TTE Should I Buy
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TotalEnergies SE is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the stock has positive momentum and bullish technical indicators, the company's recent financial performance shows declining revenue, net income, and EPS. Additionally, geopolitical risks and sustainability concerns add uncertainty. The absence of strong trading signals from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals and mixed analyst ratings further support a hold recommendation.
The stock is showing bullish momentum with MACD above 0 and positively contracting, RSI at 80.465 indicating overbought conditions, and bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its R1 resistance level of 90.521, with the next resistance at 92.706.
Rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Analysts from TD Cowen and JPMorgan have upgraded the stock and highlighted strong production growth and free cash flow.
Bullish technical indicators suggesting upward momentum.
15% of production offline due to the Iran conflict.
Revised climate goals and inability to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, which may affect investor confidence.
Declining financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue, net income, and EPS all showing significant YoY drops.
In Q4 2025, TotalEnergies reported a revenue decline of -2.53% YoY to $45.93B, net income dropped -27.29% YoY to $2.82B, EPS decreased -23.53% YoY to 1.3, and gross margin fell -7.98% to 27.46%.
Analysts have mixed views. Recent upgrades from TD Cowen, JPMorgan, and BofA highlight strong production growth and oil leverage, while HSBC and Piper Sandler maintain neutral ratings. Price targets range from EUR 62 to $97, reflecting both optimism and caution.
