Bank of America Analyst Significantly Lowers Honeywell Stock Forecast: Here's the Reason Behind It
Honeywell Stock Downgrade: Honeywell's stock fell 1.2% after Bank of America analyst Andrew Obin downgraded it from "Buy" to "Sell," significantly lowering the price target from $265 to $205 due to disappointing performance from its spun-off company, Solstice Advanced Materials.
Challenges Post-Separation: The separation of Honeywell's refrigerants and materials business into Solstice has not met investor expectations, with Solstice shares declining from over $50 to $41.58, indicating that the anticipated value creation is not materializing.
Limited Growth Outlook: Obin forecasts limited earnings growth for Honeywell's core business through 2026, which diminishes the appeal of the stock despite its relatively low valuation compared to competitors like GE Aerospace and Rockwell Automation.
Analyst Consensus: Despite the downgrade, the consensus among 13 analysts remains a "Moderate Buy," with eight recommending a Buy and an average 12-month price target of $247.58, suggesting a potential upside of over 28% from the current price.
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- IPO Oversubscription: Quantum computing firm Quantinuum's initial public offering (IPO) is oversubscribed by a double-digit multiple, indicating strong market demand for its 21.05 million shares, with the offering set to occur next month.
- Funding Goals and Valuation: Quantinuum aims to price its shares between $45 and $50, potentially raising $1.05 billion at the upper end, which would value the company at approximately $13 billion, further solidifying its position in the quantum computing sector.
- Financial Performance: In 2025, Quantinuum reported bookings of $79.3 million, with revenue increasing from $23 million in 2024 to $30.9 million, despite a widening net loss of $192.6 million, reflecting ongoing investments in growth and commercialization efforts.
- Government Collaboration: The firm has signed a deal with the U.S. federal government to secure R&D funding aimed at addressing specific technological bottlenecks in the development of fault-tolerant trapped-ion quantum computers, showcasing its strategic focus on innovation and market application.
- Earnings Reports: This week, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Broadcom are set to report earnings, with Palo Alto expected to post $0.80 per share on $2.94 billion in revenue, while CrowdStrike is projected to report $1.07 per share on $1.36 billion, highlighting strong market interest in cybersecurity.
- AI-Driven Market Rebound: As AI technology becomes more prevalent, both Palo Alto and CrowdStrike have seen their stock prices rebound to all-time highs, and despite facing high valuation pressures, market expectations for their future performance remain optimistic, making management's outlook a key focus for investors.
- Tech Conference Highlights: Nvidia, Arm, and Microsoft will discuss AI-related topics at tech conferences this week, with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang scheduled to deliver a keynote on Monday, where he is expected to unveil a new product, potentially personal computers powered by its GPUs, further boosting its market share.
- Labor Market Data: The JOLTS report will be released this week, with expectations of 120,000 new private sector jobs added in May and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%, reflecting economic resilience, and investors will closely monitor these figures for their potential impact on inflation and monetary policy.
- Costco Stock Decline: Costco's shares fell 4.5% on Friday due to weaker-than-expected membership growth in its quarterly report, leading to investor concerns about the company's growth trajectory, with Jim noting management's failure to reassure the market.
- Dell Stock Surge: Dell Technologies' stock surged 30% on Friday, marking its best single-day performance ever, driven by strong demand for AI servers and data center infrastructure, which also bolstered Jim's bullish outlook on Nvidia.
- Cybersecurity Earnings Outlook: CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks are set to report earnings next week, with Jim highlighting that both stocks have rallied significantly during the quarter, although they face challenges heading into earnings, he remains optimistic about their long-term prospects.
- Rapid Fire Recap: At the end of the video, Jim covered stocks like Applied Materials, Honeywell, and FedEx, emphasizing their market performance and showcasing his focus on a diversified investment portfolio.
- Diversification Strategy: Jim Cramer emphasized the need for diversification even as artificial intelligence dominates the market, ensuring long-term stability in investment portfolios to mitigate risks associated with single-theme investments.
- Stock Recommendations: Cramer recommended four stocks for new members to buy, including Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Nvidia, all of which demonstrate strong growth potential, particularly in their AI-related businesses.
- Market Outlook: Despite challenges faced by Meta and Microsoft, Cramer remains cautiously optimistic about their future performance, suggesting that these companies could achieve breakthroughs in the evolving AI landscape.
- Emerging Investment Opportunities: Stocks like Arm Holdings and Broadcom are showing strong performance, particularly in the data center and AI chip sectors, reflecting robust market demand for related technologies, making them worth watching for long-term growth potential.
- IPO Pricing Highlights: Honeywell has priced the IPO for its quantum computing subsidiary, Quantinuum, between $45 and $50 per share, aiming to sell approximately 21.05 million shares, which could yield up to $1.05 billion in gross proceeds, indicating strong market interest in quantum technology.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following Honeywell's disclosure of Quantinuum's financial details, its stock rose by 1.7%, outperforming the S&P 500's 0.6% increase on the same day, reflecting investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Strategic Ownership Advantage: Honeywell will retain over a 49% stake in Quantinuum, a strategy that not only ensures its ongoing influence in the quantum computing sector but also leverages market enthusiasm for quantum companies to enhance its own market position.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Quantum computing is viewed as a key to future powerful computing capabilities and has already received over $2 billion in federal funding, with Quantinuum's IPO providing new investment opportunities that could further drive Honeywell's business growth.
- Honeywell Share Trim: We sold 30 shares of Honeywell at approximately $231.78, reducing its portfolio weighting from 2.5% to 2.3%, aiming to lock in nearly 10% gains, reflecting a cautious approach to market volatility.
- Quantum Investment Dynamics: Honeywell's stake in Quantinuum is seeking to raise $1.05 billion through an upcoming IPO, with an expected valuation of around $12.7 billion, lower than the previous $15 to $20 billion estimates, which may impact Honeywell's future investment returns.
- Market Reaction and Rating Adjustment: Following the Trump administration's announcement of $2 billion in grants to quantum computing firms, Honeywell shares surged, prompting us to downgrade our rating to 2, with plans to reassess our position after the upcoming Honeywell Aerospace and investor days.
- Investment Returns Overview: This sale will realize an average gain of about 33% on stocks purchased in September 2022 and August 2023, indicating that our investment strategy in the quantum computing sector is gradually yielding returns.











