AI Could Trigger Economic Recession
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 03 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Surge in Unemployment: According to the analysis by Citrini and Alap Shah, the unemployment rate in the U.S. is projected to rise from the current 4.3% to over 10% by 2028, which will significantly reduce consumer spending and impact economic growth.
- Market Crash Forecast: Citrini predicts that the S&P 500 index will decline by 38% between late 2026 and mid-2028, although the economic data may obscure this recession due to increased productivity, leading to what is termed 'Ghost GDP'.
- Disappearance of White-Collar Jobs: As AI technology advances, many white-collar jobs will be automated, and companies will cut high-paid positions to protect margins, potentially shrinking the consumer market and affecting overall economic health.
- Elimination of Human Inefficiencies: AI agents will remove many inefficiencies in business, leading to the replacement of traditional roles in industries like insurance and real estate, which will disrupt revenue models and employment structures in these sectors.
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Analyst Views on V
Wall Street analysts forecast V stock price to rise
25 Analyst Rating
23 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 298.510
Low
330.00
Averages
406.59
High
450.00
Current: 298.510
Low
330.00
Averages
406.59
High
450.00
About V
Visa Inc. is a global payments technology company. It facilitates global commerce and money movement across more than 200 countries and territories among a global set of consumers, merchants, financial institutions and government entities through technologies. It operates through the Payment Services segment. It provides transaction processing services (primarily authorization, clearing and settlement) to its financial institution and merchant clients through VisaNet, its proprietary advanced transaction processing network. It offers a range of Visa-branded payment products that its clients, including nearly 14,500 financial institutions, use to develop and offer payment solutions or services, including credit, debit, prepaid and cash access programs for individual, business and government account holders. It also provides value-added services to its clients, including issuing solutions, acceptance solutions, risk and identity solutions, open banking solutions and advisory services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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