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VICI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy VICI Properties Inc (VICI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
29.310
1 Day change
-0.64%
52 Week Range
34.010
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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VICI Properties Inc is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock shows limited short-term upside potential, mixed financial performance, and neutral trading sentiment. While the company has made strategic investments and has a stable dividend yield, the lack of clear growth catalysts and recent analyst downgrades suggest holding off on new investments until more favorable conditions arise.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 36.363, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 29.219), with resistance at R1: 30.414. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish outlook.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options market shows a balanced sentiment with a slight tilt towards bearishness as the put-call volume ratio is 1.0. Implied volatility is relatively high at 23.21, with an IV percentile of 71.31, suggesting potential price swings.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Strategic investments of $2.1 billion in 2025, including long-term agreements with Cain and Eldridge Industries.

  • Entry into the Las Vegas locals market, leveraging favorable demographics and steady demand.

  • Stable dividend yield of 4%, which is attractive for long-term investors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent analyst downgrades and reduced price targets, reflecting concerns over limited external growth and lease uncertainties.

  • Decline in net income (-1.60% YoY) and EPS (-1.72% YoY) in Q4

  • Gross margin dropped by 6.07% YoY, indicating potential cost pressures.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 3.79% YoY to $1.01 billion, but net income dropped by 1.60% YoY to $604.77 million. EPS declined by 1.72% YoY to 0.57, and gross margin fell by 6.07% YoY to 84.1%. While revenue growth is positive, declining profitability metrics raise concerns.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have recently lowered price targets, with Baird reducing it to $34, Deutsche Bank to $32, and Scotiabank to $30. Ratings range from Outperform to Neutral, with concerns over limited growth and lease uncertainties. The consensus sentiment is cautious.

Wall Street analysts forecast VICI stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VICI stock price to rise
7 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 29.500
sliders
Low
30
Averages
33.7
High
38
Current: 29.500
sliders
Low
30
Averages
33.7
High
38
Mizuho
Outperform -> Neutral
downgrade
$30
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
New
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$30
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
New
downgrade
Outperform -> Neutral
Reason
Mizuho downgraded VICI Properties to Neutral from Outperform with an unchanged price target of $30. The firm cites valuation for the downgrade. At the current stock price, VICI offers less relative opportunity for outperformance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Cantor Fitzgerald
Richard Anderson
Overweight
maintain
$33 -> $34
2026-03-09
New
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Richard Anderson
Price Target
$33 -> $34
2026-03-09
New
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Richard Anderson raised the firm's price target on VICI Properties to $34 from $33 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Although investment activity in 2025 remained below historical levels, VICI established several new partnerships, including a $450M mezzanine investment in the One Beverly Hills project with Cain and Eldridge Industries, that could support future growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Lower or stable interest rates may enable additional acquisitions, though concerns about rent coverage and a potential rent cut on the Caesars regional master lease remain an overhang despite the possibility of a mutually beneficial restructuring, the firm says.
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