The chart below shows how VICI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VICI sees a +0.23% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.16% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.46%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strategic Partnership Announcement: VICI Properties announced a new strategic partnership with Cain International and Eldridge Industries, marking a significant growth opportunity through the financing of the One Beverly Hills development.
Luxury Hospitality Development: The One Beverly Hills project is set to be a premier luxury hospitality and residential development, featuring the Aman brand, which is recognized globally for its luxury offerings.
Strong Investment Commitment: In 2024, VICI committed approximately $1.1 billion of capital at an initial yield of 8.1%, showcasing strong investment activity and confidence in their portfolio.
Las Vegas Tourism Boom: Las Vegas tourism continues to thrive, with record airline passengers and visitation, indicating a robust market for VICI's properties.
Real Estate Investment Commitment: VICI's operators have announced nearly $1 billion of investment in their real estate since the fourth quarter, reflecting a strong commitment to enhancing property value and guest experiences.
Investment-Grade Credit Rating: The company achieved an investment-grade credit rating from all three major agencies, which is expected to improve access to capital and reduce costs over time.
AFFO Per Share Growth: AFFO per share increased by 3.6% in Q4 2024 and by 5.1% for the full year, demonstrating strong financial performance and operational efficiency.
AFFO Guidance Outlook: VICI is initiating AFFO guidance for 2025, projecting year-over-year growth of 3.3%, indicating a solid outlook for the upcoming year.
Negative
Debt Concerns and Leverage: VICI Properties reported a total debt of $17.1 billion, which raises concerns about the company's leverage and financial stability.
Debt to EBITDA Ratio: The company’s net debt to annualized fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA is approximately 5.3 times, which is at the higher end of their target leverage range of 5 to 5.5 times, indicating potential financial strain.
AFFO Growth Slowdown: Despite a slight increase in AFFO per share of 3.6% for the quarter, the growth rate is relatively modest compared to previous years, suggesting a slowdown in earnings growth.
AFFO Growth Expectations: The company’s guidance for 2025 indicates an expected AFFO per share growth of only 3.3%, which may not meet investor expectations for more aggressive growth.
Strategic Partnership Reliance: VICI's reliance on strategic partnerships, such as the one with Cain International and Eldridge Industries, may indicate a need for external support to drive growth, raising questions about the company's independent growth capabilities.
VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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