Bitcoin Approaches Rare Historical Turning Point, Needs 5% Rally to Reverse Trend
Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
Source: Coinmarketcap
Updated: Jan 11 2026- Market Turning Point: Bitcoin's annual performance is nearing a historical turning point, currently requiring a rally of approximately 4-5% to push the one-year change into positive territory, marking only the second time in Bitcoin's history that this metric could flip green without a deeper bear market drawdown.
- Historical Comparison: The brief negative shift in July 2020 was followed by a rapid rebound, indicating a transition from a low-volatility phase to a strong bull market, and the current market conditions resemble this scenario, potentially signaling the formation of a new trend.
- Investor Sentiment: When the one-year change is negative, it typically indicates that buyers from the past year are underwater, suppressing risk appetite, while a positive shift could improve market sentiment and attract more investors.
- Future Trajectory: The current market is at a critical decision point; if Bitcoin fails to rally, it may lead to prolonged consolidation or further downside, whereas a successful move could initiate a new upward trend, influencing traders' strategies.
About the author
Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.
