AMOLED Smartphone Display Shipments Expected to Decline Sharply in 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 20 2026
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Should l Buy TTGT?
Source: Newsfilter
- Shipment Decline Forecast: According to Omdia's latest OLED Display Market Tracker, AMOLED smartphone display shipments are expected to fall to 778 million units in 2026, representing a 7% year-on-year decline, marking the first drop in flexible AMOLED shipments in seven years.
- Increased Cost Pressures: A surge in memory prices since the second half of 2025 has significantly raised component costs for smartphones, putting pressure on Chinese brands that rely on aggressive pricing strategies, making 2026 particularly challenging for them.
- Rising Market Uncertainty: Broader macroeconomic factors, including ongoing geopolitical tensions and global economic pressures, have led to increased energy costs and higher logistics expenses, further driving up costs across the value chain and contributing to overall market uncertainty.
- Apple's Market Opportunity: Despite the challenges facing the overall market, Apple is well-positioned to capture additional market share in 2026 due to its stable semiconductor supply chain and higher product margins, which are expected to support a more aggressive sales strategy as the price gap with competitors narrows.
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Analyst Views on TTGT
Wall Street analysts forecast TTGT stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 5.920
Low
10.00
Averages
11.67
High
15.00
Current: 5.920
Low
10.00
Averages
11.67
High
15.00
About TTGT
TechTarget, Inc., which also refers to itself as Informa TechTarget, is a business-to-business (B2B) growth accelerator that informs, influences and connects the world’s technology buyers and sellers, helping accelerate growth from R&D to return on investment (ROI). It has scale in permissioned B2B first-party data and a unique end-to-end portfolio of data-driven solutions that services the full B2B product lifecycle, from R&D to ROI: from strategy, messaging and content development to in-market activation via brand, demand generation, purchase intent data and sales enablement. In intelligence and advisory, it offers expert analyst, data-driven intelligence products and advisory services to product managers, corporate strategists and the C-suite, challenging market strategies and sharpening product roadmaps. In brand and content, it provides expert editorial, data-driven brand products and content marketing services for brand marketers, product marketers and content marketers.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Shipment Growth: According to Omdia, global smartphone shipments reached 298.5 million units in Q1 2026, reflecting a 1% year-on-year increase, demonstrating market resilience despite macroeconomic pressures and supply chain adaptability.
- Samsung's Leading Position: Samsung retained its position as the world's top vendor with 65.4 million units shipped, an 8% year-on-year growth, driven by strong demand for both its A-series and Galaxy S26 series, indicating a solid foundation in emerging markets.
- Apple's Strong Performance: Apple shipped 60.4 million units, up 10% year-on-year, with the iPhone 17 series being the primary growth driver, particularly excelling in telecom-driven markets like the EU and Japan, showcasing its competitiveness in the premium segment.
- Xiaomi Faces Challenges: Xiaomi's shipments totaled 33.8 million units, marking a 19% decline year-on-year, the steepest drop among the top five vendors, primarily due to its heavy reliance on the sub-$200 market, which has made it vulnerable to rising costs.
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- Automotive Sector Dominance: The research reveals that the automotive sector will be the primary source of cellular IoT data traffic, with traffic projected to rise from 30.7EB to 135.4EB between 2025 and 2035, primarily due to the integration of infotainment systems in newer vehicles and rising consumer adoption of these services.
- Logistics Sector Emergence: The report highlights that transport and logistics are set to become the next major sector for cellular IoT data traffic, while all other sectors combined will contribute less than 29% of total traffic beyond 2025, indicating significant disparities across industries.
- Asia-Pacific Leadership: By 2025, Asia & Oceania are expected to generate 50.6% of global cellular IoT data traffic, as the region has traditionally been an early adopter of new technologies and has a significant number of installed video cameras, which will further drive traffic growth.
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- AI as Growth Driver: AI demand remains the primary growth driver, supporting not only model usage but also broader enterprise AI deployments, alongside rising demand for traditional cloud resources like compute, storage, and databases, indicating a shift in AI's role to a broader infrastructure demand driver.
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- Market Growth Forecast: Omdia projects a 62.7% increase in semiconductor revenue by 2026, driven primarily by rising memory chip prices and robust demand from AI and data center markets, with computing and data storage revenues expected to rise 90% year-over-year to over $700 billion.
- Memory Chip Demand: Demand for DRAM and NAND chips is anticipated to remain elevated, with the DRAM market nearly doubling in value by 2026 and the NAND segment potentially quadrupling from 2025 levels, highlighting the critical role of memory chips in AI servers.
- Supply Chain Challenges: Despite strong demand, conventional memory supplies remain constrained as manufacturers focus on producing higher-margin High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), with significant supply relief unlikely until 2027, impacting overall market dynamics.
- Risk Factors: Omdia notes that risks to the outlook include tariffs, energy costs, geopolitical tensions, and long-term returns on heavy AI infrastructure spending, which could negatively affect growth in the semiconductor industry.
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- Forecast Upgrade: Omdia has raised its semiconductor revenue forecast for 2026 to 62.7%, reflecting unprecedented growth in the DRAM and NAND markets driven by sustained demand and ongoing supply shortages, with the DRAM market expected to nearly double in value and the NAND segment potentially quadrupling.
- Strong Enterprise Demand: In 2026, enterprises will implement a major server refresh cycle coinciding with exceptional hyperscaler capital expenditures, driving strong demand for data center servers and memory-intensive applications, with computing and data storage leading semiconductor revenue growth by 90% year-on-year, exceeding $700 billion.
- Positive Consumer Electronics Outlook: While smartphone unit shipments are expected to remain flat, semiconductor revenues will increase significantly due to higher memory pricing, with multiple flagship launches anticipated, including a new wave of foldables and AI-enabled high-end models, raising overall bill of materials costs.
- AI Demand Surge: The progression of AI applications has exponentially increased demand for memory and processing ICs, and while macroeconomic pressures and supply scaling challenges persist, current semiconductor revenue growth is primarily driven by higher average selling prices rather than unit shipment volumes, indicating unique industry dynamics.
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