bought 2,000 shares at $245 each for a total of $490,000 on Wednesday, demonstrating his confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Price Comparison Analysis: Standex International's stock is currently trading at $236.16, which is 3.6% lower than Nemeth's purchase price, providing investors with a more attractive entry point and potentially attracting further interest in the stock.
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- Acquisition Impact: Cavco Industries highlighted in its Q3 report that the acquisition of American Homestar is expected to yield annual synergies exceeding $10 million, with approximately half already realized as of Q4, indicating smooth integration progress and enhancing future profitability.
- Strong Revenue Growth: The company reported net revenue of $581 million for the third quarter, an 11.3% year-over-year increase, with American Homestar contributing $42 million, despite a reduction in base business units sold, reflecting proactive efforts to expand market share.
- Gross Margin Decline: Despite revenue growth, gross margin decreased from 24.9% to 23.4%, primarily due to rising unit costs and retail price compression; management anticipates that operating costs will gradually decline as synergies are realized, improving future profitability.
- Ongoing Stock Buybacks: The company repurchased $44 million worth of stock during the quarter, demonstrating confidence in its own value while providing additional returns to shareholders, further solidifying market trust in Cavco.
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- Price Volatility Analysis: CVCO's 52-week low is $393.53 per share, while the high is $713.005, with the last trade at $507.58, indicating significant price fluctuations over the past year and reflecting varying market expectations for its future performance.
- Market Trend Observation: The current price of $507.58 is below the 52-week high, suggesting that investors may have a cautious outlook on CVCO's short-term prospects, which could impact market confidence and investment appeal.
- Technical Indicator Reference: CVCO's stock price has fallen below the 200-day moving average, potentially signaling further downside risk in the short term, prompting investors to monitor subsequent market dynamics to adjust their investment strategies.
- Investor Sentiment Assessment: Although the current stock price is positioned in the middle of the 52-week range, the market's divided views on CVCO may lead to high volatility in the short term, necessitating careful risk-reward evaluations by investors.
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- Earnings Miss: Cavco Industries reported a GAAP EPS of $5.58 for Q3, missing expectations by $0.68, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth Challenges: The company's revenue of $581 million, while up 11.3% year-over-year, fell short of market expectations by $12.37 million, reflecting challenges from intensified market competition and demand fluctuations.
- Acquisition and Buyback Strategy: Cavco's acquisition of American Homestar and stock buyback initiatives aim to strengthen market position and shareholder value, suggesting that despite short-term financial setbacks, long-term strategies may yield positive outcomes.
- Market Expansion Signals: The company's expansion of its retail footprint post-acquisition indicates confidence in a balanced market, potentially laying the groundwork for future growth, even though current financial metrics did not meet expectations.
See More
- Earnings Announcement: Cavco (CVCO) is set to release its Q3 earnings on January 29 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $6.00, reflecting a 13% year-over-year decline, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q3 stands at $593.37 million, representing a 7.5% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's potential for stable growth in a challenging economic environment.
- Performance Consistency: Over the past year, Cavco has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating financial consistency and market adaptability, which could attract more investor interest.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates saw no upward revisions but one downward adjustment, while revenue estimates experienced two upward revisions, suggesting a growing confidence in Cavco's future performance that may influence stock price movements.
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- Earnings Revision Ratings: Several mid-to-low cap consumer discretionary stocks, including Alliance Entertainment (AENT) and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), have received an A+ earnings revision rating, indicating a significant increase in analysts' confidence regarding their profitability outlook, which may attract more investor interest.
- Market Appeal: The A+ ratings for these stocks reflect optimistic future earnings expectations from analysts, especially as the earnings season kicks off, potentially driving their stock prices higher and increasing market participation.
- Industry Performance: Companies like Century Communities (CCS), Crocs (CROX), and Cavco Industries (CVCO) also received A+ ratings, showcasing strong earnings momentum across the consumer discretionary sector, which may prompt investors to reassess the industry.
- ETF Focus: Consumer discretionary ETFs, such as XLY and VCR, may also gain attention due to the performance of these high-rated stocks, further driving capital inflows into the consumer sector and enhancing market activity.
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