Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Microchip Technology Stock?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 06 2024
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Company Performance: Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) has underperformed the market with a 1.8% stock decline over the past year, while the S&P 500 saw a 32.7% increase; despite a slight earnings beat in Q2 fiscal 2025, analysts expect a significant EPS decline for the current fiscal year.
Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: The consensus rating for MCHP is now a "Strong Buy," with a mean price target of $93.32, indicating a potential upside; however, Susquehanna Community Financial lowered its price target from $105 to $95, citing expected headwinds in the semiconductor sector.
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Analyst Views on MCHP
Wall Street analysts forecast MCHP stock price to fall
18 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 87.590
Low
60.00
Averages
77.47
High
95.00
Current: 87.590
Low
60.00
Averages
77.47
High
95.00
About MCHP
Microchip Technology Incorporated is a provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions. The Company’s semiconductor products segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets mixed-signal microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed-signal, timing, wired and wireless connectivity devices, and memory products. The Company's technology licensing segment includes sales and licensing of the Company's intellectual property. Its products include PIC64 Microprocessors, FPGAs, myMicrochip, MPLAB X IDE, Analog, and Microcontrollers. Its development tools include Atmel START and MPLAB Discover. Its manufacturing operations include wafer fabrication, wafer probe, assembly, and test. The Company’s solutions serve customers across the industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace and defense, communications and computing markets. The Company markets and sells its products worldwide primarily through a network of direct sales personnel and distributors.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.38%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 2.14%, indicating a bearish market sentiment, particularly driven by a selloff in chipmakers.
- Samsung's Earnings Disappointment: Despite a staggering 19-fold profit increase, Samsung Electronics' stock dropped over 8% in South Korea, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations in the semiconductor sector, which could undermine overall market confidence.
- Rising Oil Prices: Following attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, WTI crude oil prices surged over 2%, raising inflation expectations and pushing bond yields higher, with the 10-year T-note yield reaching a 3.5-week high of 4.52%.
- Widening Trade Deficit: The US trade deficit for May expanded to $77.6 billion, the largest in 14 months, which may negatively impact Q2 GDP, adding to market uncertainties.
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- Divergent Market Performance: The S&P 500 Index is down 0.19% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 0.04%, indicating a mixed market performance, particularly under pressure from chipmakers, which could affect investor confidence.
- Samsung's Earnings Miss Expectations: Despite a 19-fold surge in profits, Samsung Electronics' stock fell over 8% in South Korea, reflecting market concerns over high valuations in the semiconductor sector, potentially prompting investors to reassess their holdings in related stocks.
- Rising Crude Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices increased by over 1% following attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, which not only raised inflation expectations but also pushed the 10-year T-note yield to a two-week high of 4.51%, potentially exerting further pressure on the stock market.
- Widening Trade Deficit: The US trade deficit widened to $77.6 billion in May, the largest in 14 months, which could negatively impact Q2 GDP, further exacerbating market uncertainties.
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- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 rose by 0.72%, reaching a 2.5-week high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.29%, setting a new all-time high, reflecting robust confidence in tech stocks and chipmakers.
- Supportive Economic Data: The US June ISM services index stood at 54.0, meeting expectations, with the employment sub-index rising to 51.2, surpassing the anticipated 48.2, indicating ongoing economic expansion that may alleviate Fed rate hike pressures.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in Q2 earnings, close to Q1's 30% surge, primarily driven by strong performance in AI infrastructure stocks, expected to contribute nearly 60% of earnings growth, further boosting market sentiment.
- International Market Fluctuations: While US stocks rose, European markets generally declined, with Eurozone May retail sales increasing by only 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%, highlighting uneven global economic recovery that could impact investor confidence.
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- Chipmaker Rally: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks are leading the market today, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) up over 3%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Western Digital (WDC) rising more than 9%, indicating a resurgence of confidence in tech stocks that could drive overall market gains.
- Service Sector Expansion: The US June ISM services index fell to 54.0, meeting expectations, and although the pace of growth has slowed, the employment sub-index rose to 51.2, surpassing the expected 48.2, suggesting that companies are still hiring amid easing cost pressures, potentially supporting economic growth.
- Strong Q2 Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in Q2 earnings, close to Q1's 30% growth, primarily driven by AI spending, which is expected to account for nearly 60% of S&P 500 earnings-per-share growth, providing an optimistic outlook for investors.
- International Market Volatility: While US markets show positive performance, overseas markets are generally declining, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.43%, reflecting global economic uncertainties that may impact investor sentiment.
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- Buy Rating Maintained: On June 29, Vijay Rakesh of Mizuho Securities reaffirmed a Buy rating for Microchip Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MCHP) with a price target of $112, indicating a potential upside of 31%, which is just below the median analyst expectation of 41.8% on Wall Street.
- Stock Underperformance: Despite a strong earnings report in May that propelled the stock to all-time highs, Microchip's stock has declined over 12% in the last month, reflecting market concerns about its future performance.
- Index Reclassification Impact: Effective June 27, Microchip was reclassified from a value stock to a growth stock across the Russell 1000, 3000, and Midcap indexes, which could attract new funds and enhance liquidity for the stock.
- Inventory and Margin Pressures: While the recent announcement of the TimePictra 12 platform and a US export license shows some positive developments, high inventory levels and margin pressures continue to pose risks to the stock price, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
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- Market Performance: The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.43% and the Nasdaq 100 Index increased by 1.17%, driven by strong performances from chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks, reflecting heightened investor confidence in technology shares.
- Oil Price Impact: WTI crude oil prices fell by 0.5% as Saudi Arabia and the UAE ramped up shipments to near pre-war levels, which eased inflation expectations and led to a 2 basis point drop in the 10-year T-note yield to 4.46%, providing support for the bond market.
- Earnings Outlook: Bloomberg Intelligence forecasts a 23% increase in Q2 earnings, close to Q1's 30% growth, indicating that AI spending will be a major driver, expected to contribute nearly 60% to the S&P 500's earnings-per-share growth.
- International Market Dynamics: European stock markets are generally down, with Eurozone May retail sales rising 0.2% month-over-month, below the expected 0.3%, while German May factory orders increased by 1.9%, exceeding the expected 1.1%, indicating a mixed economic recovery.
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