Bitcoin Price Defies Logic Amid Weaker Dollar in 2025

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Jan 26 2026

BTC-1.828%

SPK-4.981%

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Shift in Market Psychology: Despite a notable decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY), Bitcoin's price remains subdued, indicating a profound shift in investor psychology where fear of risk outweighs the traditional bullish impact of dollar weakness.
Lack of Liquidity and Inflation: The current market is characterized by insufficient liquidity and a lack of high inflation, rendering the weaker dollar unable to drive Bitcoin prices higher, reflecting an increasing risk-off sentiment among investors.
Preference for Safe-Haven Assets: Amid a risk-off climate in global financial markets, investors are favoring traditional safe-haven assets like gold over Bitcoin, highlighting that Bitcoin has not yet universally achieved the status of

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC). As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Strong sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 4 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 4 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	59112.595	62115.297	64977.595	67980.297	70842.595	73845.297	76707.595
Fibonacci	62115.297	64355.727	65739.867	67980.297	70220.727	71604.867	73845.297

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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